Business News

Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, warns of a soft landing for the economy

Claman Countdown panelists Kenny Polcari and Joseph Lavorgna explain the Federal Reserve's moves.

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said in an interview Monday that market sentiment for stocks and mergers and acquisitions was improving, even as he maintained a cautious outlook on the broader economy.

“Confidence is up, there's more talk about M&A,” stock markets are strengthening and high-yield markets are open, Dimon said in an interview on CNBC. “The markets are high, people are feeling it, so far so good.”

Dimon added that “there are things out there that are a concern” and expressed doubts about the likelihood of a soft landing for the U.S. economy. While market participants estimate the probability of a soft landing to be between 70 and 80 percent, Dimon believes the probability is “half as high.”

The U.S. economy has so far managed to avoid slipping into recession despite the Federal Reserve's efforts to curb stubbornly high inflation. Dimon has previously warned that geopolitical tensions such as Russia's ongoing war against Ukraine and the conflict between Hamas and Israel could weigh on global growth. In October he said: “This could be the most dangerous time the world has seen in decades.”

JPMORGAN CEO JAMIE DIMON warns we are heading towards a cliff as debt snowballs

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said market sentiment was improving but he remained cautious about the prospects for a soft landing. (Jeenah Moon/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)

Dimon, the CEO of the largest bank in the U.S., welcomed greater regulatory scrutiny of private market participants that compete with banks for business.

tickerSecurityLastChangeChange %
JPMJPMORGAN CHASE & CO.183.36-0.63-0.34%

Wall Street lenders have raised billions of dollars to regain ground in lending to companies through debt-backed deals as competition from giant private equity and asset management firms increased over the past two years.

JPMorgan has committed $10 billion of its capital to private lending, but that amount could rise significantly depending on demand, sources told Portal earlier this month.

Capital One's purchase of Discover faces political and regulatory hurdles

JPMorgan Chase will face new competition if Capital One's acquisition of Discover is approved. (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images/Getty Images)

Dimon also commented on the deal announced last week for Capital One to acquire Discover for $35.3 billion, saying companies should grow, merge and innovate.

The pending merger would create the largest U.S. credit card issuer with $250 billion in card balances and a 22% market share – an amount larger than JPMorgan's.

“I’m not worried about it,” Dimon said. However, he noted that Capital One's debit network could have an unfair advantage after the merger.

GET FOX BUSINESS ON THE GO by CLICKING HERE

Dimon acknowledged different pricing standards for cards offered by banks versus those offered by car issuers, saying, “Of course I have a problem with that.”

Portal contributed to this report.

Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, warns of a soft landing for the economy Read More »

1708994724 Why Tesla Stock Is Up Nearly 4 Today

Why Tesla Stock Is Up Nearly 4% Today

Why Tesla Stock Is Up Nearly 4 Today

The struggling electric vehicle (EV) sector needed a gain in the stock market, and it got it on Monday. Thanks to some good news from one of their own companies, numerous electric vehicle companies saw their stock prices rise that day. Among them was the industry's figurehead, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), which gained nearly 4% on the S&P 500 Index decline of 0.4%.

Li Auto beats estimates in fourth quarter

The company that delivered the goods at the start of the trading week was a major Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer Li car, which reported its fourth-quarter results this morning. Fortunately for anyone investing in or otherwise involved with the EV sector, Li Auto delivered a stunning earnings beat, managing to beat analysts' revenue estimates due to a surge in car deliveries.

This helped ease the lingering pain caused by Tesla's own fourth-quarter performance. Investors in the American company won't be happy to be reminded that the EV king missed on both bottom and bottom lines, with the former up just 3% year-on-year and the latter up a measly 40% went back.

This, coupled with slowing growth in electric vehicle sales in general, left investors bearish on the industry as a whole.

Buyer beware

This mood was reversed with the Li-Auto numbers. Perhaps the rising optimism that had previously supported electric vehicle inventories is returning.

