Middle East worrying scenarios quotIt is already a regional warquotwhat

Middle East, worrying scenarios: "It is already a regional war"what awaits us

The US and UK raids against the Houthis in Yemen, the wait for a retaliation from the increasingly powerful armed group, Iran's role vis-à-vis Israel after the Hamas attack on Palestinians on October 7: it no longer makes sense to dwell on it speak There is a risk of the conflict in the Middle East expanding because it is “already a regional war”. This is the belief shared by analysts and observers in some countries affected by the crisis. However, they emphasize that we are not yet in the worst-case scenario – direct involvement of Iran or a real conflict between Israel and Hezbollah – but in a relatively low-intensity war. And that is because, as sources from a country in the Adnkronos region explain, “it is difficult to say whether Iran” is at the forefront of the strategic coordination of the so-called “Axis of Resistance,” which includes the Houthis Part: “wants an escalation or wants to prevent it.” “The signals it sends would go in this second direction,” were it not for the fact that, according to the regime in Tehran, Israel continues to push for escalation. And in the face of “enemy aggression, Iran must not behave passively so as not to encourage Israel even more and not to project an image of weakness,” the sources said in their analysis. Meanwhile, retaliation is expected from the Houthis, “who have grown militarily” thanks to the advanced weapons and capabilities supplied by Tehran, according to Yemeni analyst Farea al-Muslimi, a research fellow at Chatham's Middle East and North Africa program , explains House would only have been damaged in raids, which he describes as only “symbolic.”

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The Houthis resisted bombings of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates for eight years and “couldn't bring them to their knees,” says Gregory Johnsen of the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington, who said the Houthis were involved in the airstrikes London and Washington were involved And more generally, Western allies wanted to “send a message, but the key question is: If the message doesn’t get through, what will the next step be?” Raid on multiple targets? Longer raids?” The Houthis, repeats Nadwa Dawsari, an expert at the Middle East Institute, “have been desperately waiting for a confrontation with America and Israel for 20 years.” Since October 7, they have recruited 45,000 fighters, today the United States and that United Kingdom made their dream of a head-to-head clash come true. What could be even closer in reality is a direct clash with Iran: Biden administration sources, whose first goal remains preventing a regional war, said they had no other choice after diplomacy, confidential contacts and threats The Houthi attacks have not been stopped in recent weeks. Tehran is undoubtedly behind this: “Iran was involved from an operational perspective.” They provided the Houthis with information and intelligence and used their capabilities to attack shipping in the Red Sea.

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