Ashley Cornell, email: [email protected]

Ashley is best described by the two C’s: calm and compassionate. She was adamant about becoming a doctor when she was younger. That is, until she was accepted into medical school. She realized after two years of university that she wasn’t quite cut out for the job. She abruptly discontinued her studies and decided to pursue a career as a writer instead. She is still interested in medicine, but prefers to remain a distant observer and recorder of medical advances and innovations. She currently works as Senior editor with S Chronicles, where she primarily writes about health and science, as well as co-authoring books on the side.Contact email: [email protected]

Ashley Cornell, email: ashley.cornell@spamchronicles.com
1709754700 Ilan Goldfajn promises 39historic39 gathering to focus IDB on most

Ilan Goldfajn promises 'historic' gathering to focus IDB on most pressing issues | IDB Summit

Ilan Goldfajn promises 39historic39 gathering to focus IDB on most

“It is no exaggeration to say that this annual meeting is truly historic.” This is how Ilan Goldfajn, President of the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), opened the annual meeting of the institution’s governors this Wednesday in the Dominican city of Punta Cana. With an ambitious agenda to reform the IDB Group, which brings together the bank Goldfajn, its private arm and its financial laboratory, seeks to focus the work of multilateralism to achieve greater impact. At the end of the event, which ends on Sunday, representatives of the 48 member countries will vote on these changes.

“This will be remembered for years as the annual meeting that transformed the IDB Group and potentially the region,” Goldfajn continued. “For the first time, we are proposing three simultaneous changes that will transform the IDB Group into a bigger, better and more powerful institution. Impact”. The first proposal is to change the IDB's strategy and focus on strategies to reduce poverty, inequality and climate change. The second is a new business model and new capitalization for IDB Invest, the private arm of the group. The last is to change the economic model of the IDB Lab, its laboratory, which will allow it to triple the resources it mobilizes.

Goldfajn identified “a triple challenge” for Latin America: growing social demands, as evidenced by the social unrest of recent years; Slow growth; and the increasingly common impacts of climate change. The IDB disbursed $11.1 billion in loans for development projects in the region last year.

“Currently, the region also offers numerous opportunities in terms of energy transition, job creation, climate change, food security and also the preservation of biodiversity,” said the vice president of the host country Dominican Republic. “These are all issues that I am sure will be addressed at the highest levels,” she added.

In the first presentation of the event, Goldfajn and the institution's country director, Anabel González, answered questions from participants, mainly representatives of civil society organizations, who had not been invited to the IDB's most important annual event since 2013. The questions revolved around the rights of people from native or indigenous groups, people with disabilities, as well as the exclusion of women entrepreneurs, people in poverty or people at risk of food insecurity.

In the photo: IDB President Ilan Goldfajn, accompanied by Anabel González, Vice President of IDB Countries, speaks during the 64th Annual Meeting of the Assembly of Governors of the Inter-American Development Bank. In the video: the IDB annual meeting.

“The IDB’s relations with civil society will improve under this government. We need each other and the people we serve need our cooperation so we can improve lives more effectively,” said Goldfajn, who took office at the end of 2022. “I think this annual meeting is historic,” emphasized the President.

Last year, the IDB launched an initiative to promote development in the Amazon region, which includes Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Peru and Suriname. More than 42 million people from indigenous groups live in the region, Goldfajn said, and many live under the constant threat of deforestation, over-exploitation of natural resources and organized crime. The investment that the IDB is making in the region is intended to stimulate growth through sustainable agriculture, forestry and connectivity, according to the institution.

Representing the inhabitants of this region, Nadino Calapucha, an Ecuadorian Kichwa and defender of these indigenous peoples, took the stage. According to studies published in 2020, 82% of the best-preserved biodiversity on the planet is in the territories of indigenous peoples, the activist said. “But this defense was not free. “It cost us lives,” he said.