However, I don't think this will lead to a long rally. Even after the recent slump, Tesla and the better-known electric vehicle stocks still have lofty valuations that I don't think are justified by their declining growth prospects. The performance of a single company, no matter how impressive, is not enough to make this expensive sector attractive again in the long term. However, that could change if other electric vehicle makers deliver significant earnings surprises.

Where can you invest $1,000 now?

When our team of analysts has a stock tip, it might be worth listening. After all, the newsletter they have run for two decades, Motley Fool Stock Advisor, has more than tripled the market.*

The story goes on

They just revealed what they think it is The 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Tesla made the list – but there are 9 other stocks you might be overlooking.

Check out the 10 stocks

*Stock Advisor returns as of February 26, 2024

Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in Tesla and recommends them. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

“Why Tesla Stock Is Up Nearly 4% Today” was originally published by The Motley Fool

Why Tesla Stock Is Up Nearly 4% Today Read More »

New Home Prices Compared to Existing Home Prices Why New

New Home Prices Compared to Existing Home Prices: Why New Home Sales Are Holding Up While Existing Home Sales Are Falling

Price cuts and mortgage buybacks make new homes costly for homebuilders, but make them more attractive.

By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET.

The median price of new single-family homes sold in January increased from December, but was 2.6% below the previous year and 15.3% below the peak in October 2022 (blue line). According to today's data from the Census Bureau, the average price was back to the level of October 1, 2021 at $420,700

The three-month moving average, which irons out some of the monthly ups and downs, was essentially unchanged from the previous month and at $420,700 was 12.3% below its December 2022 peak (red).

New Home Prices Compared to Existing Home Prices Why New

But buybacks and mortgage rate incentives are not included in the price declines. These are contract prices that do not include the high and sometimes unexpected costs of buybacks at mortgage rates that builders are now using heavily to maintain their sales volume in this market, where sales of existing homes have collapsed because prices on them have fallen 7% is too high. plus mortgage interest.

Mortgage interest buybacks lower the monthly payment – and also reduce home builders' profit margins – but do not lower the contract price of the home.

The price drops also don't include other incentives homebuilders use to close deals, such as free upgrades.

What these contract prices reflect are the lower price points that homebuilders are now aiming for with smaller homes and less expensive amenities.

Price difference between new and used houses.

Homebuilders are now competing aggressively with homeowners, and the largest homebuilders have reflected this in their earnings releases. And the price range between new and resold single-family homes has become narrower. DR Horton, the largest home builder in the US, has pointed out that with buybacks at mortgage rates, the monthly payments on a new home are lower than the monthly payments on an equivalent resale home.

The difference expressed in dollars. The national average price of new single-family homes has fallen faster and further than the national average price of existing single-family homes (via the National Association of Realtors).

However, there are some seasonal differences: the median price of existing homes has a pronounced seasonal high in June and a low in January, while the prices of new homes are significantly less seasonal but vary greatly from month to month. So we look at the 6-month moving average of new and used home prices, which smooths out some of the seasonal differences:

1708990586 52 New Home Prices Compared to Existing Home Prices Why New

The percentage difference. The median price of new homes (6-month moving average) is now just 7.1% higher than the median price of existing homes (6-month moving average).

Add in mortgage buybacks and it becomes clear how relatively unattractive resale homes have become in the face of competition from new homes at their current prices.

The unusually smaller price differences also occurred in the early phases of the housing crisis, i.e. in 2005 and 2006. In the later years of the housing crisis, prices for used houses finally fell sharply and far enough to make them competitive with new houses again .

1708990589 544 New Home Prices Compared to Existing Home Prices Why New

So sales of new homes have held up.

In January, 57,000 new homes were sold, not seasonally adjusted, up 3.6% year over year and only down 3% from January 2019. In comparison, existing home sales are down 20% since January 2019.

This documents the effectiveness of the strategy of offering homes at lower prices and offering buybacks at mortgage rates, even though they are cutting into homebuilders' profit margins. But their business is building homes, and they can't just try to wait out this market like many potential home sellers try.

