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Explanation: Which international banks are exposed to Russia?

MILAN, March 1 – The latest wave of sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine has plunged the global banking industry even deeper into turmoil as Western countries try to squeeze Moscow’s access to money for its economy and international trade.

Some Russian banks will be excluded from the international payment system SWIFT, and most importantly, other sanctions have been targeted at the country’s central bank to prevent it from using its foreign reserves. Read more

The moves are intended to undermine Moscow’s ability to withstand broader economic sanctions, but also affect Western banks that are exposed to the Russian economy.

Sberbank’s European arm (SBER.MM), Russia’s largest lender, is facing failure, the European Central Bank said after a reduction in deposits caused by the crisis. Read more

In Europe, Italian and French banks have the largest exposures in Russia, with just over $ 25 billion each at the end of September, followed by Austrian banks with $ 17.5 billion, according to the Bank of International Settlements (BIS).

The exposure of American banks amounts to 14.7 billion dollars, according to BIS.

Here are some of the banks with significant Russian exposure.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is hitting the shares of banks exposed to the country

US BANKS

CITIGROUP INC (CN)

The US bank said on Monday that its total exposure to Russia was close to $ 10 billion.

Citigroup ranked Russia as 21 among its 25 largest exposures in countries with $ 5.4 billion in loans, securities and financing commitments at the end of 2021 – 0.3% of total exposures based on regulatory documentation.

On Monday, Citigroup gave more details, counting “total third-country exposure” to $ 8.2 billion. This includes $ 1.0 billion in cash at the Bank of Russia and other financial institutions and $ 1.8 billion in reverse repo transactions.

Citigroup also said it has $ 1.6 billion in exposures to additional Russian counterparties outside its Russian subsidiary that are not included in the $ 8.2 billion. Read more

By comparison, Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N) reported $ 293 million in net exposure to Russia last month, as well as a total of $ 414 million in market exposure as of December 2021.

EUROPEAN BANKS

RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL (RBI) (RBIV.VI)

The Austrian lender’s Russian business ranks as the country’s ninth largest bank in terms of loans. With total assets of 15.8 billion euros, it employs about 8,700 employees to serve more than 4.5 million customers.

Its equity of € 2.4 billion represents 18% of consolidated capital.

RBI has been operating in Russia since the collapse of the Soviet Union, and its business there contributed nearly a third of the group’s net profit of 1.5 billion euros ($ 1.66 billion) last year. Read more

RBI’s exposure in Russia totals 22.85 billion euros, more than half of which is related to the corporate private sector, according to a presentation of its 2021 results.

Russia’s central bank accounts for 8% of RBI’s exposure to the country, government entities 4% and Russian banks 2%, according to the performance.

The total figure includes 11.6 billion euros in customer loans (or 11.5% of the group), more than 80% of which are in Russian rubles.

The cross-border exposure to Russia is only 1.6 billion euros without parental funding from Vienna. Raiffeisen also holds 2.2 billion euros in loans to Ukrainian customers.

Provisions against losses cover 64.3% of RBI’s impaired exposures in Russia.

RBI CEO Johann Strobl told Reuters this week that the group’s Russian subsidiary “has a very strong liquidity position and (was) registering inflows”.

SOCIETE GENERALE (SOGN.PA)

Societe Generale began doing business in Russia in 1872, then left the country in 1917, the year of the Bolshevik Revolution, to return in 1973. It has 1.5 million local customers.

Societe Generale, which controls Russia’s Rosbank, had a total of 18 billion euros in exposure to Russia at the end of last year – or 1.7% of the group’s total.

This includes both on-balance sheet and off-balance sheet items (for example, a credit line that has not yet been used).

Of SocGen’s Russian exposure, 39% is to the corporate sector and 36% to retail. Sovereign entities represent 21%, financial institutions – 4%.

Real loans rose 13.3% last year to 10.5 billion euros.

Its Russian retail business – for which an average of € 1.05 billion in capital was allocated last year – generated € 115 million in net profit in 2021, compared to € 37 million in 2020. Including financial services, the net profit of SG Russia was 152 million euros, compared to 76 million in 2020.

