Fantasy Football Rankings Week 5 Sleepers Predictions Starts Seats

Fantasy Football Rankings Week 5: Sleepers, Predictions, Starts, Seats | Jameson Williams, Joshua Dobbs and more – The Athletic

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Find the Week 5 fantasy football rankings, game previews, sleepers and more. With them come our first NFL byes and two big potential wins. Will Cooper Kupp and Jonathan Taylor play? Is Jameson Williams worth starting in his first game back? Should you ever skateboard again? Let’s get the answers.

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WEEK 5 FANTASY FOOTBALL PREVIEW

**BYES: CLE, LAC, SEA, TB**

Bears on Commanders, TNF

  • The Bears allow the highest pressure rate (47.4%), but the Commanders have the second-lowest forced 3-and-out percentage (21.4).
  • Only the Broncos and Chargers are cheaper in defensive pass EPA than the Bears. The Bills are the second toughest and Sam Howell has fantasy totals of 15.2, 21.3 and 19.6 (0.6) in his three games not played against the Bills. The Cardinals, Broncos and Eagles are fifth, first and 10th, respectively.
  • Week 4 was Khalil Herbert’s first game with over 57.1 RBTouch% and first double-digit performance.
  • Brian Robinson ranks seventh in RBTouch% and the Bears have allowed every lead running back to score at least 13.8 fantasy points.

Jaguars at Bills, 9:30 a.m., London

  • With Zay Jones on the field: Calvin Ridley 28.6 TmTGT% for 16-9-107-1; Christian Kirk 21.4 TmTGT% for 12-9-93-0. Without Zay Jones on the field: Calvin Ridley 13.8 TmTGT% for 12-6-104-1; Christian Kirk 26.4 TmTGT% for 23-15-164-1. Small selection, but Kirk acts more like the No. 1 without Jones and like the No. 3 with him.
  • The Jaguars are just 24th in touchdown percentage (3.2%), and the Bills are third at 6.6%.
  • From Week 1, 2022 through last week, Trevor Lawrence is fifth in points (132.9), tenth in TD:INT (4.7) and seventh in QBR (97.8) among starters with 50+ attempts when he is behind by a touchdown or more.

Texans at Falcons, 1 p.m

  • Surprisingly, the Falcons have the strongest defensive rush (EPA) ahead of the Seahawks and Titans.
  • Tyler Allgeier’s Touches (18-16-9-8), RBTouch% (52.9%-41.0%-39.1%-29.6%) and FPs (22.9-4.8-3.9). -1.7) have fallen weekly.
  • Dameon Pierce is 14th in RBTouch% but only 25th in points.
  • CJ Stroud under pressure vs. not under pressure: 51.1 to 67.3 Comp%, 4.7 to 9.5 YD/ATT, 0 to 6 TDs, 64.3 to 117.1 QBR.
  • Tank Dell in the same situation: 10.0 to 24.4 TGT% on routes, 4-2-17-0 to 20-14-250-2 on receptions.
  • The Steelers and Ravens rank in the top 10 in pressure rate, while the Jaguars and Colts rank 26th and 27th, respectively. Falcons are 17.

Panthers at Lions, 1 p.m

  • The Panthers pressure the QB the second least (27.6%), and Jared Goff is sixth in QBR when not pressured, and he’s at home.
  • Only Zach Ertz (24.8) has a higher TmTGT% than Sam LaPorta (21.8) among tight ends – LaPorta is also second in YPRR (2.30, min. 10 targets – Noah Fant first with 2.67) .
  • Prior to Week 4 (injured, not 100%), Miles Sanders was 10th in RBTouch% (71.6) and led in targets (20).
  • In his three games, Bryce Young has a fantastic overall score of 7.5-13.5-7.2 and doesn’t run much (7 of 61 this year).
  • There’s a good chance Jameson Williams counts quickly, making it a Hail Mary play.

Titans at Colts, 1 p.m

  • Since returning in Week 2, Zack Moss has an 88.9 RBTouch% and 16.4 FPPG, which ranks first and eighth.
  • The Titans have the third-fewest plays per game (57.3) and pass plays per game (31.3).
  • The Titans defense allowed just 15 explosive yards rushing (1.0% rate) and just 5.4% of total rushing yards (second lowest, 49ers at 9.1%).
  • When Anthony Richardson is at quarterback, Kylen Granson averages 18.6 TmTGT%, 23.2 TGT% on routes, and 21.0 TmAirYD%. Those numbers would rank sixth, ninth, and fourth among tight ends with more than 10 routes.

Giants at Dolphins, 1 p.m

  • Despite having the eighth-highest pressure rate, the Giants rank in the top 10 for favorable pass EPA and WR-only EPA with the third-highest adjusted net yards per attempt (Broncos and Bears).
  • Before garbage time, Matt Breida had 89.5% of RB touches and is the clear trigger if Saquon Barkley is out.
  • Tua Tagovailoa leads the league with 13.5 YD/Comp, and the Dolphins lead in TD% (9.0 – Broncos second, 6.7), ExpPlay% (18.8, Vikings second, 14.6) and allowed Pressure rate (lowest value, 23.8%).

