Its going to be a strange year at the Emmys

It’s going to be a strange year at the Emmys: Here are our predictions – WUSF Public Media

It’s going to be a weird Emmys year. It just is.

This year’s awards ceremonies come in an atmosphere of deep labor unrest, most evident in the form of the writers’ strike that has been ongoing since May and the threat of a strike at the Screen Actors Guild as early as this week. (In fact, the SAG contract now expires on July 12, the day the nominations are announced.) The Emmy campaign has already been affected by the WGA strike, and if any of the strikes are still ongoing, it will be in mid-September, when the broadcast is scheduled, these terms will mess things up. And at a deeper level, these riots — coupled with developments like the release of Maureen Ryan’s groundbreaking industry exposé Burn It Down — have complicated the craze for good TV, as well as the ambivalence about how streaming TV is done and the toll the business takes on well-known and little-known people alike.

Even in a less stormy year, there may be times when an Emmy story older than five years is irrelevant. How do you compare the Emmys of the 1980s, when there were essentially three commercial stations plus PBS to choose from, to 2023? How do you compare a time when mainstream success often meant running 10 or 11 seasons to the situation we’re in now where four or five is really good runs? Or analyze seasons with 22 or 23 episodes alongside seasons with only 8 or 10 episodes? Or compare when there were five nominees in a category to now when there are eight?

One answer, of course, is that the Emmys (and awards in general) don’t matter, but what matters is a tricky calculation. The Emmys remain television’s highest-profile form of recognition, and something like Abbott Elementary’s strong performance last year can help with the crucial task of spreading what the industry sees as its best work. It’s easy to say that Emmys don’t matter when you’re swimming in the money and already mighty in your field. The more I watched the awards seasons, the more strategic I saw them as things that could help strengthen the hands of writers and creators (like Abbott’s Quinta Brunson) at a time when their work is expanding feels particularly valuable.

Big Debuts

A big role the Emmy can play is to welcome and encourage new shows — and they still do, even in the crowded landscape we have now. Major awards from the start helped raise the profile of shows like Squid Game, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, Ted Lasso, and The Handmaid’s Tale. Where could new shows cause a big stir?

Of the eight comedy series nominated last year, two are ineligible this year (Hacks and Curb Your Enthusiasm), so there are at least two spots that could well go to new series. The main contender is probably FX/Hulus’ “The Bear,” which might be said to be out of place in the comedy category, but likely deserves a comedy series nomination, as well as credits for writing, directing, and… acting is preserved.

Slightly longer shots that would still be well deserved could be Peacock’s Poker Face, the week’s retro crime series starring Natasha Lyonne, or Shrinking, the Apple comedy series that seems like a good choice to feature Harrison Ford first Emmy nomination include . Poker Face received many nominations, in part because of the stellar cast of guest stars, 21 of which (including the likes of Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Lil Rel Howery, Adrien Brody, Stephanie Hsu and Hong Chau) submitted their names as potential nominees.