US new house sales 2024 02 26 sales nsa

Inventory for sale The number of new houses in all stages of construction has stabilized at a very high level. In January the number rose to 456,000 houses, the same as in November, although slightly higher than in December (not seasonally adjusted).

This inventory corresponds to 8.0 months of supply at the January sales level, which is a more than sufficient supply:

1708990592 960 New Home Prices Compared to Existing Home Prices Why New

Do you enjoy reading WOLF STREET and would you like to support it? You can donate. I appreciate it very much. Click on the beer and iced tea mug to find out how:

BeerMug2

Would you like to be notified by email when WOLF STREET publishes a new article? Login here.

1647152708 5 Почему это самый безрассудный ФРС за всю историю и что

New Home Prices Compared to Existing Home Prices: Why New Home Sales Are Holding Up While Existing Home Sales Are Falling Read More »

Outback Steakhouse39s parent company is closing 41 underperforming restaurants

Outback Steakhouse's parent company is closing 41 “underperforming” restaurants

Scott Olson/Getty Images/FILE

An Outback steakhouse restaurant in a 2021 photo.

New York CNN –

Fans of Outback Steakhouse may be surprised to learn that their local restaurant is permanently closed after the chain's parent company abruptly shuttered dozens of locations across the United States.

Bloomin' Brands said in a conference call Friday that it has closed 41 “poor-performing” locations of its brands, including Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill and Fleming's.

The closures hit Outback Steakhouses the hardest, the company said in the conference call. Bloomin' said it closed the locations due to “various factors,” including sales, declining customer traffic and financial investments that were too costly to improve the locations. Additionally, according to Bloomin' CEO David Deno, “the majority of these restaurants are older assets with leases dating back to the '90s and early 2000s.”

The company did not release a list of closed restaurants. Local reports show that Outback locations in Pennsylvania, Iowa and every Outback restaurant in Hawaii have recently closed. Bonefish Grill locations in New Jersey and Virginia also closed, and at least three Carrabba's locations in New York also closed.

Of the 41 closures across all brands, 33 restaurants were closed as of Friday, a Bloomin' spokesperson told Nation's Restaurants News.

“Closing restaurants is never easy,” a company spokesperson said in a statement to CNN. “This was a business decision that had no impact on employees or their service. Many team members have the opportunity to transfer to open positions at another restaurant. Employees who do not do this will receive severance pay.”

However, Outback said it plans to open up to 18 new restaurants in the U.S. this year, following a redesigned restaurant layout unveiled in 2022. The company has approximately 700 locations in the United States.

Sales at Outback were difficult in the fourth quarter, falling 0.3%, as were Bonefish, where they fell 3%. Carrabba's was actually a bright spot, with same-store sales increasing 2.5%. Bloomin''s stock price rose more than 6% in the last five days, at one point topping $28.

In total, Bloomin' plans to open up to 45 restaurants across all of its brands in the coming year.

Outback Steakhouse's parent company is closing 41 “underperforming” restaurants Read More »

Tax Season Here39s Why a Student Should File Their

Tax Season: Here's Why a Student Should File Their Tax Return

Tax season has begun and many students are wondering whether they should file their taxes. If it is not absolutely necessary in certain cases, experts recommend doing it regardless of the situation.

First, keep in mind that many post-secondary students are eligible for a tuition tax credit. “This non-refundable tax credit will likely cover all of your debt or even help you get a tax refund,” TurboImpôt said on its website.

If you don't owe taxes, you can also transfer the credit to a loved one or even roll it over to another year.

In addition to claiming various tax breaks, simply filing a tax return can also help you get money back.

Deduct expenses to save taxes

“Another way to pay less taxes is to deduct certain expenses. While the credit reduces your taxes payable, the deduction reduces your taxable income,” the National Bank of Canada website says.

According to the Canada Revenue Agency, moving expenses and childcare expenses are the most common deductions.

What happens if the government collects too much tax on an employee's wages during the year? The answer is simple: a refund will be made.

