The counteroffensive to change. Ukraine attacks the Russian fleet base in Crimea, breaks through Moscow’s third line of defense in the Zaporizhzhia region in the south and advances towards Bakhmut in the east of the country. Kiev has proven in the war that began over 500 days ago that it can strike continuously on the Russian-occupied peninsula. President Volodymyr Zelensky will return from America with a new military aid package and a promise to soon procure the Atacms, the US long-range missiles. Meanwhile, at home, the military machine marches on with clear objectives and a precise program, regardless of the arrival of winter and climate change, which will be a decisive factor from November.
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“Rain and mud do not hinder the counteroffensive”
“Weather conditions may be an obstacle during the advance. But if we consider that we are progressing mainly without vehicles, I don’t think the weather will have a major impact on the counteroffensive,” General Oleksandr Tarnavsky told CNN. The rain will weigh down the ground and slow down the movement of vehicles. However, Kiev’s troops move mainly on foot and head for the Tokmak logistics center in the south. The city could represent a turning point.
“I believe it will come to Tokmak. For now, the Russians are relying on the depth of their defensive lines there,” in areas where “lines of trees alternate with minefields.” There is a combination of small and dangerous groups of enemies that are arranged in a precise and competent manner. But they are forced to retreat when our assault teams arrive. Tokmak is the minimum goal: the overall goal is to reach the borders of our country.”
“Weapons and command centers in Crimea, it is important to attack there”
In the counteroffensive, attacks on Crimea are crucial. “The success of offensive operations rests not only on the destruction of the enemy in front of you, but also on the destruction of equipment and centers where personnel are housed. Especially from command centers,” he adds. “This leads to disorganization, the destruction of high-level command centers leads to chaos on the battlefield: there are no connections and there are no coordinated actions,” he says, emphasizing that Crimea is a starting point for Russian attacks: “We know where from.” “They struck,” says the general. “We have the ability to hit them not only at the front but also at the back. And when you realize that the enemy is under pressure, the morale of the soldiers improves.”