Dow Jones futures fell slightly overnight, along with S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures, after reports that Ukraine’s nuclear power plant was on fire. The stock market rally hit resistance at a key level on Thursday, turning lower with the Nasdaq, small capitalizations and particularly aggressive growth leading down.
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Meanwhile, investors will turn their attention to the report on jobs on Friday, which should be released before the stock market opens.
Invasion of Russia in Ukraine
The Zaporozhye nuclear power plant in southern Ukraine is on fire, the mayor of the local city said. Russian troops are moving to take over the nuclear power plant, the largest in Europe and one of the 10 largest in the world,
Earlier, Ukraine said it had reached an “agreement” with Russia on humanitarian corridors, allowing Ukrainian civilians to evacuate from besieged cities and launch humanitarian aid. This would include a local ceasefire around these corridors.
But Russian President Vladimir Putin said on television that his invasion of Ukraine was “going according to plan.” The Russian military is gaining ground, especially south of the Black Sea. But it suffered significant losses in troops and equipment. Economic pain continues to escalate with growing calls for sanctions on Russia’s energy sector.
French President Emmanuel Macron has said he fears “the worst is yet to come” after a lengthy telephone conversation with Russian dictator Putin. He said Putin seemed determined to continue his invasion of Ukraine until he controlled the entire country. Russia has used artillery and bombs to hit major cities, striking many residential areas.
Breakout of stocks
Union Pacific (UNP) exploded from a flat base during the day, although it reduced closing gains. Fellow railway operator CSX (CSX) flashes aggressive record.
of Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB) also exploded. Berkshire, best known as the insurance giant, another pocket of market power, also owns the BNSF rail line. Having a huge investment in Apple (AAPL) also does not harm Berkshire.
Kroger (KR) deviated from the profit base while Farmer’s market for sprouts (SFM) also triggers purchase signals. Thor and lithium play SQM (SQM) jumped out of the base of exploding profits and bullish comments on prices.
But growth stocks lagged, especially high-value names. IN snowflake (SNOW) The sale of profits and guidelines led to heavy sales of many names.
This includes Datadog (DDOG) and Tesla (TSLA), two of the relatively outstanding three-digit PE stocks.
Key profits
Costco Wholesale (PRICE) and Broadcom (AVGO) headline on Thursday night’s winnings.
Costco’s profits and revenues exceeded the number of views. But sales growth in the same store, although above the official fiscal outlook for the second quarter, slow compared to Q1. Shares of COST fell slightly overnight. Shares rose 1% to 533.05 on Thursday. Shares of Costco have a point of purchase based on a glass of 571.59. Investors could use 534.34, just above the short-term resistance of the 50-day line, as an aggressive input.
Broadcom’s profits and guidance were better than expected. Shares of AVGO jumped 4% late. Shares fell 1.2% to 578.60 on Thursday. Broadcom shares are consolidating, but must exceed their 50-day line and a short-term aggressive entry high of 614.74. The official buying point is 677.86.
Shares of Tesla and Union Pacific are on the IBD Leaderboard, while shares of CSX have been added to the Leaderboard watch list. Union Pacific was also available for IBD Day on Thursday.
The video embedded in this article discusses market actions on Thursday and analyzes the shares of LPG, anthem (ANTM) and DDOG shares.
Job report
At 8:30 am ET, the Ministry of Labor will publish the report on jobs in February. Economists expect non-agricultural wages to rise by 390,000, with the unemployment rate falling to 3.9%. The labor force participation rate will be key as the Federal Reserve looks for signs of an increased workforce to ease bottlenecks in the supply chain and wage pressures.
The Fed is expected to raise interest rates by a quarter at its meeting on March 15-16. But the job report, the upcoming February consumer price index and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine may still change that decision.
Dow Jones futures today
Dow Jones futures are down 0.2% from fair value, turning from modest gains in a report that a nuclear power plant is on fire. S&P 500 futures fell 0.25%. Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.2%.
Dow futures are sure to move, is the report on jobs in February before the market opened.
Crude oil prices rose by more than 1%.
The yield on 10-year government bonds fell by 4 basis points to 1.8%.
Remember that the action at night in Dow futures and elsewhere does not necessarily turn into actual trading in the next regular session of the stock market.
Join the IBD experts as they analyze the actions that can be taken in the stock market rally on IBD Live
Stock market rally
The stock market rally opened sharply, but declined almost immediately, with growth and low-cap stocks hit hardest.
