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Brazil: Lula and Bolsonaro in the October 30th runoff

The Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) of Brazil released at 2:15 am (7:15 am Italian time) the virtually final results of the presidential elections, showing the certainty of a vote between the top two candidates on October 30. With the ballots covering 99.99% of the seats, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (Pt, left) received 57,254,672 votes, which is 48.43%, while Jair Bolsonaro (Pl, right) received 51,070,672 votes, which is 43, corresponds to 20%. Third place in the electoral poll went to Simone Tebet (Mdb, centre-right) with 4,915,217 votes (4.16%) and fourth place went to Ciro Gomes (Pdt, left) with 3,599,157 votes (3.04%).

Brazil remains in limbo. The election result did not bring a clear victory. The party is postponed to the October 30 ballot. Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, 76, an icon of the South American left and a big favorite in the polls, did not confirm the previous evening’s predictions of victory, which brought him up to 51% of the vote in the first round. Near the end of the polls, the Labor Party (PT) leader had garnered a total of 48.43% of the vote, while his opponent, outgoing right-wing President Jair Bolsonaro (PL), had 67, 43.20%, beating all votes expected and Heels in one count on the woolen thread. “The fight goes on until the final victory”. The election was just an “extension”, Lula commented at the end of the election and encouraged the disappointed. When he returned to São Paulo from San Bernardo do Campo, his voting stronghold, where he had voted that morning, the left-wing leader was waiting for the answer at the Novotel Jaraguà with his wife Janja, Geraldo Alckmin, the deputy designated for his future government. and former President Dilma Roussef. At the end of the evening, he reached the Avenue Paulista, reserved for the turning point crowd, and instead went to the theater to hug with some tens of thousands of supporters. “We won with the lies” by the opinion research institute “Datafolha”. Now “I will work to change the people’s vote,” promised Bolsonaro, who was the target of a hack on the website today. He, too, has returned from his campaign trip from Rio de Janeiro to the Palacio da Alvorada, his official residence in Brasilia, where the fence around the building has even been extended to accommodate his many supporters.

Brazil Count started Bolsonaro jumps on head from first data

ANSA agency

Despite the most polarized campaign in the green-gold giant’s history, the former trade unionist believes it will be “easy to restore peace and democracy to the country” (ANSA)

From now through the end of October, the game is undoubtedly open, and tough days are in store for the green-and-gold giant with a new tension-packed campaign addendum. The risk is that Bolsonaro will fuel the fire, setting fire to the squares and relentlessly accelerating his attacks to discredit the Superior Electoral Tribunal (TSE) and its President, Justice Alexandre de Moraes, the heart of democratic processes. A dangerous drift in which Western countries – led by Europe and the United States – had been sending out calls to respect the rule of law in recent weeks. And during this transition period, the outgoing president could institute transitional measures immediately (with publication in the Official Gazette) to give new impetus to the liberalization of arms sales and thereby increase the risk of political violence. An extreme polarization that has already recorded three deaths and various attempts at intimidation in the 46 days of the poisoned election campaign from August 16 to the opening of electronic polling stations on October 2. According to analysts, the undecided weighed on the abstention rate and those who thought they would accept the so-called “useful vote” election (i.e. those who wanted to see the election completed in the first round). Result. Although voting is mandatory for the 156 million Brazilians called to the polls, the abstention rate has increased from 20.3% in 2018 to 20.94 today. And Lula herself would have been hurt the most by this increase in absenteeism. The first round was followed by the international observers of the Organization of American States at the invitation of the TSE. The group – made up of 55 experts from 17 countries – was deployed in 15 of the 26 states and in the Brasilia district, also certifying that the military did everything right, as the head of the mission told the army, in an initiative pushed by Bolsonaro , who, like his opponent Lula, is now contemplating his next steps to victory.