The bank said it had implemented measures to adapt to the new sanctions and that Rosbank continued to operate in a “safe manner”.

UNICREDIT (CRDI.MI)

The Russian subsidiary of the Italian bank ranks as the 14th largest bank in the country. UniCredit Russia’s equity of € 2.3 billion represents 3.7% of the group’s total volume.

UniCredit’s default exposure related to Russia totaled € 14.2 billion by mid-2021

Of these, about 8 billion euros are loans granted by Russian hands and financed at the local level.

The rest includes off-balance sheet positions and cross-border loans, granted mainly by UniCredit SpA to large corporations outside Russia.

UniCredit said last week that its Russian franchise accounts for only about 3% of the group’s revenue, and provisions cover 84% of its non-performing exposures.

INTESA SANPAOLO (ISP.MI)

Italy’s largest bank is financing major investment projects in Russia, such as the Blue Stream gas pipeline and the sale of a stake in oil producer Rosneft (ROSB.MM). It handles more than half of all trade transactions between Italy and Russia.

Intesa’s loan exposure to Russia is 5.57 billion euros at the end of 2021, or 1.1% of the total.

Its subsidiaries in Russia and Ukraine have assets of € 1 billion and € 300 million, respectively, which together represent only 0.1% of the group’s total assets.

ING (INGA.AS)

The Dutch bank has about 4.5 billion euros in outstanding loans with Russian customers and about 600 million euros with customers in Ukraine, from a total credit book worth more than 600 billion euros.

ING said many sanctions against Russia have been in place since 2014.

(1 dollar = 0.9016 euros)

Additional reports by Brena Hughes Negavy in Zurich, Toby Stirling in Amsterdam, Alexandra Schwartz-Görlich in Vienna, Elizabeth Dilts in New York; edited by John O’Donnell, Andrew Havens and Jane Merriman

Our standards: ‘ principles of trust.

Explanation: Which international banks are exposed to Russia? Read More »

Shares open as Russia intensifies attacks on Ukraine

US stocks plummeted on Tuesday to mark another volatile day on Wall Street as investors assessed intensifying Russian attacks on Ukraine and the attack on new Western sanctions against the possibility of geopolitical uncertainty to divert the Federal Reserve from its aggressive first strike. rates.

The S&P 500 fell 1.7% to its lowest session value of 4,299.97, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.1% to 33,166.98. The Nasdaq Composite also fell 1.6% to 13,525.98. The 10-year US public finance index fell to 1.7%. The last trading day in February on Monday marked the worst start of the year for the Dow and S&P 500 since 2020. The Nasdaq, which has now fallen 12.1% since the beginning of the year, recorded its worst January and February of 2009 this year.

WTI crude, meanwhile, jumped 10 percent to a high of $ 105 a barrel, marking its highest price since 2014 amid worries about a collapse in the energy sector.

Russia’s economy was in the spotlight on Monday as tougher sanctions by the United States and European allies on its invasion of Ukraine shook the country’s financial system and led to a 30 percent drop in the ruble.

US and European measures, including a move to block some Russian banks from the SWIFT payment network and sanctions against Russia’s central bank, have already dealt a heavier-than-expected blow to the country’s economy, testing decades of efforts by President Vladimir Putin to to make the system resistant to sanctions.

The United States, the European Commission, France, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom and Canada issued a joint statement Saturday launching selected Russian banks from SWIFT, a network that works to facilitate trillions of dollars in global transactions.

On Monday, the United States also banned Americans from doing business with the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, the National Wealth Fund of the Russian Federation and the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation. Western financial institutions are expected to follow suit, with HSBC limiting its dealings with a number of Russian banks, including the second-largest VTB.

The crisis between Russia and Ukraine “will create great pain and damage the Russian economy,” Virginia Sen. Mark Warner told Yahoo Finance Live on Monday. “This is a much bigger economic blow than Putin expected.”

As investors watch the escalation of the crisis abroad in the United States, they turn their attention back to the Federal Reserve and its plan to raise interest rates this month.

