Despite potential export restrictions keep buying Nvidia stock says Morgan

Nvidia hits new groundbreaking price target ahead of earnings

Everyone is there and it looks like no one wants to miss out on anything. A recent common activity on Wall Street has been to raise the price target Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Shares. After a resounding breakthrough in 2023 based on exceptional results and buoyed by the company's position as the undisputed leader in AI chip makers, analysts have recently adjusted their models and raised their targets as they believe that AI -Opportunities have not yet been fully exploited.

However, Loop Capital's 5-star analyst Ananda Baruah has decided to jump in and disregard all other forecasts without actually making any adjustments.

The top analyst recently initiated coverage on NVDA stock with a “Buy” rating and a high price target of $1,200, suggesting shares still have room for further growth from current levels % have. (To view Baruah’s track record, click here)

What drives Baruah’s optimistic attitude? “Not only do we believe there is significant upside to Street estimates in fiscal 2024/2025 and fiscal 2025/2026, but we are also at the beginning of a three- to five-year foundation build for GPU computing and Gen AI Hyperscale,” explained the analyst. “While we recognize that additional silicon vendors (both private and AMD and INTC) and hyperscale-specific internal silicon solutions will come online in the next few years, our work suggests that NVDA's largest customers will be all in 2024 and 2025 will take advantage of what NVDA can offer them.”

Powered by data center GPUs, Baruah expects corresponding revenue and earnings per share of $132.4 billion for the 2024/2025 fiscal year and $40 billion in fiscal year 2025/2026, respectively .00, while the consensus is at $110 billion and $24.84, respectively.

If that isn't optimistic enough, both on revenue and GM expansion, Baruah also believes that “there is legitimate upside potential even to our Street estimates above.”

While the immediate reaction is to think that Baruah may be exaggerating here, it's worth considering that Nvidia's quarterly results show a “clear pattern of pronounced beats” since the generative AI opportunity began a year ago.

The reason Baruah is so much more confident than the general view on Wall Street is pretty simple. Basically, Baruah expects Nvidia to sell far more high-end data center GPUs than other analysts currently expect. For FY2024/FY2025, Baruah sees Nvidia moving toward 5.0 million (and 6.5 million+ for FY2025/FY2026). Based on investor calls, Baruah believes The Street expects a total of 4.0 million to 4.5 million GPUs for enterprise and data centers over the same period.

Looking at the collapse of consensus, most of Baruah's colleagues are also optimistic. Based on 37 Buys vs. 3 Holds, the stock receives a Strong Buy consensus rating. Still, some seem to think a cooling period for the stock is in order; The average target of $746.91 suggests the stock will remain range-bound for now. (See Nvidia stock forecast)

Nvidia hits new groundbreaking price target ahead of earnings

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Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analysts. The content is for informational purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before investing.