As is now known, the oil company ExxonMobil knew about climate change very early on, but deliberately misled the public.
Fossil fuels such as oil and natural gas are driving global warming. A fact that oil companies have long denied. The effects of the climate crisis were minimized and scientific facts were denied. A new study now shows how incredibly accurately scientists commissioned by ExxonMobil predicted human-caused global warming, yet ExxonMobil deliberately spread false information and ran disinformation campaigns against the science.
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spreading misinformation
ExxonMobil has been doing climate research for decades, but has publicly denied the scientific consensus that its own scientists had confirmed. This was discovered by journalists in 2015 as part of research published on the non-profit news portal Inside Climate News. Since at least 1977, the company’s management had been informed that global warming was a real and serious threat.
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In the new study, published in the journal Science, the company’s internal forecasts from the years 1977 to 2003 were evaluated systematically and quantitatively for the first time based on unpublished data from internal company documents.
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The study shows how accurate and specialized the oil company’s internal forecasts were. According to analyzes by science historians Geoffrey Supran and Naomi Oreskes, from Harvard University, and physicist Stefan Rahmstorf, from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), the oil company knew for decades that burning fossil fuels would lead to global warming of about 0.2 degrees per decade would take.
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Supran, Oreskes, and Rahmstorf analyzed 32 internal papers prepared by ExxonMobil scientists between 1977 and 2003 and 72 scientific publications authored or co-authored by them between 1982 and 2014. According to the study authors, this dataset includes all accessible internal documents to the public and company research publications.
ExxonMobil contradicts its own data
According to the authors of the study, the oil company’s predictions coincided with those of independent scientific models of the respective periods and were “at least as good”. In public statements on the subject of the climate crisis, Exxon and later – since its merger with Mobil Oil in 1999 – ExxonMobil have contradicted their own data on each of these points.
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“What ExxonMobil knew surprisingly well, and what ExxonMobil unfortunately did, are in sharp contrast,” co-author Rahmstorf said in a PIK broadcast. In fact, as early as 1977, a prediction “correctly predicted that the use of fossil fuels would cause a ‘carbon dioxide-induced superinterglacial’. .”
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According to a Harvard University press release, the current analysis gives additional weight to ongoing legal and policy investigations into the mineral oil company. The results confirm claims by scientists, journalists, lawyers and politicians, write Supran, Oreskes and Rahmstorf in their study, that ExxonMobil accurately anticipated the threat of man-made global warming and further orchestrated lobbying and propaganda efforts to delay the climate action.
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Nav Account lym Time13.01.2023, 13:10| Act: 01/13/2023, 1:10 pm