Elections in Spain, more than 80% of the ballots: Popular Party ahead but not breaking through

Jul 23, 2023 at 8:18 am

The left-wing Psoe party is holding its ground while the Vox party is losing ground. Government formation figures do not seem to exist

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In Spain, the polls are closed, with the Popular Party leading with well over 80% of the vote but failing to get through. Outgoing Prime Minister Sánchez’s PSOE Socialists are holding out and the formation of a government remains a mystery for both coalitions. Vox has lost a lot of seats since the last election. Sumar holds the other left party very well. The voter count is progressing rapidly.

With 80% of the votes counted, PP is ahead With 80% of the ballots examined, the PP is increasing its seat advantage over the Socialist Party, but remains far from an absolute majority, even if Vox’s seats are included. The PP would have 132 seats and the PSOE 125 (five more than in the last election in 2019). Vox would have 33 seats, which together with the PP would give 165 seats, 11 fewer than the absolute majority of 176 MPs. Sumar would have 31 seats, together with the PSOE the left bloc would have 156 seats and could play the card of an agreement with the Catalan and Basque parties.

Vox calls for prudence: we await the final results For now, Vox is avoiding any comment on the election polls that will be released after the elections are over. “Careful, let’s wait for the final results,” Secretary-General Ignacio Garriga said, according to reports from El Mundo. The far-right party would rise from 52 MPs to a range of between 24 and 27, according to Sigma Dos. In the case of GAD3, Santiago Abascal’s party would have around 31 seats. A sharp drop that doesn’t seem to worry Vox’s leadership at the moment, as they deny the polls any credibility.

37.4 million citizens were called to vote, of which over 2.3 million were resident abroad. The polling stations remained open from 9 a.m. to 8 p.m. Barring any sensational surprises, the country is preparing to swing to the right, but Socialist Prime Minister Sanchez, who called the elections early, will not give up. The People’s Party is preferred, but to govern they need Vox by shifting the majority axis to the right.

candidates and predictions The figures published by the Twitter account of
S You understand how the party of
Alberto Nunez Feijóo is convinced that he is only one step away from the goal. But winning the elections will not be enough to get to Moncloa: if he wants to become prime minister, the former governor of Galicia will most likely have to come to terms with him
Vox led by Santiago Abascal, a goal that currently does not promise to be the easiest. In contrast, the
psoe From
Pedro Sanchez, Supported by Labor Minister Yolanda Diaz’s Sumar movement, he is not giving up. Despite the lack of statistical evidence, Feijóo seems to have encountered one faux pas too many in recent days and this has heavily mobilized the socialist base, confident they can pull off an incredible last-minute ‘remontada’.

Declining visitor numbers According to the Interior Ministry, voter turnout as of 6 p.m. was 53.1%, down about 3.7 percentage points from the previous election round in 2019. However, at 2 p.m., there was an increase of 2.5 percentage points. This number does not include absentee ballots, which saw record demand this year.

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