Saints at Patriots, 1 p.m

  • Only the Browns force more 3-and-outs than the Patriots (44.7% to 58.8%).
  • In his first game back, Alvin Kamara had 85.7 RBTouch% and 36.8 TmTGT%.
  • Of the receivers in the top 10 for targets and with a TmTGT% above 27.0 (Top 14), Chris Olave and Ja’Marr Chase are the only two without a touchdown and outside the top 25 in points.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson’s RBTouch% is 70.6 with a 7+ point decline; in case of a draw or defeat it is 68.4; when behind or ahead by 6 or less, it is 66.3; but with a lead of more than 7 points it is only 52.4%.

Ravens at Steelers, 1 p.m

  • The Ravens allow the third-lowest QBR and ANY/A, the fourth-lowest PassEPA, and the lowest TD/REC.
  • Zay Flowers is the only Ravens receiver since Mark Andrews returned in Week 2 to have over 15.0 TmTGT% (23.5).
  • Calvin Austin ranks second behind George Pickens in all Steelers scoring stats over the last two weeks.
  • Najee Harris just had his best game (10.8 points) but still only had a 51.7 RBTouch% with 2-1-32 goals against and 6-6-26 for Jaylen Warren.

Eagles at Rams, 4 p.m

  • Dallas Goedert ranks 15th in TmTGT% (15.7), 56th in TGT% on routes (13.6), and 58th in YPRR (0.59) for tight ends (min. 10+ routes). TmTGT% is about normal, but previous lows for TGT% and YPRR are 18.0% and 1.44.
  • As of Week 2, D’Andre Swift is eighth in FPPG (18.6) and first in rushing yards (361).
  • The Rams lead the league with 71.5 plays per game and the Eagles are fourth (70.3).
  • The Rams rank 10th defensively, but the Eagles allow a league-low 35.3 percent and Swift is third-to-last, behind Austin Ekeler and De’Von Achane (27.1%).

Bengals at Cardinals, 4 p.m

  • The Cardinals have the lowest pressure rate (27.6%).
  • Joe Burrow has 64.0 Comp%, 5.5 YD/ATT, 8.4 YD/COMP and 9.6 OffTGT% when not under pressure, versus 37.8%, 2.8, 7.4 and 13.5% when under pressure this year.
  • Joshua Dobbs is fifth in FPPG since Week 2 with zero interceptions against NYG, DAL and SF. He scored his season-high 24.2 points last week against the 49ers.
  • Michael Wilson had his breakout game and is now just 6.6 points behind Marquise Brown (49.3), despite having a TmTGT% of 13.2 to Brown’s 26.4%.

Jets at Broncos, 4 p.m

  • The Broncos defense has the highest Comp% above expectations (12.4 – next best, Vikings 6.8) and the highest AdjComp% allowed (87.3 – Vikings second again, 83.1).
  • Broncos also have the highest explosive run percentage allowed (9.5 – Bills second, 9.3) and Breece Hall leads the league with 72.4% of his yards coming explosively.
  • The Jets’ pass defense ranks in the top 10 (hardest) in YPPR (9.62), end zone targets (five) and pressure rate (41.3).
  • If Javonte Williams plays, he’s riskier than normal and a fringe RB2, while Jaleel McLaughlin would be an RB3. If there is no Williams, McLaughlin is a fringe RB2 with Samaje Perine, who could see more passing work, an RB3.

Chiefs at Vikings, 4 p.m

  • No Chiefs wideout has more than 13.3 TmTGT% (Rashee Rice).
  • Jordan Addison went scoreless with just one goal for the first time in Week 4 and continues to play just three goals.
  • In his first game with the Vikings, Cam Akers was responsible for two drives and seven touchdowns. Alexander Mattison had 18 touches, 72.0 RBTouch%.
  • Isiah Pacheco is in must-start territory now that he’s healthy, with dream stats of 14.8 and 23.3 in the last two games, including 17 and 23 touches.

Cowboys at 49ers, SNF

  • The Cowboys put more pressure on the quarterback than any other team by far (54.7%; the Packers are second at 42.3%).
  • The Cowboys field the most man defense (40.2%) – Brandon Aiyuk is top 10 in YPRR vs. Man (4.14) and has the second highest rating (Nico Collins is first) – Deebo Samuel has just 1.15 YPRR and 72nd in YPRR vs. Man compared to 2.89 and 15th vs. Zone.
  • Brock Purdy has a Comp% against man of 61.6 compared to 72.4% against zone with 8.0 YD/ATT to 8.7 YD/ATT but an identical 9:2 TD:INT
  • The 49ers are sixth in defensive passEPA but just 27th in rushEPA

Packers at Raiders, MNF

  • The Packers are ahead of man at 10.3% (10.3%, Colts 9.1%), and Davante Adams is eighth in YPPR against zone (3.01). Jakobi Meyers is 22nd (2.18).
  • The Packers and Raiders rank 27th (57.8) and 28th (57.5) in plays per game.
  • Josh Jacobs doesn’t have a single explosive run, but he is second in TmRuATT% (88.6), RBTouch% (84.2) and TmTGT% among running backs (19.1).

