The Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets meet in game four of the 2023 NBA Finals Friday night. On Wednesday, the Nuggets recorded a 109-94 win over the Heat. Denver seems to have found their rhythm away from home, having won four straight away games. On the other hand, Miami has lost three straight home games after starting the playoffs 6-0.
The game at the Kaseya Center in Miami begins at 8:30 p.m. ET. Denver is a 3.5-point favorite in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Nuggets vs. Heat odds while the over/under total sits at 211. Before hitting Heat vs. Nuggets tips, be sure to check out SportsLine’s trusted NBA expert Matthew Severance has to say.
Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has been in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. In his last 164 NBA picks, he’s 106-57-1 against the spread and grossing $3,379 for $100 players. Everyone who follows him has achieved tremendous success.
Now, Severance has his sights set on Nuggets vs. Heat and has just shared his NBA Finals tips and predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see his selection. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Heat vs. Nuggets:
- Nuggets vs Heat Spread: Denver -3.5
- Nuggets vs. Heat over/under: 211 points
- Moneyline Nuggets vs. Heat: Denver -165, Miami +140
- MIA: The Heat are 7-2 against the record after an ATS loss in the last nine games
- DEN: The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last four away games
- Nuggets vs. Heat Tips: See tips at SportsLine
Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets
Why the nuggets can cover
Forward Bruce Brown brings tremendous energy and commitment from the bench. Brown plays strong defense, rebounds well, and is good at deflecting outside shots. The Miami product averaged 11.6 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.1 steals per game in the postseason. He has scored in double digits in seven of his last nine games. On June 4, Brown had 11 points, five boards, and two steals.
Guard Jamal Murray has regularly set teams on fire throughout the postseason. Murray is an unmanned gunner with the ability to score while dribbling and act as a catching and firing weapon. The Kentucky product has scored at least 30 points in four of their last seven games. In Wednesday’s win over the Heat, Murray hit a triple-double with 34 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists. See which team you should pick here.
Why the heat can cover
Guard Gabe Vincent is a deadly threat in the backcourt. Vincent has a good knight on the edge and as a moderator has a solid view of the field. The 26-year-old sits third on the team in points (13.6) and 3.7 assists per game in the playoffs. He also photographs 40% from the city center. In Miami’s Game 2 win, Martin finished the game with 23 points and made four 3-pointers.
There are a few snipers outside of this group. Guard Duncan Robinson is excellent at moving off the ball to put distance from defenders. He averages 9.0 points and makes 44% of his 3-point shots. In Game 2, he totaled 10 points and made two 3-pointers. Guard Max Strus is also a sniper. Strus thrives as a catch-and-shoot option. In two of his last five games, he’s hit double digits with at least two 3-pointers. See which team you should pick here.
How to do heat vs. nuggets picks
Leaning against Under in terms of overall score, Severance has identified a critical X-factor that he believes makes one side of the spread a must. At SportsLine you can find out what it is and see which side of the heat vs. nugget spreads backwards.
Who wins Nuggets vs. Heat and which crucial X-factor makes one side of the spread a must? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Friday’s Heat vs. Nuggets spread you need to jump to, all from the expert who has returned players $3,379 to $100 in his last 164 NBA picks, and find it out of here.