Sky-high inflation footprints on a monthly basis have raised fears among market participants that central bank employees will raise short-term borrowing costs more aggressively than expected to mitigate rising prices, even fueling the possibility of doubled interest rates by 50 basis points. mid-March. But with uncertainty about how the Russia-Ukraine turmoil will unfold, Fed observers expect the central bank to take a slight rise in interest rates.

“Given the current conflict in Ukraine, significant short-term uncertainty remains with the central bank’s intentions,” LPL financial strategists Lawrence Gillam and Ryan Detrick said in a note, adding that pressure to raise oil and other commodity prices and sanctions against Russia could have wider economic consequences. “As such, inflationary pressures may remain high, especially when it comes to gas prices.

And yet, like many Fed observers, the LPL has raised its price for the first time from 25 basis points this month – so far.

“As long as there is some kind of deal or the violence does not subside in Ukraine, the markets will remain at increased risk and Powell will look to be a little more careful,” Sputting Rock Asset Management chief strategist Rhys Williams told Yahoo Finance Live.

12:05 ET: Shares are declining as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine rages

These were the main movements of the markets during the lunch trade

  • S&P 500 futures (ES = F): -72.70 points (-1.66%), to 4301.24

  • Dow futures (YM = F): -696.50 points (-2.06%), to 33,196.10

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ = F): -201.44 points (-1.44%) to 13,549.96

  • raw (CL = F): + $ 10.54 (+ 11.01%) to $ 1106.26 per barrel

  • gold (GC = F): + $ 34.50 (+ 1.82%) to $ 1935.20 per ounce

  • 10-year treasury (^ TNX): -14.44 bps to 1.695% yield

11:25 a.m. ET: Construction jumps in January despite higher costs

Construction costs in the United States jumped in January amid high costs for single-family housing and private non-residential structures.

The Ministry of Trade reported a 1.3% increase in construction and revision costs on December data, which reflected that construction costs rose by 0.8% instead of the originally reported 0.2%.

Bloomberg’s consensus data show that economists expect 0.1% cost recovery.

Housing construction remains under pressure from higher construction material costs despite the jump in January. The National Association of Home Builders said last month that failures in the production of building materials inflated construction prices and delayed projects.

10:25 a.m. ET: US manufacturing resumes

Production activity in the United States rose more than expected in February as COVID-19 infections declined. However, factory employment has slowed, exacerbated supply chain disruptions and put upward pressure on commodity prices.

The latest footprint of the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) for its national factory index rose to 58.6 last month from 57.6 in January, the lowest figure since November 2020.

A figure above 50 indicates an expansion in production, which represents 11.9% of the US economy. Economists polled by Bloomberg expected a footprint of 58.0.

10:00 a.m. ET: Kohls rises better than expected

Kohl’s Corp. (KSS) missed analysts’ forecasts for the fourth quarter, but reported an optimistic revenue outlook for 2022 and said it would “reward its momentum” this year.

The company recorded a 13% drop in fourth-quarter net profit to $ 299 million for the quarter ended January 29, 2022, from $ 343 million in the same period a year ago.

Although declining on a quarterly basis, net annual income jumped to $ 938 million, compared to a loss of $ 163 million in 2020 due to the pandemic. Earnings per share reached a record high of $ 7.33 in 2021.

Meanwhile, the company said it was committed to unsolicited bidders. Kohls is under pressure from activist investors, including Macellum Advisors and Engine Capital, to increase shareholder value and improve its financial performance, and also called for the company to be split into separate online and ordinary businesses, the retailer said. rejected.

Shares of Kohls rose 4.48% to $ 58.11 per share at 9:59 a.m. ET.

