Many other things need to happen to unravel this strand, or just a few, who knows: What is certain is that the war in Ukraine is far from over. Every day we witness a new military escalation between the two armies, the declarations of NATO, but above all the “dancing” moods of the Tsar of Russia, Wladimir Putin, whose real intentions cannot yet be 100% framed by declarations, against declarations, intentions and so on. On that note, the general Vincenzo Camporiniformer Chief of Defense Staff and Head of Defense and Security of Action, explained in an interview with Messaggero that “it’s all in this man’s head and still nobody really understands what his goal is and how far he wants to push”.
“Total War? Who Knows”
The fact that the conflict could also spread to western countries, as Putin’s supporters have repeatedly feared, is a threat that is almost impossible to realise, but cannot be ruled out. Even when the Kremlin spoke of “World War III” or “nuclear war,” all very strong statements were largely aimed at instilling fear of NATO. In short, will total war really be possible? “A hypothesis that no one had thought of before, indeed, according to many, it seems more likely that May 9th will be the moment when Putin announces the truth Goals that had been in his mind from the beginning and for which the special military operation was planned have finally been achieved,” Camporini emphasizes. Ergo, the answer is no rather than yes: if it achieves its goals, it could become a different climate and a military escalation would become less and less intense.
“We expect further provocations”
The situation is confused and a prediction becomes complicated. The invasion of Ukraine also seemed “impossible”, but “it happened instead,” adds the Italian general. Therefore, “other provocations by Putin” are to be expected, which are absolutely unpredictable due to the complexity of “this man’s head”. As we just covered in Giornale.it, the Russian Chief of Staff Valery Gerasimov, he was allegedly wounded in the leg after a Ukrainian bombing raid on the front lines. Camporini reads this move in two ways: “Either Gerasimov comes to claim victory, having prepared things well, or to take the lead and declare to General Dvornikov, who has taken sole command, how it goes”. However, now this injury is changing the cards on the table for the Russian army, since according to some sources the general has returned to his country.
“Modest Advantage”
However, the troop reorganization is spurring on Putin’s army, which is now “potentially much more effective,” although so far it has evolved into a “modest territorial advantage. It remains to be seen whether or not the encirclement of Ukrainian forces in the east will be completed. A very important battle is taking place around Izyum, because the Russians are trying to advance from the north to the south as far as Mariupol,” explains the general. How is Zelenky’s army doing? At the moment they are giving up part of the territory, but it remains whether it is “a planned maneuver to lengthen Russian lines of communication and thus make supplies more difficult, also threatened by an activity against bridges and bottlenecks,” he concludes wait and see