“Any time the CRA collects more income tax than you owe, you will receive the excess amount as a refund. You have to think of this as money you didn't know you had, just like the $20 bill you found in the pocket of your winter coat last year! is explained on the TurboTax website.

The same applies to Revenu Québec.

RRP and GST

Finally, the sooner a student begins filing his or her taxes, the sooner he or she will be eligible to contribute to a registered retirement plan.

“If this is not always one of the priorities at the beginning of life, these contribution rights will be very useful in the event of a salary increase after receiving your diploma,” says TurboImpôt.

Another bonus: Once you reach 19 years of age, a person can claim the Goods and Services Tax (GST) or Harmonized Sales Tax credit.

Tax Season: Here's Why a Student Should File Their Tax Return Read More »

US Stocks Pause Alphabet Falls on Gemini Issues Tesla Bitcoin

US Stocks Pause, Alphabet Falls on Gemini Issues, Tesla, Bitcoin Rally: What's Driving Markets on Monday? – Coinbase Glb (NASDAQ:COIN)

February 26, 2024 2:35 pm | 3 minutes read

“Benzinga’s Top Stocks to Buy Today”

There are only two mistakes you can make when investing. You don't invest at all. The next step is to buy the wrong stocks. Get an overview of which stocks to buy with the Benzinga Insider Report, our best weekly stock report delivered straight to your inbox. Act quickly and secure our top stock picks at an incredible discount! Claim this $0.99 limited offer NOW!

Wall Street showed a muted trend to start the week, with major indexes showing little change in midday trading in New York.

Investors are anticipating a series of key economic data expected in the coming days.

ENTER TO WIN $500 IN STOCKS OR CRYPTO

Enter your email to also get Benzinga's Ultimate Morning Update AND a free $30 gift card or more!

The S&P 500 recorded a slight decline of 0.2% to 5,080 points, suggesting that the market was waiting for clearer signals. Now the technology-heavy one Nasdaq 100 found some support, rising 0.2%, supported by a notable performance from the semiconductor sector.

Small-cap stocks proved to be an outstanding segment iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM) rose 0.3%. The performance of blue-chip stocks remained largely unchanged.

Treasury yields trended higher across various maturities as traders continued to scale back expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. The forecasts have been reduced to just 80 basis points of cuts for 2024, which is currently just over three full rate cuts.

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) fell 0.7% while the greenback held steady. The precious metals sector experienced a downturn, with gold losing 0.3% and silver losing 2% of its value.

crude oil showed resilience: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil rose 1.8% to $78 a barrel, recouping almost all of last Friday's losses.

In the field of cryptocurrencies Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) showed strength, posting a 3.5% gain and surpassing $53,000, signaling a robust start to the week for digital assets.

The performance of major indices and ETFs on Monday

Important indicesPrice1 day %
Russell 20002,030.560.3%
Nasdaq 10017,965.880.2%
Dow Jones39,101.57-0.1%
S&P 5005,080.81-0.2%

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) fell 0.2% to $507.17 SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:DIA) fell 0.1% to $391.08 and was tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) rose 0.2% to $437.56, according to Benzinga Pro.

The Utilities Select the sector SPDR fund (NYSE:XLU) was the significant underperformer, down 1.7%, while the SPDR fund for the energy sector (NYSE:XLE) was the biggest gainer, up 1.7%.

