“Primarily America, but almost all countries – both friendly and not so friendly in the region – have told the Israelis” that the military ground operation on Gaza “should not be carried out.” This is how Lucio Caracciolo summarizes Israel’s next steps in the episode of Otto e Mezzo on Tuesday, October 17th on La 7. As a guest of Lilli Gruber, the director of Limes explains the reasons why, in his opinion, the Israelis will not attack the land in the Gaza Strip. “They are already looking at alternatives” because “they realized that the harm would actually outweigh the benefits to Israel” and then because of the will of Washington, which is far from favorable to large-scale military action by Israel.
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“The Americans,” the journalist underlines, said to Israel: “We will defend you if it is attacked,” but at the same time Caracciolo reconstructs: “Don’t do anything crazy, don’t carry out land invasions.” In short: “America is not ready to start a world war over Gaza,” he concludes, “assuming there is still someone willing.”
Tel Aviv must therefore abandon the ground operation it had planned in the days following the Hamas attack. And Caracciolo thinks about the next steps of Hamas and Israel: “One thing is very obvious. You can’t take out Hamas with an operation like this.” And that for two reasons: “First, because it tends to multiply its followers” and second, because “Hamas has spread throughout the Middle East.”
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Caracciolo concludes his analysis with a hint of what could lead to a turning point in the Middle East: “We have to find a way to get out of this tunnel,” the journalist says to the hostages, and then something else, something tangible that we don’t know can and probably never will be known. It is the only alternative.”