According to a new NYTimes poll, Donald Trump is now leading the polls in five of the six key swing states – and has beaten Joe Biden on key issues such as the economy, immigration and national security.
Former President Trump leads voters in Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan and Pennsylvania by at least three to ten percentage points.
According to the new New York Times and Siena College poll, Wisconsin is currently the only swing state where Biden had a two-point lead.
Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania were four of the states where the Democrat defeated the Republican in their 2020 White House duel.
The poll found that two-thirds of voters believe the country is moving in the wrong direction under Biden and that the multiracial and multigenerational coalition with Kamala Harris is not having the same positive impact as it did in 2020.
Only 37 percent of people say they trust Biden with the economy, compared to 59 percent for Trump – representing one of the biggest issue gaps, according to the survey.
Biden’s boasting about “Bidenomics” is also insufficient – only two percent said the economy was “excellent” during his time in office.
According to statistics, young voters under 30 prefer Biden by just a single percentage point – and men prefer Trump twice as much as women vote for Biden.
Biden’s appeal among Hispanic voters is now in the single digits – and traditionally Democratic black voters now have 22 percent support for Trump.
The NYTimes described the shift as “a level unprecedented in presidential politics by a Republican in modern times” and called the poll a sign of a “gradual racial realignment” between the two parties.
Biden’s departure shows that despite the high-profile four-time felony indictment, Trump would win more than 300 Electoral College votes this time next year.
According to the survey, voters of all income levels felt that Biden’s policies had hurt them personally (18 points disadvantage), whereas Trump’s policies had helped them (17 points advantage).
According to the data, Biden’s senile age of 80 also played a major role. 71 percent of pollsters – across all demographic groups – said he was “too old.”
In comparison, only 39 percent thought the 77-year-old Trump was too old.
Voters also preferred Trump over Biden on immigration, national security and Israel’s current Palestine by 12, 12 and 11 points respectively.
The new data is similar but has some key differences compared to the New Morning Consult/Bloomberg survey released last week.
In that poll, Trump is ahead of Biden among registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Even in North Carolina, a state that went for Trump in 2016 and 2020, Trump was defeated as the leader by Biden.
According to New Morning Consult/Bloomberg statistics, Biden is leading in Nevada – while NYT/Siena data shows Trump is the frontrunner in that state.
Despite the differences, two polls suggest the presidential race will be tough in the contested political battlegrounds.
Voters preferred Trump over Biden on immigration, national security and Israel’s current Palestine by 12, 12 and 11 points, respectively
While Biden has touted the magic of “Bidenomics,” 51 percent of swing-state voters said they felt the national economy was better during the Trump years, according to the New Morning Consult/Bloomberg poll.
Going forward, 49 percent said they would trust Trump with the economy, while 35 percent said the same of Biden.
Only 26 percent of voters said Bidenomics was good for the economy, while 49 percent said Biden’s policies were bad.
Among swing state voters who cited the economy as their most important issue, just 14 percent said Bidenomics is working, while 65 percent say it is not.
When it comes to immigration, Trump dominates, followed by the economy, crime, US-China relations, weapons, the Russia-Ukraine war and the regulation of technology companies. On infrastructure, he even has a four-point lead. Biden’s bipartisan infrastructure bill is one of his most important legislative achievements.
Biden often mocks Trump for being embroiled in scandal every time the Republican president tried to hold an infrastructure week at the White House.
Biden’s top issue is curbing climate change, followed by abortion, health care, democracy, Social Security and Medicare. He is slightly ahead of Trump on education and schools — although Republicans are making some political gains in addressing issues like critical race theory and giving parents more control over the K-12 curriculum.
But swing-state voters rated the economy as their most important issue, with about three in four saying it was headed in the wrong direction.
A “red wave” was predicted last year, but in the end Democrats retained control of the Senate and Republicans only won the House by a few seats.
Additionally, former President Barack Obama faced similar dismal polls a year after his 2012 election victory against Republican Mitt Romney.
“After this historic midterm election, President Biden’s campaign is working hard to reach and mobilize our winning coalition of voters, built on a winning, popular agenda more than a year later,” said Biden campaign spokesman Kevin Munoz.
“We will win in 2024 by putting our heads down and doing the work, not by getting upset about a poll,” he added.
Last week, Trump predicted he would win the Republican presidential primary in Iowa against DeSantis in January, ignoring advisers’ caution not to inflate expectations.
The former president’s confidence came despite the fact that he greeted his Iowa audience in Sioux City with the wrong name. He named the place “Sioux Falls,” which is actually a city in South Dakota.
“I go around saying, ‘Of course we’re going to win Iowa.'” “My people said you can’t assume that,” Trump told his audience at the lavish Orpheum Theater in Sioux City, Iowa.
According to statistics, young voters under 30 prefer Biden by just a single percentage point – and men prefer Trump twice as much as women vote for Biden
“There is no way Iowa is going to vote against Trump,” he said, citing the economic benefits to agricultural states from the tariffs his administration imposed on China.
And yet, as Trump took the stage, he warmly greeted a city more than 80 miles north and across the state line from South Dakota. He said, ‘Hello to a place where we did very well, Sioux Falls.’ Thank you very much.’
A few minutes later he noticed the faux pas and corrected himself.
It was Trump’s eighth campaign rally in Iowa in just over a month and part of the former president’s accelerated campaign program ahead of the nation’s first caucuses in January.
Trump’s speech in Sioux City, the heart of Republican-heavy western Iowa, followed last month’s events in eastern and central Iowa, where he drew thousands of people as his team tried to mount a more organized campaign than in 2016.