A total of about 26.6 million tonnes have been harvested in Ukraine so far this year, significantly more than previously anticipated, said NASA Harvest, the US space agency’s food security and agriculture program. Although it is lower than the previous year’s record harvest of 33 million tons, it is close to the average.
However, because of the war, Ukraine did not have access to 22% of the wheat in the eastern part of the country. A total of about 88 percent of the seed was harvested, which apparently was not the case in many frontline fields. For the survey, NASA Harvest uses satellite data and modeling in conjunction with several partner institutions.
Grain exports fell 30%
According to data from the Ministry of Agriculture, Ukraine exported 29.6% less grain in the 22/23 season than in the previous season. In total, Ukraine exported 18.1 million tons of wheat, corn and barley. In the previous harvest there were 25.8 million tons. Because of the Russian invasion, three Ukrainian ports on the Black Sea were blocked for almost six months.
Agreement on price cap for Russian oil
EU countries agreed to a price cap on Russian oil – believing it would weaken Russia. From Monday, there will be a price cap on oil coming from Russia by sea.
According to the government, Ukraine could harvest about 51 million tons of grain this year. In 2021, the crop had reached a record 86 million tons. Since then, however, Ukraine has lost farmland and had lower yields because of the war.
USA: “Reduced speed” in conflict
US intelligence services, however, assume that fighting in Ukraine will continue at a slower pace. “We’re already seeing sort of a reduced pace of conflict and we expect it to continue in the coming months,” Avril Haines, director of the Coalition of National Intelligence, said Saturday (local time) at the annual Reagan National Defense Forum in California. 🇧🇷
Both countries would try to stockpile supplies in preparation for a post-winter counter-offensive. Despite Russian attacks on the Ukrainian power grid and other civilian facilities, there are no signs of a waning of Ukraine’s will to resist.
debate
Ukraine: what’s next in winter?
She said that Russia is also trying to undermine Ukraine’s ability to track conflicts, adding that Kyiv’s economy has suffered a lot. “Of course, this can have an impact over time. How strong they are depends on how hard they attack, what they are capable of, how resilient the critical infrastructure is, and how well we can help them defend it.”
“Lack of Morale and Ammo”
Haines said Russian President Vladimir Putin was surprised his military did not do more. “He is informed about the challenges facing the military in Russia. But it is not yet clear to us whether he has the full picture of it at the time of this writing. We see morale and ammunition shortages, logistics and a whole host of other issues they face.” Russia appears to be depleting its military stockpiles “very quickly”.
Haines said Putin’s political goals in Ukraine may not have changed, but US intelligence analysts have suggested he may be willing to reduce his short-term military goals “temporarily, with the thought that he might revisit this issue in a timely manner.” later date”. back”.
London: Approval for war in Russia dwindles
Against this backdrop, the Kremlin will find it increasingly difficult to explain the war in Ukraine to its own population, according to the British Defense Ministry’s daily intelligence update on Sunday. “Given that Russia is unlikely to achieve significant battlefield successes in the coming months, it is likely to become increasingly difficult for the Kremlin to gain even the tacit approval of the population.”
According to British intelligence services, leaked data from Russian authorities show that only a quarter of the Russian population now supports the war of aggression in Ukraine. At the beginning of the war it was still 80 percent. However, the partial mobilization in September made the war felt by many people.