MIAMI, Fla. — Subtropical Storm Nicole formed Monday morning as the youngest named system of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season and could hit Florida in the coming days.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported in its bulletin at 8:00 a.m. Monday that the system had maximum sustained winds of 45 miles per hour and was moving north-northwest at 14 miles per hour while moving 520 miles east the Bahamas was located. It is expected to continue moving northwest and could strengthen in the coming days.
South Florida remains in the cone of the system’s track, which is expected to move across the state Thursday night.
A prolonged period of severe weather is expected this week over the northwestern Bahamas, Florida and the southeast coast of the United States.
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WARNINGS AND WATCHES
A tropical storm watch applies to:
The NHC says prospects in the central Bahamas, Florida and along the southeast coast of the United States should monitor Nicole’s progress.
November is the final month of hurricane season and typical tropical activity begins to subside. However, the 2022 hurricane season was postponed and nearly all of the major Atlantic storms that year formed after August.
The state of Florida has been hit by tropical systems nine times in November in the past 170 years, giving it a roughly 5 percent chance each year.
Seven of those nine were from the western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. That makes this week’s development system, should it consolidate and hit Florida, pretty rare.
For now, the forecast suggests that the frequency and intensity of rainfall will increase as we near the middle of the week. It is becoming increasingly windy, with dangerous sea conditions and a high risk of rip currents.
Winds and waves, combined with a full moon and rising sea levels, aggravated by climate change, will result in significant coastal flooding, according to an analysis by meteorologist John Morales. Communities like Fort Lauderdale, Miami Beach, Miami Shores, neighborhoods near Biscayne Boulevard including Edgewater, Coconut Grove, Coral Gables and the Florida Keys should prepare for flooding.
Flooding continues in Volusia county. In the Deltona area, residents are also complaining that they didn’t come to pick up much of the debris.