“You have to work with modern knowledge, with technology and with western or contemporary science to respond to this crisis.” But the bioeconomy. We need to think about protecting forests because if deforestation is encouraged, if the violation of human rights is encouraged, if the destruction of our mother nature is encouraged, it would not be a balanced economy, it would not be a bioeconomy, it would not continue to be a bioeconomy an economy that exploits without measuring the rights of nature and human rights.”

Regarding the inclusion of women in the financial system, the IDB's chief economist for Latin America, Eric Parrado, shared the preliminary results of a study conducted in Chile. “We did an experiment in Chile where we hired actors and actresses to apply for loans in the banking system. And guess what? “We have discovered that women are discriminated against when it comes to access to credit,” she said into the microphone, drawing audible astonishment from the audience.

“If you measure how much you stop lending, it's $12 billion, assuming the same risk between men and women, because they have the same characteristics, the only difference is that men are different from women, but socioeconomically they are the same,” he added. Parrado. The expert was of the view that there is very high potential for growth and productivity if this insight is applied to the rest of the region.

For her part and also at the event, IDB Vice President for Sectors and Knowledge, Ana María Ibáñez, chatted with journalists about a comprehensive study on inequality in Latin America and the Caribbean. Ibáñez and his team found that this is the most unequal region in the world. The top 10% earn twelve times more than the bottom 10%. In addition, one in five citizens of Latin America and the Caribbean is poor.

“There were many platitudes about inequality,” said the Colombian economist, “and a deep look was needed to know the causes, which are multiple, and to think about what can be done to reduce them.” The The study began three years ago and was carried out in collaboration with the London School of Economics (LSE), Yale University and the United Kingdom Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), among others.

More than 60 researchers found that in Colombia, Chile and Uruguay, about 1% of the population controls between 37% and 40% of total wealth, while the poorer half of the population controls only a tenth of the wealth. In comparison, the range in Western Europe and Scandinavia is between 20% and 30%. In the United States the proportion is similar at 42%.

Ilan Goldfajn promises 'historic' gathering to focus IDB on most pressing issues | IDB Summit Read More »

Coaches in the NHL From Heroes to Zero

Coaches in the NHL: From Heroes to Zero

And seven! That's the number of National Hockey League coaches who have fallen by the wayside in the league so far this season. The last in line, Lindy Ruff, who was released by the New Jersey Devils on Monday, was a finalist for the Jack Adams Trophy last year.

• Also read: And the peak is…

For Jacques Lemaire, the title of Coach of the Year was a poisoned chalice. He humorously asked voting journalists from the electronic press to forget his name when voting.

The latter awarded him the Adams Trophy in his first season on the bench of the New Jersey Devils, 1993–1994. Inspired by the outfit of a rookie goalie named Martin Brodeur, the Devils reached the Prince of Wales Association final against the New York Rangers. New York won in overtime in the seventh game. The less young will remember the exuberance of the Rangers scorer, who shouted at the top of his lungs “Matteau, Matteau, Matteau, Matteau, Matteau!” when the Abitibian colossus scored the winning goal in the final game.

The following year, the Devils won the Stanley Cup for the first time. They then missed the playoffs. Then, after two good seasons followed by a quick playoff exit, Lemaire lost his job.

Injuries and unreliable goalkeepers

When Ruff arrived, the context at the Devils was different. The team began a comprehensive rebuild. The first two seasons were difficult. But last year, without us really seeing it coming, the Devils had a 112-point season. Fallers defeated the Rangers in the first round, eliminating them in seven games, and then defeated the Carolina Hurricanes in five games in the next round.

The situation has worsened this season. The absence of defender Dougie Hamilton hurts. Center player Jack Hughes missed ten games.

Finally, the goalkeepers are terrible.

Nico Daws, Akira Schmid and Vitek Vanecek, who is currently nursing an injury, have an efficiency average of under .900. With an overall batting average of .891, they rank second to last in the NHL in this regard. A team can't aim for the Stanley Cup with stats like that.

