You know me, I respect most traditions.
In the media world we say what we will pay attention to in the coming year.
Everything will revolve around two fundamental questions.
Can Justin Trudeau right the Liberal boat?
The PQ's breakthrough: flash in the pan or not?
Trudeau
The prime minister can wait until 2025 before calling an election if the NDP continues to support him.
Objectively speaking, things are going very badly for him.
Canadians are fed up with his antics and his emptiness. The Liberals are eyeing Mark Carney to convince him to replace him.
Poilievre
The Conservatives' lead is considerable.
Poilievre cleverly stays away from polarizing topics like immigration and talks about consensual issues like housing and inflation.
But Trudeau still has two trump cards in his game and perhaps a third.
The economy will improve in 2024.
And he barely needs more than 35% of the vote to stay in power.
He won with 32.6% in 2021 and 33.1% in 2019 (39.4% in 2015), and the liberal vote is better distributed than the conservative vote.
Perhaps his third advantage lies south of the border.
Trump card
If Trump is the Republican nominee and has a real chance of winning, Trudeau will say nothing would be worse than electing a Canadian version of the phenomenon.
You might say it's crude, but Justin Trudeau never overestimated the intelligence of voters, and that worked very well for him.
PQ
The PQ has climbed to first place in the polls – three years before the elections.
He obviously won't complain about that.
It's increasing among young people and in the Quebec region, something we haven't seen in ages.
If it owes much to its leader's performance, it also owes much to dissatisfaction with the CAQ.
When, as is now the case, discontent benefits a single party rather than spreading, it is because people are looking for an alternative to government.
But the PQ doesn't just want to rule a province. He wants independence. However, support for it remains stable.
Many Quebecers say they would vote to bring the PQ to power and then vote no in the referendum it wants to organize.
franchise
Old, old dilemma, a film that has been seen a thousand times, which – if you have even a few cents of knowledge of the past – can only be met with fairness: a vote for the PQ is a vote for a party that does not hide its motives for being and will try to make it possible.
The PLQ demands nothing better. He would find his only paying horse.
QS and CAQ would experience terrible tensions.
If the PQ remains in first place until then, in 2024 all the classic questions related to the sovereign project will return – all have been raised in the past, but the memory is so short.