Almost a year later US elections, polls continually show a fluctuating trend in the preferences of American voters, both within parties and between major challengers. About what is still stated as the main fight, i.e. the one in between Joe Biden And Donald Trump, the primacy the incumbent seemed to maintain until the summer appears to be waning as the president prepares for the age-old impeachment affair. In addition, the numerous gaffes that have occurred in the last few hours only reinforce the suspicion that the President may now be unsuitable for reappointment because he has exceeded the age limit.
US elections: What the latest poll says
According to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll, Biden would trail Trump by 10 points (42% to 52%) if the US elections were to take place in the next few hours. An innovation that significantly shifts the focus of the primary election campaign and promises sparks, an exception compared to all other surveys that have shown a head-to-head race over the summer. The poll shows the president continuing to lose ground while also becoming dissatisfied with his administrationEconomy and immigration (see the New York case in chaos), but also in relation to the affair Ukraine: More and more Americans say Washington is doing too much to help Kiev and build up its military.
The widespread concerns about him remain a fixture of the Doléances high age. More than three in five Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say they would prefer a candidate other than the outgoing president. But Biden’s advisers maintain that despite everything, given the other two declared candidates, he remains the strongest Democrat for 2024 and the only credible one.
However, those who want a last-minute replacement (8%) suggest the vice president Kamala Harris(8%) the Senator Bernie Sanders or simply (20%) “someone else” because they are tired of the usual numbers. Trump is now in a strong position nationwide despite facing numerous criminal disputes. But Biden’s impeachment is a plus for him, an unexpected element that has leveled the electoral pedigree of both, if only partially.
Trump is favored by 54% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, down from 51% in May. The Governor of Florida Ron DeSantis is second at 15%, up from 25% in May. Behind, just lagging behind, even infamous: No other Republican reaches double digits. Trump is also ahead of his Republican rivals in recent state polls, which likely provide more reliable indicators of how the Republican race will evolve in the coming months than national polls.
The possible impeachment is slowing Biden’s candidacy in the US elections
The same poll also asked voters to express their opinion on the issue of impeachment, although the process is currently in its early stages. Here, too, the odds are against the outgoing president: 58% of those surveyed believe that he should be treated like any other citizen and prosecuted. However, the share of those who believe Biden is being unfairly victimized by his political opponents has fallen to 32%.
Public opinion appears evenly divided on whether Congress should begin impeachment proceedings before the US election escalates further: 7 in 10 Republicans support the process; On the other hand, 8 in 10 Democrats say they oppose it, describing the process as “political.” For this reason too, overall approval remains around the same level as May (37%), but lower than in February when it was 42%. The poll also showed Biden’s disapproval rating at 56%, a figure that is consistent with recent polls and appears to erase the good credit Democrats gained after the midterm elections last year.
Even Bidenomics was rejected by US voters
The same analysis also asked whether American citizens, looking back, would have retroactively approved of Trump’s performance as president. The result was 48% disapproval and 49% strong support for the White House’s policies ahead of 2021. Americans in particular seem to regret and point the finger at the tycoon’s economic management bidenomics: Voters would not forgive the incumbent president despite the fact that in recent weeks he has promoted and defended his strategy: low unemployment, infrastructure spending, the fight against climate change and investments in the green sector.
Elements that not all voters in the United States seem to appreciate, even in the face of donations to Kiev: fears for theinflation Eating up the purchasing power of millions of American families will drive approval of current economic policies to 30%, the lowest level of his presidency. A factor that leads three out of four respondents to reject the state of the art in the American economy despite everything Unemployment rate remained below 4% for most of the year.
Next, 57% of citizens described employment policy as negative. The Biden presidency is also being rejected on the gas and energy market (for 87% the prices are now dizzying), but above all on the prices Groceries (91% of negative opinions), which primarily affect single-income families living below the poverty line. All issues that the GOP promises to fight for in the US elections, a year from now and for the entire duration of the primaries.