When will the war end? What do you need a Wladimir Putin to accept the withdrawal from the borders of Ukraine? How far will Russia go? Maybe not in Warsaw, as the propaganda on Russian television claims. All scenarios are probably still possible, as the former CIA chief assures. What second Edward Luttwak What is certain, however, is that the tsar will not stop until he has achieved a victory sufficient to justify the enormous damage inflicted on Russia by Western sanctions and soldiers killed in combat.
“The invasion the wellknown American political scientist explained to the Fourth Republic last night failed on the first day because of false intelligence information which had convinced Putin “that Zelenskyy would have fled, the government would have dissolved and the military would have disappeared. surrendered “. However, it is equally true that Russia does not treat Ukraine like Georgia. Or like Syria. The bombings are reduced in quantity and targets, apart from the obvious destruction of Mariupol and some districts of Kyiv. “Despite the photos and Videos he assures Luttwak The damage is very limited. A question of weight: During World War II, the British sent 10,000 tons of bombs into the cities. In Kyiv it will be maybe 120 tons. However, the military and civilian casualties imposed on Ukraine are enough to convince Zelenskyy to seek peace at all costs, which he “does not prevent. The problem lies with him Russian counterpart. the political scientist explains: “Putin could be satisfied with that Donetsk and Luhansk, but he doesn’t he says Zelensky also offered him neutrality, but he didn’t answer. The tsar has done enormous damage to Russia and believes that he can only get off the table if he has achieved something more than the two provinces he has already partially owned since 2014.
Here, then, lies the real obstacle to peace. Sure the words biden to Warsaw they don’t help (“He was a serious hero, if you want to end the war you can’t say you want to remove the one you have to settle with”), as well as the alleged poisoning of Roman Abramovich (“What’s the point of meeting a realtor, I have a lot of doubts”). But “prolonging the conflict” is the primary goal of the Kremlin: “The war goes on because Putin has not yet won enough to justify the damage that Russia has suffered from the sanctions and the many soldiers who have died in combat.” .