SAN RAFAEL, CALIFORNIA - JANUARY 24: The Kohl logo is displayed on the exterior of a Kohl store on January 24, 2022 in San Rafael, California.  Kohl's retailer received an unwanted takeover bid worth $ 9 billion from activist investor Starboard Value through Acacia Research Corp.  The offer is for $ 64 per share compared to the last closing price of $ 46.84 per share on Friday.  (Photo by Justin Sullivan / Getty Images)

SAN RAFAEL, CALIFORNIA – JANUARY 24: The Kohl logo is displayed on the exterior of a Kohl store on January 24, 2022 in San Rafael, California. Kohl’s retailer received an unwanted takeover bid worth $ 9 billion from activist investor Starboard Value through Acacia Research Corp. The offer is for $ 64 per share compared to the last closing price of $ 46.84 per share on Friday. (Photo by Justin Sullivan / Getty Images)

9:47 am ET: Target jumps at the beginning of trading after rising profits

Shares of Target (TGT) jumped 14% at opening, after the company reported better-than-expected prospects for its annual adjusted earnings per share.

The retailer shattered analysts’ fourth-quarter profit forecasts as consumers sought clothing and food deals amid rising inflation.

“The quarter was driven by traffic. This means that users voted with their feet and clicks and chose Target more often. So this is an incredibly healthy sign for our business, “said Target CFO Michael Fidelke at Yahoo Finance Live.

The target rose 11.42% to $ 222.59 per share at 9:47 a.m. ET.

9:30 a.m. ET: US stocks hold steady as investors continue to watch Russia, Ukraine

Here’s how the markets opened for Tuesday’s trading session:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES = F): -11.34 points (-0.26%), to 4,362.60

  • Dow futures (YM = F): -169.64 points (-0.50%), to 33,722.96

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ = F): -46.40 points (-0.34%) to 13,705.00

  • raw (CL = F): +5.39 dollars (+ 5.63%) to 101.11 dollars per barrel

  • gold (GC = F): + $ 19.50 (+ 1.03%) to $ 1920.20 per ounce

  • 10-year treasury (^ TNX): -6.0 bps to 1.779% yield

7:00 AM ET: Futures fall as Russia’s attack on Ukraine enters its sixth day

Here’s how the Wall Street key performance contracts presented themselves before Tuesday’s opening:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES = F): -38.00 points (-0.87%), to 4330.00

  • Dow futures (YM = F): -258.00 points (-0.76%), to 33,582.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ = F): -132.25 points (-0.93%) to 14,095.75

  • raw (CL = F): +3.75 dollars (+ 3.92%) to 99.47 dollars per barrel

  • gold (GC = F): + $ 22.70 (+ 1.19%) to $ 1923.40 per ounce

  • 10-year treasury (^ TNX): 0.00 bps to receive 1.839%

18:05 ET Monday: Equity futures stable as investors watch Russia-Ukraine crisis

Here are the main movements in the markets before overnight trading on Monday:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES = F): +3.75 points (+ 0.09%), to 4371.75

  • Dow futures (YM = F): +20.00 points (+ 0.06%), up to 33,860.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ = F): -9.50 points (-0.07%) to 14,218.50

  • raw (CL = F): + $ 0.16 (+ 0.17%) to $ 95.88 per barrel

  • gold (GC = F): + $ 8.80 (+ 0.46%) to $ 1909.50 per ounce

  • 10-year treasury (^ TNX): -14.7 bps to 1.822% yield

White House spokeswoman Jen Psaki listens to Dalip Singh as deputy national security adviser on international economics , USA, February 24, 2022. REUTERS / Leah Millis

White House spokeswoman Jen Psaki listens to Dalip Singh as deputy national security adviser on international economics , USA, February 24, 2022. REUTERS / Leah Millis

Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter @alexandraandnyc

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Shares open as Russia intensifies attacks on Ukraine Read More »

Waymo will soon start asking San Francisco riders to pay for travel

One of Waymo's Jaguar I-Paces on the streets of San Francisco.
Zoom in / One of Waymo’s Jaguar I-Paces on the streets of San Francisco.

Waymo

Waymo’s walks in San Francisco will soon start costing money, according to TechCrunch. Alphabet’s division of robotaxi has received the necessary permission from the California Utilities Commission, which allows it to charge customers for their trips, something that should start happening later in March.

Initially, Waymo began training his ax-robot to drive across the flat, sunny latitudes of Chandler, Arizona. And in October 2020, the company finally started offering a real commercial transport service in the area.

