THE winds of war blow like never before during the diplomacy She’s not just stuck in the swamp of what many are beginning to think is a Proxy warbut myself return. This trend was observed by those who watched the last weeks of the war. A dangerous trend because it runs the risk of finally breaking the delicate balance between confrontation on the battlefield and dialogue at the negotiating table (or even just underground), which a can prevent escalation of the conflict that would mean Third World War. So while Wladimir Putin promises to use all means to ensure Russian victory, Xi Jinping he sends his foreign minister to introduce his own peace plan at the head of the executive branch of Fly. A plan that people don’t like from the start United States because it would leave the role to China, its main international competitor mediatorand represent a first step towards a New multipolar world order.
The Russian President reached a new high in tension during his last speech at the duma. Putin turned a war “against i Ukrainian Nazis‘ or ‘to liberate the Russian people Donbass‘, in a clash ‘for the survival of Russia“. Translated from the federal military doctrine: when the existence of the country is threatened, the use of nuclear weapons it is allowed, even if Putin himself has assured “that we will not use it for the time being”. What also turns out is that the attentions of Kremlin They have definitely edged out the local enemy, the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyyto the global, ie to United StatesThe Born and in a broader sense i European countries.
A broader and more ambitious vision, which, according to Moscow leaders, will lead to a reorganization of theworld orderwith Washington who would lose her role as hegemonic power in favor of a new multipolar equilibrium that will support the rise of China, bred by Russia and in the future also by other growing countries in the world. A vision also shared by Beijing, which represents the main meeting place with the Federation, so compelling Xi Jinping To talk about it “Friendship Without Borders” during the famous meeting with Putin during the inauguration of winter Olympics from Beijing.
This alliance between Russia and China, intentional but never military, prompted the US response, which is already engaged in one trade conflict sharpened with Beijing during the mandate donald trump which is now experiencing a new escalation. From exchanging accusations to alleged ones Chinese spy balloons intercepted over US skies and those that Beijing says Washington would have sent over China continue to clash endlessly Taiwan and the Tensions in the Indo-PacificThe battle is now in full swing. This is also reflected in the choice of Joe Biden to fly Kyiv to meet Zelenskyy on the very day that the Chinese Foreign Minister, Wang Yiarrived in Moscow to visit the Kremlin i 12 points of the peace plan. A move seen by Washington as a show of force in its support for Kiev.
The problem, if we only look at it from the point of view of the war in Ukraine, is that we are talking about the two powers that, together with Russia, could decide the outcome of the conflict by sitting down at a peace table. But as I said, the positions still seem very far away. There People’s Republic sent his personal message to the West: “Some countries need to stop feed the fire“. For now, however, the fire of war burns more than ever, that of diplomacy has shrunk to a flicker.