Nevertheless, general manager Tom Fitzgerald hopes to be able to save the season. Heading into Tuesday's games, the Devils were eight points shy of a playoff spot with 21 games remaining. It will be very difficult, if not impossible, for the Devils to close this gap.

Good luck, Travis Green!

Roy didn't leave the inn

Patrick Roy's Islanders have been doing better for ten days. On Tuesday night, they earned their fourth straight win, defeating the Saint Louis Blues. This meant they came within four points of making it into the playoffs

The defense has strengthened under Roy's leadership, but the offense isn't quite as broken yet.

To be honest, Patrick didn't inherit a great team. The islanders are not young. With an average age of 29.6 years, they are one of the oldest teams in the NHL.

In addition to 24-year-old defender Noah Dobson, the other members of the core team are 26 years old and older. Matthew Barzal will turn 27 in May and Bo Horvat will turn 29 in April. Kyle Palmieri turned 33 in early February and Brock Nelson will reach that age in October.

Starting goalkeeper Ilya Sorokin will celebrate his 29th birthday in August, while his backup goalkeeper Symeon Varlamov will celebrate his 36th birthday in April.

There will be a lot more work to do on the Long Island side soon.

Things are heating up for Keefe

Finally, let’s talk about the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Their 4-1 home loss to the Boston Bruins on Monday is a bad omen for a potential playoff showdown. Frankly, the Toronto team is in a bad place. Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner and William Nylander continue to rack up goals and points, but the team continues to go in circles. For his part, John Tavares is showing signs of slowing down.

The status of Sheldon Keefe, who is set to sign a two-year extension next year, has been called into question more than once this season. If the Leafs stumble again at the start of the playoffs, it might be too much for him.

This is the life of a coach. They are hired to be fired.

Coaches in the NHL: From Heroes to Zero Read More »

France Commemorations of the 80th anniversary of the landing begin

France: Commemorations of the 80th anniversary of the landing begin on April 16

President Emmanuel Macron will travel to the Vercors Alpine massif, the center of French resistance against Nazism, on April 16 to open commemorations marking the 80th anniversary of the Allied landings in Normandy.

This trip will open an “extensive program” consisting of thousands of “local events” or “national or international in scope,” Mr. Macron said in a video on Wednesday, leaving open the question of a Russian presence in the context of the war in the Ukraine.

After the commemoration of the Vercors resistance fighters, the head of state will pay a first tribute to the Allied paratroopers on June 5th in Plumelec (Brittany, West) and Saint-Lô (West Normandy).

The next day, Emmanuel Macron will preside over a British, American and Canadian ceremony to mark the 80th anniversary of D-Day, surrounded by veterans, including 200 expected from abroad and “some French survivors,” according to the Élysée.

Given the decisive role of the USSR in the victory against Nazism, the question of a Russian delegation is being examined, the presidency also announced, when Vladimir Putin was present at the 70th anniversary of the landings.

However, he was absent five years ago and the war in Ukraine acutely raises the question of joint historical commemorations with Moscow.

Mr Macron will also travel in June to Tulle and Oradour-sur-Glane in the southwest, scenes of Nazi abuses at the end of the war.

On June 18th, the traditional homage to the call to resistance launched by General de Gaulle on the radio from London in 1940 will take place at the Mont-Valérien Resistance memorial near Paris and on the Ile de Sein in Brittany.

The year 2024 must celebrate “the courage of our liberators, resistance fighters, soldiers of allied countries, fighters of the army reconstituted by Free France on the African continent,” including “many from Africa, the Pacific or all over the world,” declared the President of the Republic in his video.

The national day parade on July 14th in Paris must “evoke the universality of the values ​​of those who liberated the country”.

Eighty years after the liberation of Paris in August 1944, a “popular event” is taking place around Place Denfert-Rochereau, where the headquarters of the Paris Resistance was established.

France: Commemorations of the 80th anniversary of the landing begin on April 16 Read More »

Harry Styles is ready to start a family

Harry Styles is ready to start a family

Harry Styles is ready to start a family with his girlfriend, Canadian actress Taylor Russell, even though the two lovebirds have been together for less than a year.