Ironically, there are limitations to the lessons you can learn in such a car-oriented environment. Autonomous vehicle training is about extreme management, and there are many more in San Francisco’s dense, chaotic, pedestrian-filled environment than in the Arizona suburbs.

In the fall of 2021, Waymo successfully applied for a deployment permit from the California Department of Motor Vehicles. Until then, the startup robotaxi had a testing permit issued for the first time in 2014. This allowed it to test its autonomous vehicles on public roads, first with a safety driver on board, and then in 2018 without this person on site. of the driver. But Waymo could not carry passengers.

Waymo’s DMV permit allows the company to operate in parts of San Francisco and San Mateo counties, even in light rain and light fog and at speeds up to 65 mph (105 km / h).

But this implementation permit alone was not enough to start commercial operations – it also required CPUC approval. And now Waymo has that, although customers who welcome travel to San Francisco will find that they share the cabin with a human safety operator under the terms of the permit.

Waymo will soon start asking San Francisco riders to pay for travel Read More »

The black woman says Delta moved her to the back of the plane for white leaflets

A black woman accused Delta Air Lines of discrimination after a flight attendant allegedly asked her to move to the back of a plane to make room for two white women.

Camille Henderson said she was sitting near the window of row 15 during a Feb. 3 flight from Atlanta to San Francisco when women sitting in the aisle and middle seats next to her said they had first-class tickets. ABC 7 reported.

“They felt they had first-class tickets, but they couldn’t get the tickets,” Henderson told the news agency, adding that the women had continued to complain for more than an hour.

Henderson recorded part of the exchange between the women and the flight attendant.

“Unfortunately, my first class seats are taken,” a woman was heard saying, according to a recording received from ABC 7.

“What are they?” another person is heard to say.

“They are busy,” the woman replied.

Camille Henderson.
Camille Henderson claims she was asked to move to the back of the plane to make room for two white women.
ABC 7
Delta planes.
“Delta has no tolerance for discrimination in any form,” said an airline spokesman.
Yuki Iwamura / AFP via Getty Images

Henderson told the station that the flight attendants had then decided to give the women more space at her expense.

“Are you flying alone?” one hears one ask Henderson, who replies that it is her.

“There’s a seat in the back of lane 34. It’s a seat next to the aisle,” said the obvious employee.

Henderson, who said the crew did not ask the women to move, reluctantly agreed to go to the back row, according to the publication.

Camille Henderson.
“In an attempt to reconcile [the women]they basically made me move, ”recalls Camille Henderson.
ABC 7

“I don’t want to turn it into a race, but instead of asking the two white women sitting next to me (to move) in an attempt to shelter them, they actually made me move,” she told ABC 7.

“I just don’t know why I had to move, because that was the place I paid for, that was my designated place,” she added. “It simply came to our notice then. It’s as if the whole flight is watching you and asking what’s going on. “

Henderson said she was not happy with what Delta’s customer service representative told her, whom she finally contacted by phone.

“How were you humiliated to be asked to go somewhere else?” One can hear one asking in a recording she provided to the store, suggesting that there was no inconvenience as she was moved elsewhere. in economics.

“You’re basically saying there’s nothing you can do?” she told the representative.

Call a Delta representative.
Camille Henderson told a Delta spokesman that the whole ordeal was “humiliating.”
ABC 7

“No, not in the circumstances I’m showing, ma’am,” the man was heard to reply.

A spokesman for the airline told ABC7: “We are looking into this situation to better understand what happened.

“Delta has no tolerance for discrimination in any form and these allegations run counter to our deep values ​​of respecting and respecting the diversity of our customers,” he added.

Henderson vowed never to fly Delta again.

“As a black woman, I was displaced to accommodate two white women comfortably. That doesn’t make any sense to me, “she told the paper.

The black woman says Delta moved her to the back of the plane for white leaflets Read More »

An official representative of Ukraine confirms an urgent request for Western satellite data

A satellite image of Maxar shows the accumulation of Russian vehicles and helicopters at an airport in Belarus before the invasion of Ukraine.
Zoom in / A satellite image of Maxar shows the accumulation of Russian vehicles and helicopters at an airport in Belarus before the invasion of Ukraine.

