It has arrived, dear readers. The most awaited date by moviegoers around the world is here. In just under two hours today, March 12, the 95th edition of the world’s largest film award will take place. The event will be broadcast in Brazil as usual on cable channel TNT, and in times of streaming we also have exhibitions from platforms like HBO Max, for example. So, it’s just a matter of programming, popcorn and preparing for another Oscar Ceremony in front of the TV we hope there are no surprises at the level of “Gun, Punch and Bomb” this year. Or is it better with?
As always we want to anticipate ourselves and warm up our engines, let’s give our opinion with spoilers on what we can see during the exhibition. That is, our predictions of winners in a wide variety of categories. Check it out below and prepare your bets.
All indications are that A24’s small production, which mixes a little bit of everything into its scifi salad, will win the grand prize of the year. It’s true that the movie much ‘matrix‘, but what really weighs is the family connections, the drama and the emotions (especially between mother and daughter), in addition to the important Asian portrayal in an American film. It’s definitely not recommended for all audiences, especially older ones, but its narrative creativity is undeniable. Finally, understanding all the weirdness in the film is commendable. And this creativity will be rewarded tonight. The work received the Actors’ Union award, the biggest thermometer for Oscar.
run outside: the only one who really has a chance to debunk ‘Everything everywhere at the same time‘Tonight is’The Fabelmans“, Biography of Steven Spielberg made by himself, which is a love letter to cinema but it’s an oldfashioned film. “Everything in Everywhere” is anything but conventional or traditional.
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The award for best director is usually linked to the award for best film except in cases where the director of the favorite film was not nominated at all (like ten years ago with “argon‘, In Ben Affleck). This year the Daniels (kwan It is seems) must get carried away with their film and win the grand prize for their efforts. And what an effort when we once again make sense of all the madness thatEverything everywhere at the same time‘To deliver a coherent, insane and at the same time beautiful film is a thankless task for few. And they succeed.
run outside: It’s difficult, because although his films don’t have many chances Ruben Ostlund (‘Ttriangle of sadness‘), Martin McDonagh (‘The Banshees by Inesherin‘) It is Todd Field (‘tar‘) demonstrate excellent mastery of such works. But in our opinion, only the statuette can really be taken from the hands of the Daniels Steven Spielberg and his autobiography. One argument against the legendary filmmaker’s victory is that he already has two Oscars for directing: for “Schindler’s List” and “Saving Private Ryan”.
The Oscar race is really like a presidential race or a political race. During the campaign, candidates rise or fall in favor and change places just like in a real race. If it were at the start of the argument, after the nominees were announced, the Oscar would go right away Kate Blanchett and her portrayal of the intense conductor of an orchestra in ‘tar‘. Like Spielberg, Blanchett already has two Oscar statuettes as the lead actress for Blue Jasmine and as a supporting actress for The Aviator. But Blanchett lost momentum, leaving the Asian an opportunity to stretch Michelle Yeoh, is experiencing recognition at his best in Hollywood. Today the Malaysian veteran takes home her prize.
run outside: as said, Kate Blanchett was the favorite from the start but stumbled over time. If it fails, it still takes home the Oscar. The other three are victorious simply because they are among the nominees Ana de Armas It is Andrea Riseborough firsttime sailors. Already Michelle Williams gets his fifth winless nomination and looks like it won’t be the case this time either.
In the comeback of the decade Brendan Fraser should emerge victorious from his first Oscar nomination for the drama.The whale‘, In Darren Aronofsky. He won’t be the first actor to be recognized for a film by the director, as he won in 2011 Natalie Portman took the statuette homeblack Swan‘. Fraser was an actor who managed to keep up his Oscar nomination hype ever since information about the film first broke. He was out of favor for a short time but looks like a likely winner now.
run outside: Unfortunately, Paul Meskal (‘after sun‘) It is Bill Nighty (‘Life‘) are among the nominees without much of a chance. Well, there are those who believe that Austin Butler can be credited for his portrayal of the King of Rock in ‘elvis‘. Yes, there are chances. But I think the chance is greater Colin Farell Per ‘Inisherin’s Banshees‘ and if anyone puts Fraser down, it’s him.
This is probably the toughest Oscar category this year. Angela Bassett was a favorite from the start. The only actress ever nominated for a film based on a superhero comic and one from Marvel, Bassett can live up to the subgenre, nominated for ‘Black Panther: Wakanda ForeverIt is’. Like I said, she was always the favorite, but at the SAG Awards, from the actors’ union, the biggest Oscar thermometer was whoever took it Jamie Lee Curtisembraces the midfield by ‘Everything everywhere at the same time‘. If I have to choose, I still choose Bassett because I think his win will be more meaningful.
run outside: As previously mentioned, Jamie Lee Curtis accepted the award at SAG and many take his win for granted. It’s very likely. But it must also be considered that not all Oscar and SAG awards are repeated, and this would be one that should not be repeated.
Another heated argument Ke Huy Quan won the SAG Actors Union Award for ‘All everywhere at the same time’. For those who don’t remember, in his childhood the actor marked the ’80s with roles such as ‘Baixinho’ from ‘Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom‘ and given in ‘The Goonies‘. Quan has an advantage because his competitors don’t have the power to oust him.
run outside: the only ones who actually have a chance to take away the prize Ke Huy Quan are the supporting actors ofThe Banshees by Inesherin‘ Brendan Gleeson It is Barry Keoghan. And curiously, it’s this second newcomer who has received the highest praise in the film perhaps because he’s a notwellknown actor who delivers an unexpectedly good performance.
