Each epochal turning point corresponds to a revolution of maps and borders as well as in Ukraine. To quote President Biden at the funeral of former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright yesterday, the war Putin it is “another historical turning point like the dissolution of the Soviet Union, which called the peoples to decide what future they wanted and in which democracy and freedom, attacked by the forces of autocracy and oppression, are at stake”. And as then, it is not only Western law firms that are still thinking about possible new cards that will come out of the drawers as soon as a balance of power has been reached on the ground.
The Scenarios
No one is officially confirming this, but behind the scenes at the US Security Council would be those working to reframe the possible geopolitical scenarios that will emerge from the conflict. It would be something more than “academic exercises” that a To fly and in Kyiv they form the basis of future peace talks, just as in the days of Albright and in the years before she became Secretary of State, the maps of the countries born (or reborn) from the ashes of Yugoslavia turned. And if for the German Defense Minister Christine Lambrecht, President Putin “shook the peace order in Europe with his attack on Ukraine”, no wonder given the rumors about the demarcation of borders by analysts and diplomats. Rumors were collected, among others, by the scientific advisor of the Limes, Germano Dottori, according to which the maps and the new borders associated with them were already almost defined, but only the progress of the war could force them to do so Zelensky. The movements on the ground indicate precise objectives of territorial conquest aimed at redefining the territories.
For Putin, recognition of Russian sovereignty is an essential condition of any negotiated agreement Crimea and Donbass, obviously in the broadest sense, not limited to a third of the region currently under Moscow’s control. Sole command of the general, according to the Institute for the Study of War Dvornikov actually made a gear change in the military campaign with the Russian tactical battalions which, although weakened, have regrouped, strengthened and focused and are now engaged in a “methodical” advance aimed at widening the band of contact and the environment the Ukrainian troops in the east of the country. The fastest line of the Russians goes south from Kharkiv, the nerve center is Izyum, from where they go southwest to Barvinkove and southeast to Sloviansk. The aim seems to be to break through Ukraine and gain the relevant part east of the river Dnieper, in addition, of course, to the complete conquest of the Azov Sea coast by occupying the Mariupol corridor towards Crimea, which is already firmly in Russian hands. Another direction is likely to open to the southwest to include Transnistria and Moldova in a new front and point to Odessa on the Black Sea, at the same time the new maps are not only top secret but a real taboo subject of their own when the United States and the League for Ukraine countries are rekindling the belief that even Ukraine can “win the war” and therefore be able to push back the invader and later regain lost positions.
Putin threatens the West: “If someone interferes, lightning. We have tools that nobody has and we will use them.
The Analysts
Analysts are skeptical about the existence and reliability of the new maps. Ambassador Stefano calls himself “skeptical for two reasons” Stefanini, former diplomatic adviser to President Napolitano. “At first, after the words of US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin about the need to weaken Russia, even the Americans specified that the conditions for a peace treaty depend on the Ukrainians, and the ball is always in the field between Russia and Ukraine”. It agrees that the law firms “may have their own ideas of what the solutions might be, but it would be totally inappropriate whether they were friendly or not friendly law firms to tell Ukrainians whether and how to be satisfied. Not to mention that.” that the possible peace agreements will depend on the outcome of the ongoing war ». And again, redrawing the borders means deciding at the table “whether hundreds of thousands of refugees can return home or not and how many remain in the countries that took them in to have”.
© REPRODUCTION RESERVED