Natasha Lyonne spielt die Hauptrolle in <em>Poker Face</em>.”  width=”880″ height=”495″ src =”https://npr.brightspotcdn.com/dims4 /default/ce2352f/2147483647/strip/true/crop/5826×3277+0+0/resize/880×495!/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.npr.org%2Fassets%2Fimg%2F2023%2F07 %2F10%2Fnup_197594_00535r3_wide-3154220026aaecd30e6504a05e001103c7295568.jpg” loading=”lazy” bad-src=”data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My 5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZlcnNpb249IjEuMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSI0OTVweCIgd2lkdGg9Ijg4MHB4Ij48L3N2Zz4=”/></p><p>Karolina Wojtasik / Peacock</p><p>/</p><p>peacock</p><p>Natasha Lyonne stars in Poker Face.</p><p><b>The drama, oh the drama</b>
</p><p>This is a place where you can do a little math.  The most obvious new addition that could garner plenty of nominations is HBO’s The Last of Us, the critically acclaimed video game adaptation.  In addition, this likely squad will be difficult.</p><p>The drama series category, on the face of it, looks interestingly open this year, missing five of eight 2022 nominees: Ozark, Euphoria, Stranger Things, Squid Game, and Severance.  (Ozark is over; the others are hibernating.) But!  In 2023 both “The Crown” and “The White Lotus” are eligible again, who were already nominated but did not compete last year.  Assuming both are nominated, along with remaining 2022 nominees Yellowjackets, Succession and Better Call Saul, and The Last of Us, that leaves two more spots in the drama series.  There are certainly big franchise entries like Andor, The Mandalorian, and House of the Dragon that could fill those spots.  The power of Netflix could boost some of theirs, like The Diplomat, which starred Keri Russell, who was a fixture on prestigious cable TV’s Golden Age and was nominated three times for The Americans.</p><source media=Kevin Costner als John Dutton in <em>Yellowstone</em>”  width=”880″ height=”495″ src=”https://npr .brightspotcdn.com/dims4/ default/b23db8b/2147483647/strip/true/crop/2973×1672+0+0/resize/880×495!/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.npr.org%2Fassets%2Fimg%2F2023%2F07% loading=”lazy” bad-src=”data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcv MjAwMC9zdmciIHZlcnNpb249IjEuMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSI0OTVweCIgd2lkdGg9Ijg4MHB4Ij48L3N2Zz4=”/></p><p>  / Paramount Pictures</p><p>/</p><p>Paramount Pictures</p><p>Kevin Costner as John Dutton in Yellowstone</p><p>But perhaps the most intriguing possibility is Yellowstone, which has benefited for years from the public theory that its popularity makes its lack of nominations suspicious or political (an argument seemingly never related to the many broadcast procedures, which are also very popular and rare to be nominated).  .  Given the sheer power of the Taylor-Sheridan machine, “Yellowstone” could earn drama series nomination and, oddly enough, deal a blow to its narrative of being a Hollywood outsider, despite being in many ways a very traditional nighttime opera.</p><p><b>The story of the moment</b>
</p><p>The Emmys aren’t a reliable measure of quality, but they do give an indication of what’s on the minds of the entire industry.  Sometimes that seems to have to do with what’s going on in the world, like when The Handmaid’s Tale won a drama series standout in 2017 or when the extremely gentle catch-up comedy Schitt’s Creek cleaned up in fall 2020.  as pandemic isolation peaked.  Sometimes, like at the Oscars when Top Gun: Maverick was nominated for best picture, it seems to reflect gratitude for what a series could do for the business behind it, like when Ted Lasso’s service became a surprise hit for Apple was still shaky.  That’s not to say voters didn’t like those shows, too;  they did and still do.  But it can take more than that.  It may be necessary to tell the right story at the right time.</p><source media=Ronald Gladden und James Marsden in <em>Jury duty</em>”  width=”880″ height=”494″ src=”https://npr.brightspotcdn. com/dims4/default/33edee7/2147483647/strip/true/crop/700×393+0+0/resize/880×494!/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.npr.org%2Fassets%2Fimg% 2F2023%2F07%2F10%2Fjury_s1_fg_101_00110010_still148-1-_700_wide-df51d0917f1a9531dd996182f048c40ac7184c83.jpg” loading=”lazy” bad-src=”data:image/svg+xml;base64, PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZlcnNpb249IjEuMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSI0OTRweCIgd2lkdGg9Ijg4MHB4Ij48L3N2Zz4=”/></p><p>  / Amazon Freevee</p><p>/</p><p>Amazon Freevee</p><p>Ronald Gladden and James Marsden on Jury Duty</p><p>The most interesting contestant, in the right place at the right time this year, could be Jury Duty, the reality-improv hybrid comedy series.  It had a concept that was difficult to explain: a lonely man named Ronald thinks he’s really serving on the jury, but everyone around him is an actor, including real-life movie star James Marsden, who acts as a version of himself.  Jury Duty aired on Freevee, Amazon’s ad-supported streaming service, where the ability to successfully launch original series has not been demonstrated.  And while the show had one recognizable star, it otherwise revolved around performances by comical actors who, inevitably, were so unremarkable that Ronald would not recognize them.</p><p>That “Jury Duty” caused quite a stir – the New York Times called it a “surprise hit” but conceded that no one really knows how many people saw it – was undoubtedly a pleasant surprise for anyone exploring new directions eyeing the future as subscription services consolidated and cable faded.  A nomination for a comedy series seems plausible, as does a nomination for Marsden — because people like the show, yes.  But also because nothing would make some parts of the television industry happier than the idea that ad-supported streaming could be accepted by more viewers for more purposes than it has been — except perhaps to suggest that high-paying stars aren’t actually necessary.</p><p><b>In a strange year, an unavoidable uneasiness</b>
</p><p>In recent months, it has been difficult for me not to think primarily of the authors when it comes to good television.  The Bear is likely to be nominated for a lot of things this week, but Alex O’Keefe, one of its writers, <a href=said on Twitter in April: “I won the lottery and landed an appearance on a low-budget show that became a national sensation. The bear was a gift, but in the end, The Bear was a performance. And I barely survive between shows.”

It’s interesting that Hollywood is conflicted in part because of the lesson The Bear keeps teaching: Greatness undoubtedly comes from talent — but also from nurturing, learning, practice, and the time that talent becomes functional, albeit at times chaotic way to shape. Workplace. Perhaps the Emmys most poignant this year are the ones that serve as a reminder that nurturing your creative community is the best way to nurture your industry.

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