We identify our favorite player bets to consider for the Detroit Lions Divisional Round playoff matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The Detroit Lions host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the divisional round of the 2023-24 playoffs in what should be an exciting matchup at Ford Field. To add to the excitement, the folks at DraftKings Sportsbook have provided us with some interesting player bets to consider for the game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, OVER 91.5 yards (-130)
It will be very hard for me to stay away from anything involving Amon-Ra St. Brown, and even though this is the highest yardage total of the season for the All-Pro, I still like the over.
Over the past five weeks, St. Brown's production has been outstanding:
- Wild Card vs. Rams: 7 catches on 9 targets for 110 yards
- Week 18 vs. Vikings: 7 catches on 10 targets for 144 yards and a touchdown
- Week 17 at Dallas: 6 catches on 8 targets for 90 yards and a touchdown
- Week 16 at Vikings: 12 catches on 14 targets for 106 yards and a touchdown
- Week 15 vs. Broncos: 7 catches on 9 targets for 112 yards and a touchdown
And the last time the Lions played the Buccaneers…
- Week 6 at Bucs: 12 catches on 15 targets for 144 and a touchdown
Great players appear in big games and St. Brown has shown time and time again that he is a great player.
In case you're curious, St. Brown's OVER 7.5 Receptions is currently -130, while its Anytime Touchdown is -105.
Jameson Williams, OVER 35.5 yards (-115)
The Lions used Jameson Williams' speed to stretch the Rams' zone in the Wild Card – resulting in just two receptions for 19 yards – and while that will certainly be the plan against the Bucs, they've shown they're willing to do it Shots in his direction.
In Week 6 – Williams' second game in which he returned from a suspension –Jared Goff connected with Williams on a 45-yard touchdown reception.
But it's about more than just deep shots, as Williams has become more involved in the weekly game plan for Detroit. In Williams' three games before the playoffs, he had two receptions for 69 yards against the Cowboys, five receptions for 43 yards against the Vikings and four receptions for 47 yards against the Broncos.
Don’t be surprised if they test the Bucs’ secondary again this week.
Sam LaPorta, OVER 42.5 receiving yards (-115)
In Week 6, the Bucs held LaPorta to just four receptions for 36 yards, but he was targeted 11 times in that game, his second-highest scoring rate of the season. While the Bucs got the most out of the All-Pro rookie in this game, they lost yards at tight ends all season.
As I stated in my Keys to Victory article this week:
“This season, the Bucs have given up 102 receptions, 1,077 receiving yards (63.4 yards average) and seven touchdowns to tight ends, all a league-worst five totals. If the Lions can get LaPorta in favorable matchups — for example, on the road against (LaVonte) David — like they did against the Rams, he could have a field day.”
I liked LaPorta's betting line when it started at 35.5 yards, and while the number has increased, I still think this current number is within his range.
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