Stockbrokers on Wall Street on Monday

  • Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) rose nearly 4% amid a broader EV rally, buoyed by positive investor sentiment Li Auto Inc.s (NASDAQ:LI) excellent quarterly results. Peers like Nio Inc. – ADR (NASDAQ:NIO), Rivian Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) and Lucid Group Inc. (NASDAQ:LCID) also posted gains, rising 3.4%, 5.7% and 2%, respectively.
  • Crypto Related Stocks Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:MARA), Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN) and Riot Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:RIOT) rose 20%, 14% and 15%, respectively, as Bitcoin rose to $53,000.
  • Palo Alto Networks Inc. (NASDAQ:PANW) rose nearly 10%, marking the strongest performance among the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100.
  • Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) fell 4% after analysts warned Gemini AI Tool inaccuracies in image creation.
  • R1 RCM Inc. (NASDAQ:RCM) rose 28% as a group of controlling shareholders considered privatizing the healthcare provider.
  • Freshpet Inc. (NASDAQ:FRPT) rose 17% after the company reported better-than-expected results.
  • Other companies that responded to the earnings were Domino's Pizza Inc. (NYSE:DPZ), up over 5%; loyalty National Information Services Inc. (NYSE:FIS), up 3%; Pilgrim's Pride Corp. (NYSE:PPC), up 7%; Itron Inc. (NASDAQ:ITRI), up over 20% and Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. (NYSE:PEG), down 1.9%.
  • Companies that report after the market close are Workday Inc. (NASDAQ:WDAY), ONEOK Inc. (NYSE:OKE), Zoom Video Communications Inc. (NASDAQ:ZM) and SBA Communications Corp. (NASDAQ:SBAC).

Now read: Carvana shares are trading like 'an AI darling,' short seller says 'but eventually the paint will peel off'

Photo: Shutterstock

“Benzinga’s Top Stocks to Buy Today”

There are only two mistakes you can make when investing. You don't invest at all. The next step is to buy the wrong stocks. Get an overview of which stocks to buy with the Benzinga Insider Report, our best weekly stock report delivered straight to your inbox. Act quickly and secure our top stock picks at an incredible discount! Claim this $0.99 limited offer NOW!

© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

US Stocks Pause, Alphabet Falls on Gemini Issues, Tesla, Bitcoin Rally: What's Driving Markets on Monday? – Coinbase Glb (NASDAQ:COIN) Read More »

Northvolt Risks much greater than for the environment

70% of the local population supports Northvolt Six

According to a new Léger survey, more than two thirds (70%) of the population of the municipalities bordering Montérégie are in favor of the Northvolt Six project.

• Also read: Northvolt can make a positive contribution to Quebec's economy

• Also read: “Northvolt has a very high level of transparency,” says the Caisse

• Also read: Major projects: It will soon be Saguenay's turn, says Fitzgibbon

“This support rises to 80% among residents of McMasterville and Saint-Basile-le-Grand, the towns that will host the new factory,” we can read in Northvolt’s press release.

Recall that on February 13, the Swedish company had received approval from Saint-Basile-le-Grand to begin land preparation work for the construction of its battery factory.

Nevertheless, according to the Léger survey, 60% of citizens are confident that the battery industry will meet its environmental obligations and in consultation with host communities. 66% also agree that a BAPE would have been necessary for the project.

The survey was conducted from February 2 to 8, 2024 among 500 residents of Saint-Basile-le-Grand, McMasterville, Beloeil, Saint-Hilaire, Otterburn Park and Saint-Bruno-de-Montarville.

70% of the local population supports Northvolt Six Read More »

FTC sues Kroger Albertson39s grocery store deal

FTC sues Kroger-Albertson's grocery store deal

The Federal Trade Commission and several state attorneys general filed a lawsuit Monday to stop Kroger, the supermarket giant, from completing its $24.6 billion acquisition of grocery chain Albertsons, saying the deal would increase competition in would affect the industry.

The agency said the deal, which would be the largest supermarket merger in U.S. history, would most likely result in higher prices for groceries for consumers and, since there are fewer supermarkets, reduce the ability of grocery store employees to earn higher wages and better working conditions to negotiate.

“This mega-merger of supermarkets comes at a time when food prices for American consumers have been steadily rising in recent years,” Henry Liu, director of the FTC’s Bureau of Competition, said in a press release. “Kroger’s acquisition of Albertsons would result in further grocery price increases for everyday items and further exacerbate the financial burden consumers across the country face today.”

The FTC's federal lawsuit was joined by attorneys general from Arizona, California, Illinois, Maryland, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Wyoming and the District of Columbia.