Maxar Technologies

Updated, 10 a.m. ET, March 1, 2022: On Tuesday, Mikhail Fedorov, Ukraine’s deputy prime minister and minister of digital transformation, confirmed that his country is seeking co-operation from commercial satellite operators. The aim is to obtain data, especially from synthetic aperture radar, on the movement of Russian vehicles so that Ukrainian forces can react.

“We really need the opportunity to observe the movement of Russian troops, especially at night, when our technology is actually blind!” “Satellite SAR data are important for understanding the movement of Russian troops and vehicles at night, given that clouds cover about 80 percent of Ukraine during the day,” Fedorov wrote in a letter. posted on Twitter.

Ukrainian entrepreneur Max Polyakov made the initial request Monday night with an urgent request saying, “We need the data now.” His company EOS Data Analytics offers fast analysis and processing of data for use by the Ukrainian Defense Service. The company has created a web page here with more information.

Original post: Ukrainian entrepreneur Max Polyakov was emotional – and sometimes angry – during a 20-minute conversation with reporters Monday night as he spoke about the Russian military’s attack on his homeland.

“In an hour there will be another attack on Kyiv,” Polyakov said, pointing out his watch. “We need the data now.”

The data he mentioned were real-time observations made by trade satellites flying over Ukraine. Polyakov is urging the operators of these satellites, mostly Western companies that sell data to governments and private customers, to share their data freely with one of his companies, EOS Data Analytics.

Polyakov said the EOS would quickly process this data on passage through Ukraine and provide some basic analysis before sending the information to the Ukrainian Defense Service and the Ministry of Digital Transformation. The EOS has the ability to quickly distinguish 18 different types of Russian military vehicles, he said.

“We need to have that intelligence right now,” he said. “Every night we are bombed and at night we are blind. We need this information, please. “

Polyakov noted that in recent days, commercial companies have been releasing high-resolution satellite images in public space to showcase their capabilities. While this is impressive, he acknowledged, such publications have been more useful for public relations purposes than for providing useful information to the Ukrainian military. The data is often two or three days old, Polyakov said. “We don’t need to know where the Russian tanks were two days ago,” he said.

He also pointed to the need for a special type of intelligence that has become increasingly popular in recent years: data from synthetic aperture radar or SAR, satellites. Unlike passive optical satellites, which collect data in the visible, near-infrared and short-wave infrared parts of the spectrum, these satellites emit their own energy. They then record the energy reflected back from the Earth’s surface.

The main advantage of SAR satellites is that they can collect data day and night and through the cloud cover. Polyakov said SAR satellite data is important for understanding the movement of Russian troops and vehicles at night, noting that clouds cover about 80 percent of Ukraine during the day.

Screenshot of Polyakov speaking during a conversation on Zoom with a handful of reporters.
Zoom in / Screenshot of Polyakov speaking during a conversation on Zoom with a handful of reporters.

Noosphere / Magnification

Polyakov turned to Planet Labs, Maxar Technologies, Airbus, SI Imaging Services, SpaceView, BlackSky, Iceye, Capella and other companies that can provide the necessary data.

During a conversation with reporters, Polyakov admitted that he was making an “aggressive” request. The 44-year-old entrepreneur has an unequal relationship with US regulators and was recently – and unfairly for some observers – forced to sell his stake in US-based startup Firefly. However, the passion he clearly has for preserving his homeland is hard to deny.

It is not clear immediately how the trading companies will react. This was the first major war in which commercially available satellite images played a significant role in providing open source information on troop movements, military deployments in neighboring countries, refugee flows, and more.

Previously, such data were their own and were largely collected by a handful of nations. The role of such powerful, widely available technology has not yet been defined in the field of warfare, and it is unclear whether private companies are willing to freely transfer raw data to another trading company with the intention of helping one side in the conflict.

But we have yet to find out.

An official representative of Ukraine confirms an urgent request for Western satellite data Read More »

Mortgage rates fall just as house prices set a new record

The house is offered for sale by the owner on January 20, 2022 in Chicago, Illinois.

