The end of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine? Although this is a possibility about which, according to the journalist, there is still little certainty Lucio Caracciolo Once the conflict is over, Italy will end up on the sidelines while the Atlantic Alliance focuses more on the eastern and northern quadrants. So the Mediterranean will remain uncovered and the “Born Baltica prophesied years ago by politician and academic Gianni De Michelis will come to pass.
Provisioning Profile Changes
In his speech in the newspaper La Stampa, Caracciolo explains that if things go the way he envisions, the Italian sea front will require more attention from the country, since the allies will naturally focus on other fronts in anticipation of the challenge. “The defense of Europe will be primarily a matter for Europeans. Behind the uniform façade they proceed in a rigorously scattered order. With the war going on. Let alone later, says the journalist. “The profile of western use Postinvasion Ukraine is being redefined. Poland and Romania have long been lynchpins on the Eastern Front. Sweden and Finland (neutral pro forma, Atlantic in fact soon perhaps rightly so) will join the former Soviet Baltics in the first control of Russia’s northern border. And Germany, heavily armed, will assert itself as the central power in containing Moscow, he adds.
Caracciolo expects to deploy more than 100,000 American troops in Europe, stationed farther east than current bases. One Atlantic Joint Force Command in Poland, in addition to the current three in Holland (Brunssum), Italy (Naples) and the United States (Norfolk), he surmises. The reporter also speaks of a probile missile shield aimed at neutralizing the hypersonic Russians.
German rearmament
Caracciolo also talks about it in La Stampa gear up Germany, and in this context reports on the 102 billion that Chancellor Olaf Scholz has allocated to the Bundeswehr. In addition, Germany has committed to spending at least 2% of GDP on defense in the coming years. “A competition has been unleashed between the national industries of the sector the fourth largest conglomerate in the world, explains Lucio Caracciolo. “Some of them deliver directly to the Ukrainians, because Berlin is in no hurry to send weapons to Kyiv, also because its warehouses are half empty.”
The journalist says that Germany started a real one for the first time after the Second World War strategic debate “investing in one of the West’s most peaceful companies”.
“The almost total silence of the Italians about Scholz’s aboutface is impressive,” comments Caracciolo, “not even so much the German rearmament, which ultimately makes Germany omnipotent, was a minor matter. European DefenseWhen it comes to facts, we look elsewhere. Unless we take seriously our local discussion about future increases in defense spending, a mixture of aspirations and promises without any strategic substance behind them, rather moralistic tinged, he adds.