The Dow Jones industrial average fell 0.35% in stock trading on Thursday. The S&P 500 index fell 0.6%. The Nasdaq index fell 1.6%. Russell 2000 with a small capitalization fell by 1.2%.
Crude oil prices fell 2.6% to $ 107.67 a barrel after exceeding $ 114 in pre-market trade. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has called for a halt to Russian oil imports from the United States, which would have a relatively limited impact. However, most of Russia’s crude oil exports have failed to attract buyers. In addition to the Russia-Ukraine headlines, Western nations and Russia are making progress on a new Iranian nuclear deal. This will free up large Iranian crude oil exports.
Yields on 10-year government bonds also turned lower, falling by about 2 basis points to 1.84%.
ETFs
Among the best ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) fell 0.1%, while the Innovator IBD Breakout Opportunities ETF (BOUT) lost 0.7%. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) fell 2.5%. VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) sank 2.2%.
The SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) was up 3.2%, while the Global X US Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) was up 0.5%. The US Global Jets ETF (JETS) was down 3.4%. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) fell 1.1%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) was up 0.3% and the Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) was down 0.3%. The Health Care Fund for a selected sector SPDR (XLV) increased by 0.5%.
Reflecting more speculative stock histories, the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) was down 6.4% and the ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) down 4.6%. Ark Invest has only minimal exposure to SNOW shares, but many of its highly acclaimed stakes failed on Thursday in the avalanche of Snowflake. Tesla shares remain No. 1 in ARK Invest’s ETFs.
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Railway operators
Shares of Union Pacific rose 1.15% to 256.21, closing close to the bottom of the session. That’s after reaching 263.59 during the day, above the buying point of 256.21 for most of the day, according to MarketSmith. The flat base is only 8% deep. The relative strength of LPG stocks is record high. The RS line, the blue line in the graphs provided, tracks stock performance against the S&P 500 index.
Shares of CSX jumped 2% to 35.29, closing exactly on its 50-day line. During the day, the shares cleared their February peaks, offering aggressive entry. The point of purchase on an equal basis is 38.11.
Berkshire Hathaway is best known for its insurance operations and Warren Buffett’s investments. But BNSF’s rail operations are a key part of the business. Shares of BRKB rose 1.2% to 327.63. This cleared the four-week tight with an official buying point of 325.73. Investors may view the mid-January consolidation as an unsettled flat base.
The rail advance is coming because shipping companies are generally doing well. Ocean carriers such as Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) and Integrated delivery of Zim (ZIM) have been leading for a long time. in the meantime, JB Hunt Transport (JBHT) is applicable as other transport companies start to look interesting.
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Market rally analysis
The stock market rally opened on Thursday with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq moving above their 21-day moving average, while the Dow Jones reached just that level. But within a minute the major indexes receded and turned down,
The 21-day indicator acts as resistance to major indices for most of 2022. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq still face several other potential obstacles.
Thursday was an outdoor day for the Nasdaq, meaning its range within the day exceeded Wednesday’s highs and lows. External days are more meaningful. So the downside was even more discouraging.
Aggressive growth was killed on Thursday. Snowflake surpassed viewings late Wednesday, doubling revenue and slightly targeting higher for the current fiscal year. But that was not enough, as SNOW shares fell 15% to a nine-month low. Many other highly valued stocks, especially software, were also sold.
Shares of DDOG fell 9.7%, below its 50-day line.
Shares of Tesla, while performing much better than most EV games, fell 4.6%, back below its 21-day line, but simply managed to stay above its 21-day.
However, the attempt at a market rally remains intact. A follow-up may occur at any time to confirm the new uptrend.
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What should we do now
Just because a high school student is in college doesn’t mean she’ll graduate from MIT with honors or even graduate from high school.
Wednesday’s strong gains, which were lower than in the previous session, were encouraging. But without a day of follow-up and the main indices are still fixed below the 21-day line, there was no reason to significantly add exposure.
Attempts to rally in the market may become a confirmed uptrend in the near future and this uptrend may have legs. But the news-oriented market could quickly head south. In addition, some sectors that have done well, especially in energy and raw materials, may fall into the background if broader indices are constantly running.
So, if and when the market rally shows strength, gradually increase your exposure. For now, investors may want to take at least partial profits from the winners when they reach 10%.
There is still nothing wrong with being all or almost all in cash.
Keep working on watch lists. Stay committed to be ready to turn the market around.
Read the Big Picture every day to stay in line with market direction and leading stocks and sectors.
Please follow Ed Carson on Twitter at @IBD_ECarson for stock market updates and others.
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