According to Toni Capuozzo, the success of the Ukrainian counter-offensive will not shorten the war but prolong the conflict. What can Putin do now?
Published on: 13.09.2022 12:17
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The “caporetto” suffered by the Russian army in north-eastern Ukraine could push Vladimir Putin, cornered to raise the bar and invest more in the conflict, prolonging it dramatically. He is convinced of that Tony Capuozzoformer war correspondent and former deputy director of Tg5.
An important but not decisive turning point
According to the Friulian journalist, what is happening these days with the success of the Ukrainian counter-offensive in Kharkiv is certainly “an important turning point” in the war, but it is difficult to be “decisive”.
An important turning point remains. This time, Capuozzo explains in an interview with the newspaper La Verità, “it is the Ukrainians who are conquering territories” and they have “conquered with almost amazing speed“Free something like” 8000 square kilometers “.
Aside from the size of the advance, the “surprising” element, notes the former war correspondent, “is the ease with which they broke through the Russian lines“.
The prediction of the former envoy
ukrainian, notes Toni Capuozzothey retook territories “fighting hard, with courage, with honor, and effectively,” but they “suffered very heavy losses.”
The consequences of the Russian blow? According to the well-known journalist, the events “do not shorten the war”. If someone is under the illusion that the war could “end soon”, it is “unfortunately a pious illusion. In the sense that this Rebalancing of forces in the field it will prolong the conflict”.
Photo source: ANSA journalist Toni Capuozzo
“Russia will not be defeated so quickly”
As an alternative to peace negotiations, which are not on the horizon, according to the former envoy, the war ends “only with the total defeat of one of the armed forces in the field. If we can say that with confidence within a few months Russia can be defeated, then this Ukrainian counteroffensive shortened the conflict. But I don’t think it will be like that.”
It is clear, Capuozzo reflects, that Russia “will invest more in this war. I don’t know if it will start calling it war, but it will start acting like it’s “.
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So far, he adds, “he’s been fighting with one hand behind his back in certain aspects, in the sense that he hasn’t used his whole hand its terrible military potential“.
But with Putin with his “back to the wall I think we must expect the conflict to escalate“.
Photo source: ANSA