Costco (COST) reported another strong monthly sales result for June — a sign the major retailer continues to outperform and gain market share as many of its peers struggle in a difficult economic environment. Net sales for the month rose a solid 20.4% year over year to $22.78 billion, according to data released by Costco on Thursday. Even more impressive, however, were the retailer’s same-store sales, which rose 18.1% in June and beat Wall Street’s estimate of 14.1%. Same-store sales – also called comparable sales or comps – is the metric we focus on the most because it provides the best insight into business trends. Analyzing comparable sales helps us understand whether the company can attract more customers and sell them more goods. As a reminder, Costco’s reporting structure differs from most public companies. It reports its sales results every month in addition to its regularly scheduled quarterly earnings reports. We appreciate this transparency because it keeps investors informed about business developments. Another data point we focus on is comparable sales, which excludes the impact of changes in gasoline prices and exchange rates, also known as “core” comparisons. In June, Costco’s total core comps rose 13%, beating estimates of 11.1%. This result is important because it removes the impact of elements beyond the company’s control. Core comps tell the better story, especially in a year when prices at the pump have skyrocketed and the US dollar has soared to multi-year highs. By product category, groceries and sundries, comparable sales rose in the mid-teens while fresh groceries rose in the high single digits. The non-food categories increased by almost 10% overall. This is an important category to watch due to the ongoing shift in consumer spending from goods to services. The increase of almost 10% contrasts with a low double-digit increase in May, so that a slight slowdown was recorded here. Meanwhile, ancillary sales soared in the high 50’s, led by Gas and Food Court. Overall, the results show the incredible value Costco offers its members (particularly in gasoline) and again confirms our thesis that it is the best-run retailer the world is. Potential Catalysts In addition to Costco’s core results, there are two potential events that we have on our radar. First, an increase in the membership fee. Costco has increased its membership fee three times in the last 15 years, or every five to six years on average. The last price increase was in June 2017, so we entered the zone where something could happen. At the company’s last earnings announcement in late May, management was quick to downplay rumors that a rate hike was imminent, believing that now was not the right time as the slowing economy and high inflation had hurt consumers. But we wouldn’t rule out a price increase in the near future, and believe the increase would face little resistance from customers given how high refresh rates are and the amount of value buyers are getting. The other is a special cash dividend announcement. Every few years, Costco’s cash position on its balance sheet swells to levels beyond the company’s needs. As a reward to shareholders, management takes this excess cash and returns it to shareholders via a special cash dividend. Costco has paid one four times in the last eight years, most recently in November 2020. Based on history, we think it’s possible that Costco could announce a special dividend before the end of the year. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is Long COST. A full list of shares can be found here.) As a subscriber to CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you’ll receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling any stock in his charitable foundation’s portfolio. When Jim spoke about a stock on CNBC television, he waits 72 hours after the trade alert is issued before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTMENT CLUB INFORMATION IS GOVERNED BY OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY ALONG WITH OUR DISCLAIMER. NO OBLIGATION OR OBLIGATION SHALL BE OR CREATED BY YOUR RECEIVING OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC RESULT OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
A consumer shops at a Costco store in Miami on September 28, 2021.
Joe Raedle | Getty Images
Costco (COST) reported another strong monthly sales result for June — a sign the major retailer continues to outperform and gain market share as many of its peers struggle in a difficult economic environment.
Net sales for the month rose a solid 20.4% year over year to $22.78 billion, according to data released by Costco on Thursday. Even more impressive, however, were the retailer’s same-store sales, which rose 18.1% in June and beat Wall Street’s estimate of 14.1%.
Same-store sales – also called comparable sales or comps – is the metric we focus on the most because it provides the best insight into business trends. Analyzing comparable sales helps us understand whether the company can attract more customers and sell them more goods.
As a reminder, Costco’s reporting structure differs from most public companies. It reports its sales results every month in addition to its regularly scheduled quarterly earnings reports. We appreciate this transparency because it keeps investors informed about business developments.
Another data point we focus on is comparable sales, which excludes the impact of changes in gasoline prices and exchange rates, also known as “core” comparisons. In June, Costco’s total core comps rose 13%, beating estimates of 11.1%. This result is important because it removes the impact of elements beyond the company’s control. Core comps tell the better story, especially in a year when prices at the pump have skyrocketed and the US dollar has soared to multi-year highs.
- By product category, groceries and sundries, comparable sales rose in the mid-teens while fresh groceries rose in the high single digits.
- The non-food categories increased by almost 10% overall. This is an important category to watch due to the ongoing shift in consumer spending from goods to services. The increase of almost 10% contrasts with a low double-digit increase in May, so that a slight slowdown was recorded here. Meanwhile, ancillary sales soared in the high 50s, led by gas and food court.
Overall, the results demonstrate the incredible value Costco offers its members (particularly in gasoline) and again confirms our thesis that it is the best-run retailer in the world.
Possible catalysts
In addition to Costco’s core results, there are two potential events that we have on our radar.
First, an increase in the membership fee. Costco has increased its membership fee three times in the last 15 years, or every five to six years on average. The last price increase was in June 2017, so we entered the zone where something could happen. At the company’s last earnings announcement in late May, management was quick to downplay rumors that a rate hike was imminent, believing that now was not the right time as the slowing economy and high inflation had hurt consumers. But we wouldn’t rule out a price increase in the near future, and believe the increase would face little resistance from customers given how high refresh rates are and the amount of value buyers are getting.
The other is a special cash dividend announcement. Every few years, Costco’s cash position on its balance sheet swells to levels beyond the company’s needs. As a reward to shareholders, management takes this excess cash and returns it to shareholders via a special cash dividend. Costco has paid one four times in the last eight years, most recently in November 2020. Based on history, we think it’s possible that Costco could announce a special dividend before the end of the year.
(Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long COST. A full list of shares can be found here.)
As a CNBC Investing Club subscriber with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling any stock in his charitable foundation’s portfolio. When Jim spoke about a stock on CNBC television, he waits 72 hours after the trade alert is issued before executing the trade.
THE ABOVE INVESTMENT CLUB INFORMATION IS GOVERNED BY OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY ALONG WITH OUR DISCLAIMER. NO OBLIGATION OR OBLIGATION SHALL BE OR CREATED BY YOUR RECEIVING OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC RESULT OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.