Our staff’s best bets on Jazz vs. Hornets, 76ers vs. Clippers, and more (March 25)

We have sixteen more sweet college basketball games tonight with a ton of attention on Friday. That means today’s seven-game NBA roster will slip a little bit out of the picture, and there’s a lot of great stuff on it.

Our NBA analysts plan today’s matches for three matches and bet on one total, one pivot and one spread.

Check out their in-depth analysis and the best deals for Friday night.

Odds and NBA picks

Utah Jazz vs. Charlotte Hornets

Austin Wang: Initially, you thought of these two teams as a scoring game and an easy over, but I suggest something else.

At the start of the season, when league performance was declining, the Hornets were one of the few teams still showing scoring games due to their fast-paced style and lack of defense. The ledgers have begun to inflate their totals, and this continues as the Hornets have the highest average totals in the league.

Last night this total opened at 232 and was reduced to 228.5, which I agree with.

The Jazz will once again be without Bojan Bogdanovic, the second leading scorer. He shoots 39.2% from three and is a key cog in their offense. This will be the eighth game he has missed in March.

As a result, the Jazz’s offense has been hit hard in recent times. According to the SDQL at Gimme the Dog, they are 17-10 under as away favorites and they are 9-3 under in their previous 12 games.

The Hornets still score at a high rate, but not against the best teams in the league. According to the SDQL on Gimme the Dog, they are 25-9 in favor of teams under .500 vs. teams over .500. They are 25-13 short against teams that play at a slower pace than the league average. The Jazz meet the above criteria, and the Hornets seem to be adjusting to the style and pace of their opponents’ play.

Montrezl Harrell’s minutes have dwindled over the past few games and I’m looking forward to a top load from Mason Plumley, starting center, against Rudy Gobert. Plumlee’s presence gives me more confidence in a less productive game.

Both teams are fighting for a place in the playoffs. The Jazz aren’t too far behind the Warriors for the third seed, so they need to finish well to secure home court advantage in the first round. The Hornets are now in ninth place – they still have a chance to get a favorable position for Play-In games.

Since there is still so much at stake, I expect the intensity of the defense to be high. So my best bet in this game is under 228.5 and I would cut it down to 227.

» Back to content «

Golden State Warriors vs. Atlanta Hawks

Brandon Anderson: Kevon Looney’s protocols have been all over the place lately, as has his staging. It’s pretty clear at this point that Looney is a key figure in the Warriors’ rotation, but with Stephen Curry suspended and the team resting and trying to get in rhythm with their youth, Looney’s minutes are bouncing.

In the last game, Looney played 29 minutes and grabbed 16 rebounds, his highest in over two months. But he had played less than 12 minutes the night before, and had only played 17 minutes the previous game, collecting just seven boards in two games combined.

When Looney is not at home, he washes the glass. He averages 12.6 rebounds per 36 minutes per season and knows his role. And he should be called up for a lot of minutes today against Clint Capella and Okyoka Okongwu as the Atlanta Hawks press the rim and glass.

In the last 36 games, Looney is averaging 8.9 rebounds per game. He crossed that line in 26 of those games, hitting it more than 72% of the time. When there are minutes, this is a piece of cake for Looney. He rebounds so well that even with fewer minutes it’s still in the game.

If you think that Looney will play a lot, you can try an alternative if you want. He’s had eight-plus rebounds in half of his last 36 games and has been in double figures in 13 of those games (36%). But he’s only hit double figures in four of his last 21 games, and the beauty of the bottom line is that he can get there by going too far or playing under minutes but still getting strong and hitting.

We predict Looney to have 8.4 rebounds tonight and rank him as the best pivot in the entire table. I will play with any positive number or up to -115.

» Back to content «

Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Clippers

Raheem Palmer: The Philadelphia 76ers lead 10-4 after trading James Harden for Ben Simmons, losing to the Miami Heat, Brooklyn Nets, Denver Nuggets and Toronto Raptors. Their game against the Heat was the only game they didn’t have Harden in.

The 76ers lead the opposition by +13.5 points per 100 possessions, with Harden and Joel Embiid together on the court with a 122.3 offensive rating and a 108.8 defensive rating. They have to take on the Clippers, who are struggling to score this season without Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. The Clippers have also recently experienced a dip in their defense as they have been averaging 121.6 points per 100 possessions over the past two weeks, ranking 26th among teams in the NBA.

Even though Tai Liu keeps his Clippers competitive despite injuries to their best player, the Clippers are only 15-25 against teams over .500 and it looks like they are outclassing the 76ers in this spot, which is one of the best. in the East. Conference.

To defeat this 76ers team, you need to go in transition, and the Clippers are only 28th in transition points per 100 possessions (1.5). As the Clippers struggle to score both at half court and across the court and are tasked with slowing down Embiid and Harden, it could be a long night for fans of the other Los Angeles team.

Look for the 76ers to complete the Hollywood sweep just two days after defeating the Lakers. I’ll put 5 with the 76ers.

» Back to content «