Alexander Vindman, a former adviser to Donald Trump (whose impeachment witness he was a key witness for) and a native of Ukraine, tells Corriere della Sera today that Vladimir Putin will not stop in the East. And that the West is in danger of being drawn into the war. “Politicians on both sides of the Atlantic believe that the shortterm risk is a direct confrontation with Russia, but the real risk is a protracted war, a human catastrophe, the possible use of chemical weapons, nuclear provocations … In twentiethcentury history the long wars that will ultimately affect America and larger parts of Europe”.
According to Vindman, “The Russians have suffered enormous casualties, but if they are successful, they can draw on enormous amounts of military equipment and mobilize the population. It could take years. On the other hand, if they continue to suffer casualties, I don’t think they will be able to maintain this level of combat for more than six months ». And so it is necessary to deliver weapons and planes to Kyiv to resist: “The next 4 weeks will be crucial: if Putin secures the East and Mariupol, the war will not end there: he will advance further West; The only way it can end is for Russia to be systematically defeated, battle by battle, preventing it from continuing major combat operations. At that point, instead of this broad and disastrous war, it may become a frozen or smaller conflict.