The 2023 Golden Globes are back on TV after being knocked off the airwaves last year over ethics-related scandals (including news that the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, the group behind the awards, had no black members). But celebrities will return to the red carpet Tuesday, January 10 at 8 p.m. on NBC. Here are The Post’s critics’ picks for the top honors in film and television.
FILM PROGNOSIS by JOHNNY OLEKSINSKI
feature film, drama
Estimated Winner: “The Fabelmans” Things could have turned out differently if “Everything Everywhere All At Once” or “Banshees of Inisherin” were in that category, but the HFPA will side with Spielberg. Pandora could be a spoiler though – “Avatar” won the top prize here in 2010.
“Avatar: The Way of Water”
“Elvis”
“Tar”
“Top Gun: Maverick”
“The Fabelmans” courtesy of Universal Pictures
Movie, comedy or musical
“Everything everywhere at once” AP
Estimated Winner: “Everything Everywhere at Once” Yes, the Globes paid tribute to Banshees director Martin McDonagh’s “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” in 2018, but innovative moneymaker “Everything, Everywhere” is on the move.
“Babylon”
“The Banshees of Inisherin”
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”
“Triangle of Sadness”
director, movie
Steven Spielberg works behind the scenes on The Fabelmans AP
Estimated Winner: Steven Spielberg (“The Fabelmans”) Spielberg is a Globes regular, but he hasn’t won a director’s award since 1999’s Saving Private Ryan. Voters will see fit to reward him again for his most personal story.
James Cameron (“Avatar: The Way of Water”)
Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere at Once”)
Baz Luhrmann (“Elvis”)
Martin McDonagh (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)
Actress in a motion picture, drama
Cate Blanchett delivers an outstanding performance in Todd Field’s “Tár.”AP
Probable Winner: Cate Blanchett (“Tár”) The only realistic winners in this category are Blanchett and Williams, and Blanchett’s role as a ragged symphony conductor is meatier.
Olivia Colman (“Empire of Light”)
Viola Davis (“The Lady King”)
Ana de Armas (“Blonde”)
Michelle Williams (“The Fabelmans”)
Actor in a motion picture film, drama
Austin Butler in “Elvis”©Warner Bros/Courtesy Everett
Estimated Winner: Austin Butler (“Elvis”) Fraser has been the front-runner since the fall, but his film only managed one nod — his — and he’s not even attending the ceremony. Meanwhile, the young butler’s portrayal of the king is the kind of transformation the HFPA is going crazy for.
Brendan Fraser (“The Whale”)
Hugh Jackman (“The Son”)
Bill Nighty (“Life”)
Jeremy Pope (“The Inspection”)
Actress in a film, comedy
Michelle Yeoh in Everything, Everywhere at Once, courtesy of the Everett Collection
Probable Winner: Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere at Once”) Prepare your speech, Michelle! You are the only possible winner here.
Lesley Manville (“Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris”)
Margot Robbie (“Babylon”)
Anya Taylor-Joy (“The Menu”)
Emma Thompson (“Good Luck, Leo Grande”)
Actor in a motion picture film, comedy
Colin Farrell in The Banshees of InisherinAP
Probable Winner: Colin Farrell (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) Colin Farrell does his best work in the dark Irish comedy. I can’t say that for anyone in this category.
Diego Calva (“Babylon”)
Daniel Craig (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery)
Adam Driver (“White Noise”)
Ralph Fiennes (“The Menu”)
Supporting Actress, Feature Film
Jamie Lee Curtis in Everything, Everywhere at Once, courtesy of the Everett Collection
Probable Winner: Jamie Lee Curtis (“All At Once”) This is a stunning field, but who can forget those hot dog fingers?
Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
Kerry Condon (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)
Dolly De Leon (“Sadness Triangle”)
Carey Mulligan (“She Said”)
Supporting Actor, Movie
Ke Huy Quan in “Everything Everywhere at Once” AP
Estimated Winner: Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere at Once”) Quan has been in the business for a long time – he played Short Round on Temple of Doom and Data on The Goonies! — and he gives an outstanding performance in a lively film.
