The Presidential election in Turkey takes place on Sunday 28th of May: The outgoing President will challenge each other Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the opposition leader Kemal KilicdarogluThe latter leads a six-party coalition.
The results of the first round of voting, held on Sunday 14 May, saw Erdoğan come out on top with 49.52% of the vote; because the absolute majority threshold was not exceeded for some preferences, a poll to determine who will be the next president of Türkiye.
Kılıçdaroğlu stopped at 44.88% in the first round, overtaking its rival in the major cities and Kurdish-majority areas, while in the inland and rural districts, Erdoğan gained the upper hand. It must be said that there have been complaints from Fraud especially from the opposition.
In the voting, whoever gets even one vote more than their opponent will be elected president, with Recep Tayyip Erdoğan getting the important confirmation in recent days Sinan Oganthe right-wing presidential candidate, who won 5.17% in the first ballot.
On May 14, coinciding with the presidential elections, Turkey also voted for women general elections: In this case, Erdoğan’s party and its allies received one Majority in the Grand National Assemblywith 322 seats won out of a total of 600.
Türkiye election who will win between Erdoğan and Kılıçdaroğlu
In the first round Presidential elections in Turkey More than 55 million citizens voted from a total of 64 million eligible voters. As mentioned, Recep Tayyip Erdogan Although he won 27.1 million votes, he could not avoid a runoff.
Two weeks ago Kemal Kilicdaroglu Instead, he received 24.6 million votes, about 2.5 million fewer than the incumbent president, who could now – theoretically – also count on the 2.8 million votes Sinan Oğan received in the first ballot.
It’s no coincidence that I Survey In Turkey, they would now name Erdoğan as a big favorite, while in the days leading up to the first round, Kılıçdaroğlu was listed as a favorite in the event of a possible runoff.
In the ballot However, many calculations are not always possible, since a decisive factor is still the turnout: If the number of voters were to be as high as in the first ballot, then this would be Erdoğan’s “rule” in Turkey, which has been in place for more than 20 years could go on.
The scenarios of the elections in Türkiye
There Türkiye It is one of the major protagonists of international politics and the second largest army in NATO. Despite belonging to the Atlantic, it is rumored about Wladimir Putin Cheer on Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in this presidential runoff.
Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, on the other hand, seems to havewestso much so that during his election campaign he declared his intention to press ahead with Turkey’s accession to the European Union and to cut ties with Russia in order to strengthen ties with the United States.
Erdoğan has been Turkey’s president uninterrupted since 2014, while he had held the post of prime minister for the previous 11 years, a position then abolished in 2018 to make way for him presidentialism; If one also considers the four years he was mayor of Istanbul from 1994 to 1998, it becomes clear that he is the most important politician in modern Turkish history. However, this designation could have a reducing effect.
In fact, the Turkish President has been one of the most influential leaders in recent years International Geopolitical Chessboard: From Syria to Libya, through the war in Ukraine and the refugee issue, Turkey’s role is that of the absolute protagonist.
Despite one Economic crisis very strong in Türkiye and the controversies related to the administration of after the earthquakeEspecially in the country’s rural areas, which are also the most conservative, Erdoğan can still count on a broad consensus.
Consequently, it will not be easy for Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu to dethrone the incumbent president, who in recent years has often used every means at his disposal to retain power, even resisting one in 2016 coup implemented by part of the army.