A “secret document” from the German Ministry of Defense detailing a possible “path to conflict” between Russia and NATO has been published by Bild, the popular and well-informed German newspaper, on its website. “Month after month and with precise localization, Russian and Western actions are described, which will culminate in the stationing of hundreds of thousands of NATO soldiers and the impending outbreak of war in the summer of 2025,” writes the newspaper, summarizing the document “Secret” – For official use only Use”.
A ministry spokesman told Bild, without elaborating, that “weighing up different scenarios, even if they are extremely unlikely, is part of daily military action, especially in training.” The scenario outlined by the Bundeswehr is entitled “Defense Alliance 2025 ” and begins in February 2024 with Russia’s recall of another 200,000 soldiers, followed by “a spring offensive – supported by wavering support from the West.” Kiev” – with great successes until June”. In July, “severe cyberattacks and other forms of hybrid warfare, especially in the Baltics, are leading to new crises,” with Russia inciting its own ethnic minorities on the Baltic Sea: Clashes break out. Used as a pretext to launch a major exercise called “Zapad 2024.” “50,000 soldiers in Western Russia and Belarus from September” summarizes Bild in quotation marks. According to the document, the Kremlin's goal is to conquer the “Suwalki Corridor”, the narrow Polish-Lithuanian land passage between Belarus and Kaliningrad: Here too, according to the scenario, there would be a “border conflict” from December 2024, while “the United States for “could be more or less leaderless for a few weeks”. “after a possible election defeat for Joe Biden. In the May 2025 scenario, NATO decides on “credible deterrence measures” to prevent a Russian attack on the Suwalki Gap and orders the deployment of 300,000 soldiers, including 30,000 Bundeswehr soldiers, on an “X day” to counter more than 200 soldiers A thousand Russians: “Whether Russia will be deterred from the NATO mission remains an open question in the exercise scenario,” writes Bild.
The answer: Bild “doesn’t shy away from writing false reports, so I would prefer not to comment.” The Kremlin spokesman said: Dmitry Peskovreport Russian agencies.
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