Scott Olson Getty Images

Mortgage interest rates are falling as markets struggle with the effects of Russia’s attack on Ukraine, which means housing prices are likely to continue to rise.

The average interest rate on the popular 30-year fixed mortgage has risen close to full interest rates since the beginning of this year until last Friday, when it reached 4.18%, according to Mortgage News Daily. It is below 4% on Tuesday.

This will give home buyers more purchasing power with the start of the historically busy spring season. In addition, it will maintain record high house prices, which will continue to rise. Prices in January were 19.1% higher than the previous year, according to a report released Tuesday by CoreLogic. This level of growth is the highest since 45 years, when CoreLogic began to track prices.

“In December and January, inventories continued to be the lowest we’ve seen in a generation,” said Frank Nottaft, chief economist at CoreLogic. “Buyers continue to bid for limited supply.

Nothaft added that the rise in interest rates on mortgages since January has eroded the availability of buyers and that price growth should slow in the coming months, but it all depends on how long this decline in interest rates will continue. It may be short, given the way in which other factors weighing on the mortgage market are not related to the crisis in Ukraine.

Mortgage rates are weakly following the yield on the 10-year-old US Treasury, which fell to its lowest level since late January on Tuesday. Markets are experiencing instability due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

For now, the Treasury move is causing interest rates to be withdrawn. But mortgage interest rates are managed more directly than the demand for mortgage-backed bonds. These bonds often mimic 10-year-olds, but not always and now is one of those not always periods.

Unlike Treasuries, the duration of MBS may vary depending on the demand for refinancing. A 30-year fixed-term loan rarely lasts 30 years. If people refinance or sell their homes faster, then the term of the bond does not last that long. Given higher interest rates now and more refinancing opportunities, MBS’s current harvest is not expected to last much more than five years, according to Matthew Graham, chief operating officer of Mortgage News Daily.

In the last three months, 5-year bonds rose 0.10% more than 10-year bonds. Because mortgage bonds behaved more like 5-year treasury bonds with shorter maturities, they had a harder time dealing with 10-year ones.

“The prospect of buying Fed bonds also hurts MBS more than Treasures, because the Fed accounts for a larger percentage of the total demand for buying new MBS,” Graham said. “So if the Fed leaves (which is underway), MBS prices need to fall even more to attract buyers. Lower MBS prices = higher interest rates, other things being equal.”

However, given geopolitical tensions, there is now a greater demand for short-term debt, so mortgage interest rates are at a better pace with the wider bond market. The question is how long it will be, and the answer depends on what is happening in Ukraine and abroad.

Mortgage rates fall just as house prices set a new record Read More »

5 things you need to know before the stock market opens on Tuesday, March 1

Here are the most important news, trends and analyzes from which investors should start their trading day:

1. Stock futures start lower in March as Russia heads to Kyiv

NYSE Traders on February 28, 2022

Source: NYSE

US stock futures fell on Tuesday, the first day of March, when Russia clashed with the Ukrainian capital Kyiv. Bond yields fell as oil and bitcoins jumped. Investors are also concentrating on retail profits, with Target shares rising 12% after forecasting continued sales growth.

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 broke the winning streak of two sessions with modest losses on Monday; although they were quite the lowest points of the day. The rally at the end of the session actually pushed the Nasdaq positively. For the whole of February, the three benchmarks of shares fell by more than 3% each.

2. Target stocks are rising as the retailer forecasts growth after the pandemic

David Paul Morris Bloomberg | Getty Images

Target ended in 2021, saying it tackled the challenges of the supply chain on Tuesday and relied on e-commerce and customer profits during the Covid pandemic. Earnings for the fourth quarter exceeded forecasts, while revenue was missed. But stocks did rise better than expected for the full year on top and bottom lines and rosy operating margins.

  • Target said Monday that it will spend $ 300 million more next year on salaries and health benefits. Starting salaries will range from $ 15 to $ 25 per employee per hour, based on their roles and local markets. About 20% more employees will be eligible for medical benefits.