The British singer, who turned 30 on February 1, doesn't want as much media attention as he did in his 20s, even though his solo career has been a success since his group One Direction disbanded.

Harry Styles is ready to start a family

Harry Styles in London with his girlfriend, Canadian Taylor Russell. PHOTO FROM INSTAGRAM

Since Christopher Nolan directed Dunkirk, he has been in front of the camera more and more often.

Sources told DailyMail.com that the star, however, wants to slow down and enjoy life more.

“Harry feels like he has already lived ten lives, but one thing is certain: his 30s will have nothing to do with his 20s. He enjoyed all the fame one could wish for. He is now ready for the next chapter.

Harry Styles is ready to start a family

Taylor Russell at the recent BAFTA Awards in London. MEGA/IF

“He’s in love with Taylor. He wants to start a family with her and that’s the next phase of his life.”

According to DailyMail.com, Harry Styles' net worth is estimated at $190 million.

Over the past eight months, Harry Styles has spent most of his time at Russell's house. The 29-year-old actress was born in Vancouver. The two stars live in two neighboring houses in the Hampstead Heath district.

Harry Styles is ready to start a family

FRIENDLY PHOTO

Last fall, during a London heatwave, Harry Styles was photographed stripping off his clothes before jumping into a pond known as a popular gay hangout. This caused a lot of ink to be spilled. It must be said that he has never responded to rumors about the ambiguity of his sexual orientation.

Harry Styles is ready to start a family Read More »

Here are the province39s top 5 assets

Here are the province's top 5 assets!

Jeff Bezos, the founder of Amazon, reclaimed his place as the world's richest man on Tuesday, overtaking his rival Elon Musk.

Mr. Bezos's fortune is currently estimated at $200 billion, while Mr. Musk's is estimated at closer to $198 billion.

Not far from them we find Bernard Arnault, whose fortune would amount to 197 billion dollars.

To put these fates in perspective, let us compare them with the most important fates of the province.

Alain Bouchard, founder of Couche-Tard: $7.7 billion.

Lino Saputo, founder of dairy products company Saputo: $4.3 billion.

Jacques d'Amours, co-founder of Couche-Tard: $3.7 billion.

Jean Coutu, founder of the company of the same name: $3.1 billion.

Serge Godin, founder of CGI: $3 billion.

For all the details, listen to Simon Philibert's explanations in the video at the beginning of the article.

Here are the province's top 5 assets! Read More »

Dean Phillips drops out of Democratic presidential campaign against Biden

Dean Phillips drops out of Democratic presidential campaign against Biden: The candidate who claimed 81-year-old Joe was too old would quit the campaign after the terrible Super Tuesday

Democratic presidential candidate Dean Phillips dropped out of the race Wednesday afternoon after failing to gain traction in the primary.

The Minnesota representative and heir to one of America's greatest liquor dynasties has suspended his campaign after a disastrous Super Tuesday in which President Joe Biden dominated virtually every race.

Phillips, 55, entered the race arguing that Biden, 81, was too old to run again and that Democrats needed fresh blood.

But he failed to win his home state of Minnesota on Tuesday night, even falling behind “disengaged” voters who protested Biden's handling of the Gaza war.

“In 2011, I hosted then-Vice President Biden at my home. “Most notable was his empathy and kindness toward my daughters and the catering staff, with whom he sat and ate ice cream (surprise-surprise),” Phillips wrote on Twitter.

Democratic presidential candidate Dean Phillips will drop out of the race Wednesday afternoon after failing to gain traction in the primary

Democratic presidential candidate Dean Phillips will drop out of the race Wednesday afternoon after failing to gain traction in the primary

“His decency and wisdom were rarities in politics then and even more so today.”

“Over a decade later, the only thing that has changed is time – which slows us all down a bit, including presidents.”

