Will the post-El Niño La Nina phenomenon disrupt year-end celebrations? Here is the weather forecast!
After El Niño, the weather could be disrupted by a new phenomenon. This is probably called La Nina Shake up the end of year celebrations?
The influence of La Nina on the weather
The end of year holidays are just around the corner! The French are certainly wondering what the weather will be like at Christmas.
For some time now the weather has been turned upside down by a Phenomenon called El Niño. It is an atmospheric and oceanic phenomenon that occurs every 10 to 12 years in the Pacific Ocean.
This will also become one of the most intense weather events ever recorded. At least this is what a report from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) suggests.
Furthermore, experts estimate that it will have reached its peak performance in 2023. It is therefore likely to weaken over the course of 2024. However, if El Nino disappears, it could be replaced by La Nina!
Meanwhile, it still remains very active and intense over the tropical Pacific. In the last 6 months it has only increased. This also means that he should calm down gradually.
But last week, sea surface temperatures in areas under El Niño observation were much warmer than average. These temperature fluctuations are not the same everywhere. This means that the phenomenon is moving and evolving.
But this slowdown will give way to other phenomena. Which in turn will endanger the weather. They are currently still in the speculation stage. After El Niño, there is a risk of La Nina causing damage. This is what you need to know!
A phenomenon to be afraid of?
Currently, experts who have studied the El Nino phenomenon say that it will not intensify in the coming months. In fact, temperatures are showing a slight downward trend.
He will still be remembered. As a reminder, this is one of the strongest phenomena observed in recent years. With the other El Ninos from 1972, 1982, 1997 and 2015.
Experts predict above-average temperatures for the coming months. At least for the months of February, March and April 2024. The La Nina phenomenon could then occur.
While the probability of a neutral phase of El Nino decreases, that of a phenomenon like La Nina increases. They are now at 44%!
Therefore, the chances of La Nina wreaking havoc on the weather in 2024 are increasing. Furthermore, it wouldn't be the first time this has happened.
In fact, there are some cases where La Nina followed a Nino that was quite strong. So this scenario could repeat itself this year. What are the consequences of such a phenomenon?
Just like El Nino, La Nina also influences sea surface temperatures. However, this phenomenon is characterized by a drop in temperature!
Even if the two phenomena have already occurred one after the other, there is not necessarily a connection between the two. While we wait for the impact in 2024, here are some predictions for this holiday weekend.
This weekend, much of northern France will be covered in clouds. While southern residents will continue to enjoy plenty of sunshine.
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