3. US oil exceeds $ 101 a barrel as bond yields fall, bitcoin jumps

Satellite images from Maxar Technologies, taken on February 28, appear to show a convoy of Russian vehicles advancing toward the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv. The company says these images show the northern end of the convoy, with logistics and supply vehicles. Satellite image (c) 2022 Maxar Technologies.

Maxar Technologies | Getty Images

U.S. oil prices jumped more than 4 percent on Tuesday, with West Texas Intermediate oil surpassing $ 101 a barrel, its highest level since July 2014, after Russia hit Ukraine’s second-largest city, Kharkiv, and A 40-kilometer convoy approached Kyiv. US sanctions for Moscow’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine are not aimed at oil from Russia, which exports about 4 to 5 million barrels of crude oil a day.

Investors also sought bond security, pushing back 10-year bond yields to about 1.77% on Tuesday. Bitcoin jumped 6%, albeit away from overnight highs, to about $ 44,400. Proponents of cryptocurrency see bitcoin as a refuge and a means of storing value such as gold. Real gold prices also rose by more than 1% to approximately $ 1920 an ounce.

4. The President of Ukraine says that “no one will break us”

This general view shows the damaged local town hall of Kharkiv on March 1, 2022, destroyed as a result of shelling by Russian troops.

Sergey Bobok AFP | Getty Images

On the sixth day of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, fighting went beyond military targets, with Associated Press reporters documenting evidence of shelling of homes, schools and hospitals. The Kremlin denies this. The first round of talks between Ukraine and Russia failed to lead to a ceasefire. The two sides agreed on a new meeting in the coming days.

  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky addressed the European Parliament on Tuesday, saying “no one will break us.” Earlier in a Facebook video, Zelensky called the shelling of Kharkiv “undisguised terror” that “no one will forget.” He also said keeping Kyiv was a “key priority”.

5. Biden is preparing for the state of the Union during turbulent times

US President Joe Biden pauses as he speaks at an event marking Black History Month at the White House in Washington, DC, February 28, 2022.

Kevin Lamarck Reuters

President Joe Biden will deliver a speech on the state of the Union on Tuesday night, facing turmoil both abroad and at home. From Russian aggression, bringing the United States out of the pandemic through a strained social and climate agenda, to rising inflation, Biden is addressing a nation that studies say is disappointed with its performance in the White House.

  • Biden will speak to a predominantly full and optional crowd in the House of Commons, one of the signs of mitigating the Covid threat. But his speech will also be from the newly fenced Capitol due to renewed security concerns after last year’s uprising.

– The Associated Press contributed to this report. Get involved now for the CNBC Investment Club to follow Jim Every movement of Kramer’s shares. Follow broader market actions as a professional CNBC Pro.

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Uber’s new feature allows you to book dinner reservations, concert tickets

People wear protective masks in front of the headquarters of Uber Technologies Inc. in San Francisco, California, USA, on Wednesday, June 9, 2021.

David Paul Morris Bloomberg | Getty Images

A new feature of Uber’s “Explore” announced on Tuesday will allow users to book reservations for dinner, concert tickets and other events directly through the Uber app.

This change demonstrates the transportation app’s strategy to expand beyond travel in an attempt to build new revenue streams. The company is investing heavily in its Uber Eats food, beverage and convenience services during the pandemic, and this segment continues to outperform travel. Shipping revenue of $ 2.42 billion exceeds $ 2.28 billion generated by the core vehicle business, for example.

This new feature, Uber Explore, will appear as a new tab in the Uber app. Consumers can purchase tickets with their Uber Wallet or credit card.

The Research section will show categories including food and drink, arts and culture, nightlife, music and shows, and will provide personalized recommendations based on where consumers have traveled in the past. With the ride there now feature, users can book a trip to the destination they just bought.

Uber Explore is available from Tuesday, starting in Atlanta; Chicago; Dallas; Houston; Los Angeles; Memphis, Tennessee; Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota; New Orleans; Orlando, Florida; San Antonio; San Francisco and Seattle. It is also live in New Jersey, upstate New York, and Mexico City, Mexico.

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