RussiaUkraine war the Korean scenario assumed by the Kiev intelligence

RussiaUkraine war, the “Korean scenario assumed by the Kiev intelligence service: “Putin wants to split our country in two

Like Korea. Those are the plans Russia to the Ukraineat least according to knowledge Kyiv. And with it not only the military invasion, which threatens the territorial integrity of Ukraine, but also political initiatives aimed at sanctioning the final amputation of part of the country. A scenario”Korean“Indeed” an attempt to create that North Korea he was born in south in Ukraine”. The last one mentioned yesterday is that of the selfproclaimed People’s Republic Lugansk who are not satisfied with having received Moscow’s recognition together with the Republic Donetsksaid he wanted to hold a referendum on accession Russia. The initiative announced by the Separatist leader Leonid Pasechnik who then partially corrected his shot and made sure that no concrete preparations were in progress for the time being immediately encountered not only the obvious, clear refusal of the Kiev authorities, but also some doubts in the Russian power apparatus. Advice of this kind is “not recommended“, he warned Leonid Kalashnikov, Chairman of the Duma Committee on the Affairs of the Former Soviet Republics. A referendum would at least be premature, says the deputy, because “until recently, the two republics were still part of Ukraine.”

“Any” wrong referendum “In the temporarily occupied areas, it is legally irrelevant and will not have any legal consequences,” the spokesman for the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry said Oleg Nikolenko, and said he was sure that no country in the world would recognize the validity of such a consultation. All correct, except that this would not prevent Moscow from deeming it valid and, if it wished, annexing the two republics of the USA Donbass like he did with that in 2014 Crimeaafter a referendum as illegal recognized by the UN and only by a handful of countries. And the threats of further similar actions aimed at fragmenting or annexing parts of Ukrainian territory do not stop. A referendum was also hypothesized for the independence of the region Khersonin the south of the country, occupied by Moscow troops in the early stages of the conflict. The residents of this port city took to the streets to protest against the occupation and against this project.

Not even the Georgian separatist areas from Abkhazia and dell“South Ossetiasupported by Moscow, were incorporated into the territory of Russian Federation, recalled the deputy Kalashnikov, who justified his rejection of the proposal. However, the Kiev government has no reason to trust the promises of Russia, which until the day before the invasion denied any intention to attack Ukraine. The head of the Ukrainian military intelligence service, Kyrylo BudanovIn fact, he is sure that Moscow has a plan to split the country in two: the goal of Russia, which at the time wanted to focus on controlling the eastern areas of the Donbass, is to create a substate of its own protection in the south and east, separate from the western areas. If so, he warned Budanovwould Ukraine launch guerrilla actions in Russian controlled territory.

But Putin has many arrows in his bow that he reserves to shoot at the moment that suits him best. One lever that could work, for example, is Russian citizenship, which has been granted to almost a million residents in recent years Donbass. Or the opening of a new front in Transnistriaalso a selfproclaimed republic on the territory of Moldova on the border with Ukraine, which has been applying for union with Russia since 2014.