“I ran for Congress in 2018 to resist Donald Trump, I was stuck in the Capitol in 2021 because of Donald Trump, and I ran for president in 2024 to resist Donald Trump again – because Americans demanded an alternative and democracy requires options .”

“But it is clear that I am not the alternative.” And it is clear that Joe Biden is OUR candidate and OUR opportunity to show what kind of country America is and wants to be.

Phillips (pictured with his wife Annalize) entered the race arguing that the 81-year-old Biden was too old to run again and that Democrats needed fresh blood

Phillips (pictured with his wife Annalize) entered the race arguing that the 81-year-old Biden was too old to run again and that Democrats needed fresh blood

“To everyone who has supported my efforts, thank you.” We will continue the important work to ensure a more responsive, democratic and intergenerational political system.

“But today, given the harsh reality we face, I ask you to join me in mobilizing, energizing and doing everything you can to help ensure that a man of decency and integrity in the White House House stays.”

“This is Joe Biden.” Let’s use invitation, not confrontation, to welcome Haley supporters, Trump supporters and Uncommitted supporters to make this happen. It is our calling, it is our heritage and it is our time.

Continue

Dean Phillips drops out of Democratic presidential campaign against Biden: The candidate who claimed 81-year-old Joe was too old would quit the campaign after the terrible Super Tuesday Read More »

Food aid convoy destined for northern Gaza looted after delay at Israeli checkpoint | Israel

Israel

Trucks attacked by desperate people as logistical obstacles and restrictions imposed by Israel limit urgently needed aid

A new initiative by the United Nations World Food Program to deliver aid to an estimated half a million people facing starvation in northern Gaza has failed amid further scenes of chaos and violence.

A convoy of 14 trucks bound for the northern Gaza Strip was looted on Tuesday after being held at an Israeli army checkpoint for several hours, aid workers said. When the convoy turned back after the delay, it was attacked by “a large crowd of desperate people” and 200 tons of food were looted.

Insecurity, logistical bottlenecks, ongoing fighting and Israeli-imposed movement restrictions combined to limit aid deliveries to a fraction of what was needed, aid officials said.

The WFP convoy was the first to attempt to reach the northern Gaza Strip as insecurity forced the organization to suspend its efforts on February 20 despite threats of starvation after Israeli forces fired twice at desperate Palestinians trying to get food from WFP trucks, senior WFP officials told the Guardian earlier this week.

Hopes were raised last week that Hamas and Israel were close to agreeing a deal that would pause or possibly permanently end hostilities, thereby facilitating humanitarian aid.

Prospects for an agreement have diminished in recent days, but a Hamas delegation remains in Cairo for talks with mediators from Egypt and Qatar.

Israeli government spokesman Eylon Levy said Wednesday that Israel still wants a temporary pause on humanitarian grounds that would allow the release of about 130 hostages still being held by Hamas.

“We will do everything we can to get them out… [But] This war will ultimately end with the complete defeat of Hamas or its surrender,” Levy told reporters.

The war was sparked by bloody Hamas attacks in southern Israel in October. The militant organization, which has ruled Gaza since 2007, killed 1,200 Israelis, mostly civilians, and kidnapped another 250 in the surprise operation.

Health officials in Gaza said the number of people killed in Israel's offensive has now exceeded 30,700, with 86 deaths reported in the past 24 hours. Most of the victims were women and children, officials said.

Israel has accused Hamas of using civilians as human shields in Gaza and said its forces were acting entirely lawfully.

Shaban Abdel-Raouf, a Palestinian electrician and father of five from Gaza City, said: “Every day costs us dozens of martyrs. “We want a ceasefire now.”

He is now in the southern town of Khan Younis, where fighting continues. Residents reported hearing explosions throughout Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning. Witnesses said Israeli warplanes struck areas of Al-Nuseirat refugee camp and the city of Deir al-Balah in the central Gaza Strip, as well as part of the southern city of Rafah.

Jordanian and American planes have repeatedly airdropped food in recent days, but humanitarian organizations say only road delivery can bring sufficient quantities to those in need, with no distribution mechanism in place.

