The 60th presidential election in United States history is exactly a year away, and it appears that the challenge on November 5th will be entirely between the current occupant of the White House and his predecessor. Most polls actually see them very close in the results of a hypothetical vote. So the most likely scenario is a neck-and-neck race between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. While the incumbent US president is almost unrivaled among Democrats, the polls for the Republican primaries give the tycoon a clear advantage over the other challengers. According to the results of the poll published by The New York Times and Siena College, the outcome of the next election could be very different than 2020.
In fact, according to the latest data, Trump has a clear advantage over the incumbent president in the six most important “swing states”, i.e. the states that are in the balance between Democrats and Republicans and are considered crucial for the election victory. The former White House resident is favored by 4 percentage points in Pennsylvania, 5 points in Michigan and Arizona, 6 points in Georgia and even 10 points in Nevada. Wisconsin is the only swing state that appears to favor Biden, who is expected to have a 2% lead over Trump. What actually worries Democrats is the fact that these battlegrounds were won by Biden in the last presidential election. We read in the New York Times that it is voters under 30 who are giving room for discontent. The very small ones would therefore be dissatisfied with the work of the White House, and this is certainly not a fact that comforts the current US President.