Mohammed Dahlan, Marwan Barghouti, Majed Faraj and a few others. The Totonomi are already crazy about who will rule the new one Gazathe one that will emerge from the rubble of War and is no longer held hostage Hamas. Perhaps the leader who replaces Ismail Haniyeh will be the same one who will rule the West Bank, after Mahmoud Habbas, nom de plume Abu Mazen, the head of Fatah and the Palestinian Authority, whose leadership is now coming to an end: 88 years old next year November 15th, heart patient, cured of prostate cancer, elections frozen since 2006, for 17 years. The question is: Who will lead the Palestinian people when the conflict is behind them and they must chart a new path toward a possible peace? This is what Israelis, Americans and moderate Arab countries are demanding, which have begun or have already joined a process of normalizing relations with Israel. The contacts are running. One thing is clear: the new leaders must be popular in the region, have years of militancy and Israeli prison sentences on their resumes, but be known to Westerners, have excellent relations with Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt and be capable , to enter into dialogue with them Israel. An identikit that is not easy to find, but not impossible. This number exists.
THE HYPOTHESIS
Yakoov Peri, former head of the Israeli secret service Shin Bet, has ventured his name to the “Messenger” in recent days. Three years ago, David Friedman, a former American envoy to Jerusalem, told USA Today: “Mohammed Dahlan? We think about it. The idea has been around for some time, for Gaza and for the post-Abu Mazen period. Dahlan, 62 years old, career as a senior Palestinian leader. Born in the Khan Yunis refugee camp in Gaza, he was imprisoned eleven times in Israeli prisons for a total of five years until 1986. He took the opportunity to learn Hebrew. Since he became Fatah’s security chief and leader of the Gaza Strip, he has known the enemy and been in dialogue with him. It is considered “reliable”. In 1994, when the Palestinian Authority was founded, Arafat chose him to head preventive security in Palestine Gaza.
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He was subsequently accused (a medal on his chest in certain Palestinian and Israeli circles) of using harsh methods in Hamas: torture in prison. Abu Mazen he would have accused him of losing the battle for the Gaza Strip with Hamas. The agency’s former national security adviser and member of Fatah’s political committee had challenged Abu Mazen, accusing him of corruption and poisoning Arafatfinally expulsion in 2011. In exile in Abu Dhabi, he maintained his extensive regional relationships while maintaining his base of consensus in Gaza and other countries West Bank. His hand would be behind the signing of the “Abraham Accords” between Israel and the United Arab Emirates. Donald Trump’s staff already saw him as a possible leader in Gaza. In recent years, the mere “threat” of forming a separate list in the West Bank was enough to postpone the vote because it would have deprived Abu Mazen of support and risked handing victory to Hamas. Dahlan, a personal friend of the Clintons and several former CIA directors, has been unable to escape the bounty on his head from Turkey, which believes he was involved in the 2016 coup attempt. Five million dollars, not a little.
The other charismatic name, which, despite being imprisoned in Israel since 2002, would not be frowned upon even in Tel Aviv, is that of Marwan Barghouti, 64 years old, leader of the Second Intifada and the Movement Wing of Fatah. His wife, Fadwa Ibrahim, recently spoke in interviews in which she reiterated her support for Marwan’s candidacy to lead a Palestinian unity government. “Abu Mazen is finished, it is up to the young people to liberate the Palestinians.” But it cannot be Dahlan, even if he is not mentioned, because the new leader cannot enter the Gaza Strip “on an Israeli tank.” . Arafat’s widow Suha is the spokesperson for the old guard and refuses to imagine an end to Abu Mazen’s power. “He will be 100 years old.” But the war in Gaza will also worsen the situation in the West Bank. In the name of continuity, the possible successors Majed Faraj, 60 years old, a few months ago were renewed indefinitely as head of the PNA’s intelligence service, who escaped a terrible attack in 2018, on his resume a father killed by Israeli attackers Bethlehem . Then Jibril Rajoub, now general secretary of the Fatah Central Committee and, above all, president of the Football Association and the Palestinian Olympic Committee. Finally, a powerful outsider who knows the Americans well because he represented Palestine at the UN and lives in New York: Nasser al-Qudwa, Arafat’s nephew.
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