The People’s Party would win the parliamentary elections if they were held today, according to the Center for Sociological Research’s November barometer published on Friday. The party led by Alberto Núñez Feijóo achieved 33.9% of voting intentions, 1.7 points more than the previous month. This is followed by the PSOE, which, with 31.3% of the vote, finalizes the agreements for the inauguration of Pedro Sánchez as government president, losing 1.3 points. Sumar and Vox rank third and fourth in voter preference. The party led by Yolanda Díaz and a member of the PSOE falls to 11.8% of support, almost a point less, and Santiago Abascal’s party remains at 10%, a result similar to last month. The Catalan independence groups ERC and Junts, which have become very important in the negotiations over a future PSOE and Sumar government, would see very similar results in the vote across Spain, with 1.9% and 1.4% respectively, as they did last month achieve. For the first time, Feijóo surpasses Sánchez and Díaz in the citizen rating, although neither of them receives approval.
This is the second barometer published by the CIS in which Pedro Sánchez is the candidate for investiture and in which the amnesty for those accused of the trial occupies the political debate. In October, the Center’s poll led by José Félix Tezanos showed a tie between the PP and the PSOE, although the Socialists were already almost a point behind. In November the PP achieved a lead of 2.6 points over the PSOE. When adding the supports, the block on the right is ahead of the block on the left by almost one point (0.8). In October the difference was three points in favor of the left. According to November data, the PP (33.9%) and Vox (10%) would receive 43.9% of the vote, compared to 43.1% for PSOE (31.3%) and Sumar (11.8%).
The poll was published on the day the Socialists formalized the pact to gain the support of the PNV and the Canary Islands coalition, so the Socialists have already collected the commitment of 179 of the 350 deputies in Congress, enough for Sánchez to do so to achieve investiture on the first vote in Congress. The survey does not contain questions about the pacts that the PSOE makes with the Catalan independents regarding an amnesty for the leaders of the secession attempt in October 2017.
According to the CIS, the field work was carried out between October 31 and November 6. His 4,009 interviews began on the day Princess Leonor swore in the Constitution in Congress and continued on November 1 with Sánchez’s agreement with Catalan President Pere Aragonès on the amnesty law, a movement with which the ERC supported Socialist candidate supported the investiture of the amnesty law. In the following days, Spanish politicians closely followed the negotiations with junts and the results of the parties’ consultations with their bases. PSOE members ratified the agreement with Sumar and the independence movement with 87% support. The Podemos party, with 96% of the vote, supported increasing its autonomy from Sumar.
More information
What influences the most is what happens next. So you don’t miss anything, subscribe.
Subscribe to
As for political leaders, Pedro Sánchez remains the favorite for the post of government president with 27.7%, compared to 21% who would like the leader of the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, to occupy La Moncloa. 6.6% of respondents prefer Yolanda Díaz, leader of Sumar’s list, and 5.6% point to Vox leader Santiago Abascal. However, for the first time Feijóo has surpassed Sánchez in the grade given to him by the citizens. The PP chairman received an average score of 4.45 out of 10, compared to 4.31 for the socialist. Díaz, previously the best rated by citizens, falls to third place with 4.29. Abascal is in fourth place with 3.03.
The November barometer of 40 dB. for EL PAÍS and SER, published this Monday, notes that the Socialists have lost momentum compared to the PP since the 23rd century. Despite this improvement in Núñez Feijóo’s party, the poll – whose internal data can be viewed on the websites of both media outlets – suggests that the right-wing group would still not achieve an absolute majority in Congress due to Vox’s bad moment.
Against the time change
The November CIS survey also asks about other topics such as the time change, recent war conflicts and health care. Regarding the need to put an end to setting the clocks forward or forward twice a year, 65.8% said they would put an end to the time change and 22.5% want to continue as before and change the clocks. in autumn and spring. If this is retained, 68.5% will choose the summer option, compared to 21.5% who would prefer the winter option.
78.5% of respondents said they were very or very worried about the “war in the Middle East,” the latest escalation of which began on October 7, while 9.3% said they were little or not at all worried . Concern about this conflict is slightly higher than about Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which began in February 2022, about which 71.8% said they were very or somewhat worried. The proportion of respondents who have little or no concern about this latest conflict is 23.2%.
Regarding other issues such as health, the vast majority (89.1%) say that the budget for health spending should be increased and 54.4% prefer that responsibility for health remain in the hands of the Autonomous Communities, compared to 32.2%. who prefer exercise by the central government.
The survey once again reflects the discrepancy between citizens’ opinions about the country’s economic situation and their own. While 59.7% believe that their personal economic situation is very good or good, 64.2% believe that the general economic situation in Spain is bad or very bad.
In fact, economic issues and health are the main concerns of citizens. When asked what Spain’s main problem is, 22.9% spontaneously answer that it is unemployment, while 22.8% answer that it is the economic crisis. In third place (19.9%) is healthcare. This is immediately followed by “political problems in general” (18.6%). But the problem that occupies the most places and becomes the fifth concern of citizens is immigration, which coincides with the worsening of the migration crisis in the Canary Islands. If you ask what concerns respondents most, they note this order: crisis, health, unemployment, quality of employment, education, political problems, climate change, housing…
Subscribe to continue reading
Read without limits
_