“Air drops are a last resort and cannot prevent famine,” said Carl Skau, deputy director of the World Food Program.

Gaza's Ministry of Health reported on Wednesday that a 15-year-old girl was the latest child to die from malnutrition or dehydration at Shifa Hospital in Gaza City.

The United Nations said in February that more than a quarter of Gaza's 2.3 million people are “estimated to be experiencing catastrophic levels of deprivation and famine.” Without action, widespread famine could be “almost inevitable,” it said.

Aid deliveries to the southern Gaza Strip can currently be made via the Rafah border crossing from Egypt and the Kerem Shalom border crossing from Israel.

According to the United Nations Palestinian Refugee Agency (UNRWA), an average of nearly 97 trucks per day were able to enter the Gaza Strip in February, compared to about 150 trucks per day in January – well below the target of 500 trucks per day.

The United Nations has described access to aid as “unpredictable and inadequate,” blaming military operations, insecurity and extensive restrictions on the delivery of vital supplies.

Even when aid arrives in Gaza, all cargo must be unloaded from Egyptian trucks and transferred to local transport. There is now an acute shortage of both suitable vehicles and fuel in Gaza, causing further problems. Other challenges include patchy communications, limited electricity, refugee flows and rubble-strewn roads.

Israel said there would be no limit on aid to civilians and blamed the United Nations for any delivery problems. Limits on the amount and pace of aid depended on the capacity of the United Nations and other organizations.

Aid workers say the insecurity is due to a lack of police, who have stopped guarding convoys after they were attacked by Israeli forces.

Israel says police are part of Hamas and on Wednesday called on international aid groups to find ways to distribute aid that do not make them “accomplices of terrorists.”

On Friday, the United Nations Children's Fund (Unicef) delivered vaccines, formula and other supplies to Shifa and two days later managed to reach other hospitals in northern Gaza.

Tess Ingram, a spokeswoman for Unicef, told the Guardian that her colleagues had described how desperate they were in the hospitals they visited and that doctors had described being completely unable to treat dying children.

“It defies logic that children die because of access restrictions. We have the food they need and the malnutrition treatments needed to save lives just a few miles away, but we cannot bring it to them. “This is a test of the conscience of the world,” Ingram said.

Washington has increased pressure on Israel to ease the suffering, a message echoed by British Foreign Secretary David Cameron.

“People are dying of hunger. “People are dying from otherwise preventable diseases,” Cameron told the House of Lords before talks with Benny Gantz, an opposition politician who joined Israel's war cabinet shortly after the outbreak of war.

In Beirut, Osama Hamdan, a Hamas official, said a prisoner exchange could only take place after a ceasefire.

Basem Naim, a second senior Hamas official, said Hamas had submitted its own draft agreement and was waiting for a response from Israel, and that “the ball is now in the Americans' court.”

An agreement is sought before the start of the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan on Sunday. Violence in Israel and the occupied Palestinian territories often increases during Ramadan, as does hostility toward Israel in the Arab and Muslim world.

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1709753459 Interest rate cuts likely at some point this year Fed

Interest rate cuts likely “at some point” this year: Fed Chairman Powell

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told House Democrats on Wednesday that interest rate cuts were likely “sometime” in 2024 and that he was open to big changes to a controversial proposal that would require banks to hold more capital.

The central bank chief covered a range of topics during his three hours of testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, touching on everything from immigration to commercial real estate to housing.

However, two topics dominated: monetary policy and banking regulation.

Powell made it clear that he still expects cuts “at some point this year,” even after some hot numbers on inflation, but also warned that the Fed will take its time.

“We want to see a little bit more data,” he added during the question-and-answer session.

Powell also made clear Wednesday that he expects “sweeping and significant” changes to a proposed Fed rule that would require the largest U.S. lenders to maintain larger buffers against future losses.

The rule, the most aggressive change to banking regulation since the 2008 financial crisis, was criticized by Republicans, some Democrats and many banks.