This is potato. Whenever a foreign production also lands in the Best Picture category, we know it will win in the NonAmerican Film category. It’s a simple matter of logic since the other four nominees didn’t have the honor of being among the best films of the year. The dispute would remain incognito only if we had two nominated productions for the foreign film in one year, which also performed for best picture. According to the representative of Germany, ‘Nothing new on the front‘ lasts this year. And it’s for nobody.
Please do not confuse. Here we talk about the Netflix version of ‘Pinocchio‘, directed by Guillermo del Toro. The stopmotion animation has captured viewers and critics alike and is one of the best films of 2022. It would be a huge surprise if this touching adaptation of the classic didn’t win an award.
run outside: This year we have two Netflix productions appearing among the nominees for Best Animation of the Year, in addition to ‘Pinocchio‘ Also ‘the sea animal‘; and only one from Disney with ‘Red Growing up is a beast‘. Who saw you and who sees you disney. But who can outwit ‘Pinocchio’ is ‘Marcel The shell with shoes on‘, a production that mixes live action with animation and is based on a short film of the same name.
Another is potato. After all, you can’t be more original than ‘Everything everywhere at the same time‘, and in this connection the directors Dan Kwan It is Daniel Scheinert will get the best.
run outside: in terms of originality with a theme that is very popular in cinema these days, the class struggle, Ruben Ostlund is who runs outside with ‘triangle of sadness‘.
It would be really cool if’glass onion‘, ‘Top Gun Maverick‘ and up ‘Life’ take the price But in terms of popularity and dramaturgical quality, the best bet would be a win for Netflix’s extraordinary German war drama.Nothing new on the front‘.
run outside: Many film vehicle sources state victory ‘Among women‘, theatrical drama by the director Sarah Poley that was only nominated for two awards, one of them for best picture and that’s just word choice, based on the book by Miriam Toews.
Here, too, the popular German war drama can assert itself. His depiction of the era and the trenches is surgical. That means the film could be one of the big winners of the night.
run outside: for many speculators,’Babiloniais the winner of the Art Direction Award. And we would be very happy about that, since the film starring Brad Pitt and Margot Robbie was one of the big snubs of this edition and its strength lies precisely in the characterization of the time. It would be great if he won at least one award. But it wouldn’t be nonsense if that were the case.elvis‘ or ‘The Fabelmans.
Another interesting argument takes place in this category of best costumes in a movie. When it comes to eyecatching costumes, few can match the King of Rock. And the biographyelvis‘ knew this very well, so every costume we see on screen counts.
run outside: 2019 the first ‘black Panther‘ won Oscars for costume design and art direction. This year the second ‘black Panther‘ is not nominated for artistic direction, but same Ruth E Carter, the first black costume designer to win an Oscar in the category, is nominated and it would be great if she could win again. ‘Babylon‘ is also in contention and has strength in the category.
transform Brendan Fraser on a 600pound man took a convincing amount of work from the makeup team at ‘The whale‘. That’s one of the lures of the film, and otherwise the film wouldn’t work and wouldn’t exist. Thinking by that logic, he deserves to be the winner. But the category is very difficult.
run outside: Only two films can take away the makeup Oscar from himThe whale‘. The first is’elvis‘, a film that many speculators guarantee will win the Oscar in the category. Here the bait is the character of tom hanks. But we still haveThe Batman‘, who create the villain penguin, left the heartthrob Colin Farell just unrecognizable. It deserves it too.
When a film starts winning at the Oscars, it can do clean. AND ‘Nothing new on the front‘ this movie could be in the 2023 edition. James friend is not a wellknown or hyped cinematographer, but his work on the war drama is simply stunning.
run outside: The favorite according to speculators is actually the only woman in the category Mandy Walkercameraman for ‘elvis‘. the phenomenon Roger Deakins competes for ‘realm of light‘, in the film’s only nomination.
Although there were no other awards at the Oscars this year, the Best Editing award must go to ‘Everything everywhere at the same time‘. This is one of the defining factors of the film.
run outside: in a montage that is as frenetic as it is stylized, one of the director’s strengths Baz Luhrman ‘elvis‘ is the only one who can take the Oscar from ‘Everything, Everywhere at Once’.
Have you always wanted to know what a musical duel between Lady Gaga It is rihanna? Well this is the year for you. That’s exactly what’s happening in this installment as the pop divas compete for an Oscar. Lady Gaga wrote and performed the rousing song “Hold My Hand” from the hit “Top Gun: Maverick‘. The song became a hit and it would be fair to win the Oscar. rihanna wrote and performed ‘Lift Me Up’ for ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’Music that many felt was “chocha” and the film didn’t map it as it should have.
run outside: Despite the duel between Lady Gaga and Rihanna, speculators guarantee that the song “Naatu Naatu” from the Indian blockbuster “winner” isRRR revolt, rebellion and revolution‘. And it wouldn’t be bad at all.
Here I will listen to speculators, there Damien Chazelle He has a passion for jazz and his tracks are always eyecatching.
run outside: I would be delighted if the extremely disturbing (in a good way) track from ‘Nothing new on the front‘ emerged as the winner. And we still have the veteran John Williams with ‘The Fabelmans‘ It is son Lux in the psychedelicEverything everywhere at the same time‘.
Certain categories already have their owners. And that of the visual effects will fall into the lap of the unbeatable’Avatar: The Way of Water‘, sequel to the film that revolutionized cinema and won in this category in 2010. The second ‘avatar‘ has done no less when it comes to the visual effects revolution.
run outside: There is no one in this category and it will be difficult for everyone else to win the prize for ‘avatar 2‘. Nevertheless, the other candidates are just as strong. Possibly ‘Nothing new on the front’ It is ‘Top Gun: MaverickAfter the big favourite, these are the points that are most outside the curve.
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