We weren’t great last week. We weren’t terrible. But we weren’t great.
I was just at 8-6; Simms went 7-7. For the year I am 47-31. He is 45-33.
I was particularly bad against the spread at 4-9-1. Simms went 8-5-1. At 36-40-2, he has a five-game lead.
This week we disagree in four games. I also selected five surprises.
All tips appear below.
Broncos at Chiefs (-11)
The Chiefs tend to play with their food. Even if they do it tonight, they should still cover the spread.
Florio: Chiefs, 34-20.
Simms: Chiefs, 27-23.
Ravens (-4.5) at Titans
Which Titans team will compete in London? One thing that should at least stay within the range is our guess.
Florio: Ravens 24-21.
Simms: Ravens, 21-17.
Commanders at Falcons (-2.5)
The extra time and added urgency could prompt defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio to come up with a game plan for the kind of dust-off his team needs.
Florio: Commanders, 23-20.
Simms: Falcons, 24-20.
Vikings (-2.5) at Bears
The loser is finished. The winner will probably be announced at some point.
Florio: Vikings, 30-20.
Simms: Vikings, 28-27.
Seahawks at Bengals (-3)
Seattle is 16:4 in the Eastern time zone since 2018. Make it 17:4.
Florio: Seahawks, 27-21.
Simms: Seahawks, 34-31.
49ers (-7) at Browns
The 49ers are a juggernaut. The Browns are still something of a wild card.
Florio: 49ers, 24-14.
Simms: 49ers, 21-13.
Saints (-1) at Texans
New Orleans’ defense might have enough film to slow down CJ Stroud. New Orleans’ offense is good enough to compete against a not-so-strong Houston defense.
Florio: Saints, 24-22.
Simms: Saints, 24-17.
Colts at Jaguars (-4)
Gardner Minshew returns! Jonathan Taylor should get more work and the Jags may have some difficulty acclimating after two straight games in London.
Florio: Colts, 27-24.
Simms: Jaguars, 30-20.
Panthers at Dolphins (-13.5)
This could get ugly.
Florio: Dolphins, 41-13.
Simms: Dolphins, 38-20.
Patriots at Raiders (-3)
At this rate, Bill Belichick might not even make it to the end of the season.
Florio: Raiders, 21-17.
Simms: Raiders, 20-16.
Cardinals at Rams (-7)
The Cardinals are better than anyone expected. As are the Rams.
Florio: Rams, 28-24.
Simms: Rams, 27-17.
Eagles (-7) at Jets
For me it’s a surprise special. The Eagles weren’t dominant and could look forward to next week’s showdown against the Dolphins. The Jets have a chance to go into the bye with a big win.
Florio: Jets, 24-23.
Simms: Eagles, 28-17.
Lions (-3) at Buccaneers
The Bucs feel disrespected. The Creamsicles could help them finally convince outsiders to believe.
Florio: Buccaneers, 24-23.
Simms: Lions 30-20.
Giants at Bills (-14)
Tyrod Taylor may be hoping for an unexpected encounter with Dr. Needle.
Florio: Bills, 40-21.
Simms: Bills, 28-17.
Cowboys (-2) at Chargers
It’s a good game for the Cowboys, who can’t afford to fall to .500.
Florio: Cowboys, 31-21.
Simms: Cowboys, 23-20.