The lawsuit is the latest move by the Biden administration to take a tougher stance on mergers. In recent years, it has challenged several large deals, including drugmaker Amgen's $27.8 billion acquisition of pharmaceutical company Horizon Therapeutics; JetBlue's proposed $3.8 billion purchase of Spirit Airlines; and Microsoft's $70 billion acquisition of video game maker Activision Blizzard.

But the FTC has lost in court in many cases, including in its attempt to block the Microsoft merger. Kroger said in a statement that the FTC's move to block the merger would actually harm grocery store shoppers and employees.

“The FTC’s decision makes it more likely that American consumers will experience higher food prices and fewer grocery stores at a time when communities across the country are already facing high inflation and food deserts,” the company said.

Albertsons reiterated these sentiments in its own statement. It added that a successful blocking of the merger by the FTC “would harm customers and help empower larger multichannel retailers like Amazon, Walmart and Costco – the very companies the FTC claims to be reining in.” would allow them to further increase their sales.” growing dominance of the food industry.”

Both chains said they looked forward to making their case for the merger in court.

In the 16 months since Kroger announced plans to acquire Albertsons, the proposed merger has faced opposition. Executives from the supermarket giants – two of the largest grocery chains in the United States – argued that the merger was necessary to compete with major retailers such as Walmart, Costco and Amazon. These retailers, executives said, used their size to negotiate better prices with manufacturers and suppliers, allowing them to sell cereal, yogurt, pasta and other staples to consumers at lower prices.

But a range of critics, including consumer advocates, politicians, unions and independent grocery chains, said combining Kroger and Albertsons would create a powerful giant with sales of more than $200 billion and about 5,000 stores in 48 states and the District of Columbia arise. In some markets such as Chicago, Dallas, Los Angeles and Seattle, there is significant overlap between chains.

Cincinnati-based Kroger operates 2,750 grocery stores in the United States under the Ralphs, Dillons and Harris Teeter brands. Albertsons, based in Boise, Idaho, operates 2,200 supermarkets under names such as Albertsons, Safeway and Vons.

Jon Donenberg, deputy director of President Biden's National Economic Council, said in a statement that Mr. Biden believes competition is the key to capitalism. “When large companies are not constrained by healthy competition, they too often fail to pass on cost savings to consumers and exploit their workers,” he said.

As inflation continues to drive up food prices, the proposed mergers would leave consumers in some regions with little or no choice over where to buy staples, critics said. Others warned that the merger would lead to higher food prices and possible layoffs with less competition.

“This decision shows that the FTC understands how the outsized power of large retailers is harming the entire food system,” said Stacy Mitchell, co-executive director of the Institute for Local Self-Reliance, a nonprofit advocacy group for independent businesses. “These two giants are already exerting their power as dominant buyers of food and goods by pressuring suppliers to give them discounts and benefits not offered to smaller grocery retailers.”

Marc Perrone, president of the United Food and Commercial Workers International Union, said the guild would continue to oppose “any merger that would negatively impact our hundreds of thousands of hard-working members who work at Kroger and Albertsons.”

To address some concerns about the merger, Kroger and Albertsons announced plans in September to sell 413 stores nationwide to C&S Wholesale Grocers for $1.9 billion. The sale is subject to approval of the Kroger-Albertsons merger.

But the FTC said the divestiture proposal created a hodgepodge of unrelated stores and brands that were cobbled together and fell far short of creating a standalone company that could compete with a combined Kroger and Albertsons company.

The FTC also argued that quality would likely decline in a combined supermarket giant. Currently, the two stores compete by offering fresher products, flexible store and pharmacy hours, and curbside pickup service. If they merge, the incentive to compete by improving product quality and customer service would diminish, the FTC said.

Critics also called the proposed merger a big payday for Albertsons' private equity owners. Early last year, Albertsons paid shareholders a special $4 billion dividend after surviving a lawsuit from the attorney general in Washington. The largest recipients of this dividend, which was funded by a combination of cash and debt added to Albertsons' balance sheet, were Albertsons' private equity owners, including Cerberus, which owned 73 percent of the company at the time.

FTC sues Kroger-Albertson's grocery store deal Read More »