WEEK 5 FANTASY FOOTBALL SLEEPERS

These are sleeper (DuckTales and Darkwing Duck style – Woo-oo is worthy of risk in most leagues, and Dangerous is when you need a Hail Mary). You will not 100% imitate my ranking. This is about aiming for the upside and it often comes with a higher level of risk – to put it simply, they are upside plays that you might consider over a firm bottom option.

Woo-oo worthy

  • QB: Joshua Dobbs, ARI
  • RB: Josh Jacobs; Jahmyr Gibbs, DET
  • WR: Zay Flowers, BAL; Michael Pittman, IND
  • TE: Zach Ertz, ARI

Let’s get dangerous

  • QB: Brock Purdy, SF
  • RB: Breece Hall, NYJ; Tyler Allgeier, ATL
  • WR: Wan’Dale Robinson, NYG; Michael Wilson, ARI
  • TE: Tyler Conklin, NYJ

WEEK 5: BUY LOW, SELL HIGH

These are players to maximize value on, because buying low doesn’t mean you have to trade them everywhere, and selling high doesn’t mean you have to get rid of them at any price. These are just potentially undervalued and overvalued players in trading.

Buy cheap

  • QB: Joe Burrow, CIN (for hiding, not starting); Trevor Lawrence, JAX
  • RB: Aaron Jones, GB; Josh Jacobs, L.V.; Breece Hall, NYJ
  • WR: Jaylen Waddle, MIA; Jerry Jeudy, DEN

Sell ​​high

  • QB: CJ Stroud, HOU
  • RB: De’Von Achane, MIA; Ken Walker, SEA
  • WR: DJ Moore, CHI; Christian Kirk, JAX, Nico Collins, HOU

FUN WITH RANKINGS!

Thanks to Jamie S. for this suggestion last week. The original idea was “10 Things I Can’t Try Trying Anymore.” I’m taking that and making it the top 10 things you shouldn’t try when you’re 30! (And with a new clarification…the underlying thought too: *you don’t already do it on a regular basis.*) The exception to the rule would of course be the Bills Mafia people, since they regularly jump off buildings, cars, whatever on unbreakable tables… because… bills…?

  • Skateboarding/snowboarding – Let’s face it, you weren’t even that good as a teenager. This is just skin donation to the sidewalk waiting to happen. And the snow grips your feet and requires you to injure numerous body parts… and this is coming from someone who was an avid snowboarder.
  • Pickup basketball — Burst Achilles tendon, twisted ankle, torn cruciate ligament. All of this is just as likely as embarrassing yourself with these air balls.
  • Random 40 yard dash — Even better when you see people trying it in street clothes/shoes. Another ankle/Achilles tendon injury is imminent.
  • Backpacking — Casual hiking? Secure. Even then, your feet aren’t prepared for much if you don’t do it regularly and with decent shoes. Full backpacking over 10 miles, uphill and downhill? You’ll see how out of shape you really are and how crappy these shoes are when the blisters swell to the size of golf balls.
  • Flag football or ultimate frisbee on sand – Flag football and ultimate frisbee are on the rise (especially the latter, Boomer), but playing on sand requires twisted ankles.
  • football — You’re not fit enough for that. Even if you just shoot at the goal, it will embarrass you if you can’t hit a gigantic goal.
  • Weightlifting without stretching – Torn chest, biceps, etc. Take your pick. Hey, get fit! That’s great. But the stretch thing is suitable for pretty much anything. Your (our) aging muscles, tendons and ligaments are not ready to use at any moment, just like when we were teenagers and our bodies would ragged after a bike accident and could spring up like nothing had happened.
  • tennis — There’s a reason why pickleball has become the trend that it is. You 1) don’t have the stamina, 2) aren’t as good as you think, and 3) want to crush every ball… and that never works.
  • Helping someone move – Just give them some money, buy pizza and celebrate their new place after the paid movers take care of everything. Your back, your hands and your patience are not designed for this!
  • Clubbing/dancing — No one cares how silly and stupid you look at a wedding. No one wants to see father-mother bodies on the dance floor asking, “How are you, dear children?”

    • Honorable Mention: Gainer (Any trick dive?) from a diving board. Shout out to Jamie’s friend Quad who was torn apart trying this.

    WEEK 5 FANTASY FOOTBALL PROJECTIONS

    🚨 HEADS UP 🚨 These may differ from my rankings and mine Ranks are the order in which I would start players outside of additional context, such as “Need the highest upside potential, even if it’s risky.” Also based on 4 point TDs for QB, 6 point break and half PPR

    Projections download link

    WEEK 5 FANTASY FOOTBALL RANKINGS

    🚨 HEADS UP 🚨

    • Unfortunately, there is still no perfect widget. I know many see this on your phone, but 1) use the rankings widget on a PC/laptop etc if possible, or 2) open in your phone’s browser, especially for Android users, for scrolling to work properly .
    • ECR = “Expert” consensus ranking (which not everyone updates regularly, so use with caution).
    • Will be updated regularly. Please find out about the blocking of the lineups.

    (Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images)