Tomorrow, America’s midterm elections, which will see the renewal of the House of Representatives and a third of the Senate, will once again face two irreconcilable Americas and complicate the second part of Joe Biden’s mandate.
It could look like a beautifully crafted Netflix storyline, with its intrigue and twists, its charismatic characters and down-to-earth supporting cast, low blows, manipulation, and serialization over multiple seasons.
However, it is the reality in the world’s most scrutinized country: Two years after a violent struggle during a presidential election that tipped in favor of Democrats, America is once again being torn apart during the midterms, those midterm elections that serve the 435 members of the House of Representatives (the equivalent of congressmen whose terms are only two years), one-third of the Senate, several governors, and a few other positions (attorney generals, secretaries of state, etc.) to American electoral democracy.
Two irreconcilable camps
Indeed, the political field of the United States today is divided into two irreconcilable camps, reflecting all the divisions of America today. The result of these elections will fundamentally change the face of an extremely polarized country in one direction or another on many issues over the next two years. On the Democrat side, we note the many excesses and lack of respect for the rules that the Republican Party has become in recent years, culminating in the invasion of the Capitol on January 6, 2021. The Republicans, they . accuse the other camp of wanting to distort the United States, particularly on values (abortion, guns) and by encouraging immigration.
The most likely scenario is that the Republican Party regains control of the House of Representatives. According to the latest polls, the Senate remains very undecided. In any case, there is a change in the majority.
“Republicans taking control of both houses means they have a free hand to undo all of the Democrats’ policies over the past two years, but also to advance their own agenda,” states Donald P. Green, Political Scientist and Professor at Columbia University. If the Democrats manage to hold the Senate, they would still be able to approve judge appointments, but they would have to face very combative Republicans on all fronts.”
impeachment proceedings
A majority in the House of Representatives would also be enough for Republicans to start impeachment proceedings against Joe Biden, which many candidates have promised as a backlash to the proceedings against Donald Trump. However, it has little chance of success, since it requires a two-thirds majority of the senators. But just initiating this process is a heavy stone in the foot of the White House tenant for the end of his mandate and a possible re-election campaign.
Other important issues: the election of the governors, who will play an important role at legislative level and whose political hue will influence several issues, including abortion. Or again the election of foreign ministers. They are responsible for overseeing elections in most states.
However, several candidates for the position pass on the eccentric thesis of fraud in 2020 and an election stolen by Donald Trump. Doubts remain about their behavior during the 2024 presidential election as to whether they are responsible for monitoring the American top election.