“It is more important that we do it right than that we do it quickly,” he said of that proposal, known as the Basel III endgame.

He did not rule out heeding calls to withdraw the idea and start over with a new proposal.

“If this turns out to be the right thing to do, we won’t hesitate to do it,” Powell said.

Read more: What the Fed's rate decision means for bank accounts, CDs, loans and credit cards

UNITED STATES – JUNE 22: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell prepares to testify during the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hearing entitled UNITED STATES – JUNE 22: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell prepares to testify during the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hearing entitled

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell prepares to testify during a Senate hearing in June 2023. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images) (Tom Williams via Getty Images)

Lawmakers from both parties, including House Financial Services Chairman Patrick McHenry of North Carolina, focused on bank capital rules during their questioning of the Fed chair.

“Regulators should pull it back and start over,” McHenry said of these capital rules.

Elsewhere, Powell acknowledged the large amount of feedback his agency had received on the proposal, saying it was “unlike anything I've ever seen.”

The story goes on

Democratic Rep. Maxine Waters of California focused her remarks on housing, saying it is the No. 1 driver of inflation.

“Until we address the underlying housing shortage,” she said, “inflation will remain too high.”

Powell responded that he was indeed monitoring the issue, but that housing was one of several measures he was focused on, saying the “overall story” was a decline in inflation overall.

At other times, he weighed in on topics such as the role of immigration on the economy, last year's bank failures, the potential impact of AI on financial services and the challenges banks face from exposure to commercial real estate.

He said commercial real estate is a “manageable” issue for mid-sized banks, although he expects some losses.

It's an issue the central bank will work on for “several years,” he added.

He also spoke more generally about the economy, often emphasizing that economic developments could go in different directions in the coming months and change the central bank's next steps.

“The pandemic is still writing the history of our economy and we should just be prepared to be surprised with the next chapter, like we were with 2023,” he said.

'Bumpy'

Powell's testimony to House Democrats comes two weeks before the central bank's next policy meeting, where officials are widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged for the fifth straight day.

The Fed last raised interest rates in July 2023 to a range of 5.25% to 5.5%, a 22-year high, as part of the most aggressive campaign to cool inflation since the 1980s.

Powell first suggested in December that the Fed would likely move to cut rates in 2024, and his colleagues predicted a consensus of three rate cuts this year. This led many investors to predict that the first cut would occur in March.

But in the first two months of 2024, Powell and some of his Fed colleagues have warned the public about how soon monetary policy easing might begin, pushing back expectations for cuts to later in the year.

Some better-than-expected inflation numbers and strong employment numbers only reinforced this cautious approach.

First, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was hotter in January than economists expected, as was the Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures the prices companies pay to produce products and services.

Then last week, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator – the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index – rose 0.4% from the previous month, marking the largest increase since January 2023.

The monthly increase marked a significant shift in inflation data. On a six-month annualized basis, core PCE now stands at 2.5%, above the 1.9% level reached in the previous two reporting periods.

Several Fed officials have recently warned that the path to the Fed's 2 percent target will be “bumpy,” and they suggested cuts could now come in the summer or “later this year.” That puts the Fed on a collision course with the presidential election in November.

Powell highlighted the Fed's dilemma in his remarks on Wednesday. In his opinion, cutting interest rates too early could lead to the undoing of excessive progress made so far in reducing inflation. But the Fed also doesn't want to keep interest rates high so long that it weakens the economy, he added.

Investors appear to be listening to the Fed's cautious commentary. They now expect the first rate cut in June instead of March. They also expect three for the year, after estimating a total of six at the start of the year.

However, that timeline could slip even further if progress on inflation stalls or the labor market and wages continue to outperform expectations. A prominent economist has already predicted that the Fed will not raise interest rates at all this year.

“The economic outlook is uncertain and further progress toward our 2% inflation target is not assured,” Powell said in his remarks on Wednesday.

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Interest rate cuts likely “at some point” this year: Fed Chairman Powell Read More »