French President Emmanuel Macron’s alliance, Ensemble, suffered a sharp decline and was far from confirming its outright majority in France’s National Assembly in the second round of this Sunday’s general election, according to vote forecasts.
The formations that now make up the ensemble, which had reached 350 seats in 2017, would remain between 205 and 250 MPs according to these projections cited by the EFE agency.
Meanwhile, the new left-wing alliance Nupes, led by Jean-Luc Mélenchon, would become the main opposition force with 149-190 MPs, while Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Regrouping (RN) would make a strong jump from the opposition with 8 MPs out 2017 should be in the range of 75 to 100 this time.
The presidential candidacy would be the first in the seats, but he suffers a setback that will force him to agree to the government. Mélenchon’s left and Le Pen’s extreme right are fired https://t.co/7vRZixz0Yx
— THE COUNTRY International (@elpais_inter) June 19, 2022
The other big party, the conservative Republicans (LR), falls from 130 to 60-78, but it may become a key to governability if its MPs and Macron’s meet or surpass the 289 that form the absolute majority, somewhat , according to an EFE review, seems fairly likely.
The final results will be crucial for the French political body and could lead to a network of alliances and deadlocks in parliament that could complicate Macron’s new mandate and even earn Mélenchon the nomination as prime minister.
The current Prime Minister, Élisabeth Borne, would have been elected in her constituency in Normandy with 52% of the vote. Borne had never stood for election before.
Other members of the Government of 15 who took part in these elections run a serious risk of not winning a seat, which would result in them leaving the executive branch.
As for the abstention, according to these projections, it is around 54%, a point and a half more than in the first ballot last Sunday, but 3.4 points less than in the second ballot in 2017.
(With information from EFE and El País)