Several American scientists agreed that “it is still too early to say with certainty whether next season will have serious impacts,” but North Atlantic surface temperatures reached one degree Celsius above normal in early February and are neutral Conditions. or La Niña for the peak of hurricane season.
These values were higher in the places where most Atlantic hurricanes usually form, reaching similar values to those in months like July from West Africa to Central America, says an article published in Spanish this Monday on CNN.
Brian McNoldy, a researcher at the University of Miami, explained on this website: “This is the continuation of an oceanic heat wave that began last March and has not stopped since, driven by the phenomenon of the so-called Super El Niño and rising global temperatures due to human-caused climate change.”
For its part, the Climate Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has reported that La Niña could occur in the summer, but it is more likely that it will occur in the fall.
Phil Klotzbach, a researcher at Colorado State University, said it's still impossible to know what will happen with the combination of near-record ocean heat and La Niña, “since there has been no other hurricane season in which temperatures have been this high.” .” “extreme.”
Both American experts said that if the season begins without the influence of La Niña, the unusually warm waters could lead to storms at the start of the cyclone period.
The La Niña phenomenon is a natural climate event that occurs in the tropical Pacific and has significant impacts on the global climate, for example through increased hurricane activity in the Atlantic.
La Niña forms when trade winds blowing from east to west along the equator enhance and push warm surface water into the western Pacific, allowing colder, deeper water to rise in the Pacific. central and eastern region of the ocean.
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