Brendan Gleeson (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)
Barry Keoghan (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)
Brad Pitt (“Babylon”)
Eddie Redmayne (“The Good Nurse”)
Original song, movie
“Top Gun: Maverick” © Paramount/Courtesy Everett C
Estimated Winner: “Hold My Hand” from “Top Gun: Maverick” (Lady Gaga, BloodPop, Benjamin Rice) Gaga oo-la-la!
“Carolina” from “Where The Crawdads Sing” (Taylor Swift)
Ciao Papa from Guillermo del Toros Pinocchio (Alexandre Desplat, Roeban Katz, Guillermo del Toro)
“Lift Me Up” from “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler, Ludwig Göransson)
“Naatu Naatu” from “RRR” (MM Keeravani, Chandrabose)
movie, animated
“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” AP
Estimated Winner: “Guillermo del Toros Pinocchio” The stop-motion version of the Shape of Water director’s fairy tale is by far the best film on this list.
“Inu-oh”
“Marcel The Shell With Shoes On”
“Puss in Boots: The Last Wish”
“To redden”
script, movie
“The Banshees of Inisherin,” directed by Martin McDonaghAP
Estimated Winner: Martin McDonagh (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) This is the most logical way for the HFPA to honor McDonagh, a consistent filmmaker whom they greatly admire.
Todd Field (“Tar”)
Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere at Once”)
Sarah Polley (“Women Talk”)
Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner (“The Fablemans”)
TELEVISION PROGNOSIS by MICHAEL STARR
Best Series, Drama
“House of the Dragon” HBO
Estimated Winner: “House of the Dragon” The Game of Thrones prequel series was all that was talked about during its run – and lived up to all the hype with an immersive storyline and grandiose effects. A close second: “severance pay”.
“Better call Saul”
“The crown”
“Ozark”
“Severance pay”
Best Series, Musical or Comedy
“Only Murders in the Building” ©Hulu/Courtesy Everett Collec
Estimated winner: “Only Murders in the Building” My pick would be The Bear, which packs plenty of drama and pathos into eight episodes, but Murders boasts an all-star cast that’s irresistible to the star-loving HFPA.
“Abbott Elementary School”
“The bear”
“hacks”
“Only Murders in the Building”
“Wednesday”
Best Lead Actress, Drama
Imelda Staunton as Queen Elizabeth in Keith Bernstein’s The Crown
Estimated winner: Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”) Staunton is the best of the series’ three actresses who portrayed Queen Elizabeth, whose death in September, just before Season 5 of The Crown, will impact that category.
Emma D’Arcy (“House of the Dragon”)
Laura Linney (“Ozark”)
Hilary Swank, “Alaska Daily”
Zendaya, “euphoria”
Best Actor, Drama
Jeff Bridges in The Old Man©FX Networks/Courtesy Everett
Estimated Winner: Jeff Bridges (“The Old Man”) It’s a really strong category this year, but I’m picking Jeff Bridges, who gave a bravura performance as a graying spy (reluctantly) out of the cold in his first series role, The Old Man. And voters appreciate his long and illustrious Hollywood career.
Kevin Costner, “Yellowstone”
Diego Luna, “Andor”
Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul”
Adam Scott, “Severance”
Best Actress, Musical or Comedy
Jenna Ortega in “Wednesday” COURTESY OF NETFLIX
Probable Winner: Jenna Ortega (“Wednesday”) The young actress will win for the sheer popularity and cleverness of Tim Burton’s Netflix series. And this viral dance scene video doesn’t hurt.
Quinta Brunson, “Abbott Elementary School”
Kaley Cuoco, “The Flight Attendant”
Selena Gomez, “Only Murders in the House”
Jean Smart, “Hacks”
Best Actor, Musical or Comedy
Bill Hader in “Barry”
Estimated Winner: Bill Hader (“Barry”) Martin and Short will probably cancel each other out. White will get his chance next year (and hopefully when the Emmy nominations come out).
Donald Glover, “Atlanta”
Steve Martin, “Only Murders in the Building”
Martin Short, “Only Murders in the House”
Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear”