The Ifop poll we published shows a growing split among voters over Ukraine. When asked about the concerns French would share about the current situation in Ukraine, Green voters say they are 96 percent more concerned than the March military average, a week after the Russian offensive began. In comparison, National Assembly voters are concerned at 72%, down 24 points from the Greens.
46% of the French cannot predict the outcome
We find this difference when it comes to knowing whether to reach a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine first and continue to provide significant military assistance to the Ukrainian army. 69% of the voters of Jean-Luc Mélenchon, 77% of Marine Le Pen and 88% of Éric Zemmour in the first ballot of the 2017 presidential election favor this negotiation option instead of supporting Ukraine until it wins militarily against Russia. Those who give the least priority to negotiations are found among the Socialists (57%) and Renaissance, Emmanuel Macron’s party (60%). “This idea that the attacked country must ultimately beat the attacking country at all costs is obviously not in the majority,” comments Frédéric Dabi, Director General of Ifop. Regarding how French people feel about the length of the war Russia is waging against Ukraine, it is striking that the high proportion of French who are unable to make any predictions (46%) is far higher than that of Les Républicains voters (62%). ). Could it be a possible disorientation within a movement in which former Prime Minister François Fillon had flattered himself before the war that he had forged a close relationship with a more reliable Vladimir Putin?
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On a social level, it is noteworthy that this war in Ukraine continues to worry most pensioners (92%), the French without a university degree (87%) and residents of rural communities (86%). Among the categories of the French population that are above average in favor of giving priority to a diplomatic solution instead of helping Ukraine to defeat Russia with arms, we find women (73%), young people aged 25 and 34 years (75%), public sector employees (73%) and rural residents (72%). “Public opinion has largely internalized the idea that this war would continue and that 2023 would still be a tense year on all fronts,” said Frédéric Dabi.
ifop survey for JDD, conducted on December 20 and 21, 2022 with a representative sample of 1016 people aged 18 and over (quota method). The interviews were conducted online using a self-filled questionnaire. The error rate is between 1.4 and 3.1 points.