Two pollsters give Lula a “steady” lead. Bolsonaro warns in London: “There is something strange here.” The payment.
With Jair Bolsonaro delivering campaign speeches from London during the funeral of Queen Elizabeth II, the final phase of Brazil’s presidential election campaign is burning. What do the polls say? This former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva continues to lead the race On the way to October 2nd.
A Datafolha Institute poll released Thursday estimated that Lula retains 45% of voting intentions compared to 33% for Bolsonaro.
Is about a “full stability” scenario compared to last week’s survey (45% vs. 34%), said Datafolha director Luciana Chong when presenting the results.
Jair Bolsonaro and his wife Michelle at Westminster Hall. Photo: Portal
polarized elections
As most of the support is split between Lula and Bolsonaro, they will be taken into account the most polarized elections in Brazil for decades.
the center left Ciro Gomes is third, with 8%, technically tied with the centrist Simone Tebet, that has 5%.
Despite the stability scenario with fluctuations within the Error tolerance of +/- 2 pointsSupport for the far-right President has grown in recent monthscloses the gap with Lula, last May He surpassed him by 21 points.
Way to the second round
To win in the first round, a candidate needs more than 50% of valid votes (no spaces or zero). Using this criterion, Lula would receive 48% of valid votes.
In a possible vote he would beat Bolsonaro by 54% to 38%.
The Conservative President, however debunk the polls.
Lula’s followers during a lecture. Photo: MAURO PIMENTEL / AFP
“Here is not the lying Datafolha. Here is our datapueblo,” he said to a crowd of supporters in Brasilia last week, a speech echoed by many of his most ardent supporters.
“Here’s Something Strange”
“If I don’t win by 60%, it’s because there’s something weird there,” he is also heard saying, this time in London, in the midst of Queen Elizabeth’s funeral.
Jair Bolsonaro greets supporters in Esteio. Photo: Portal
“If I have less than 60% of the vote, it’s because something unusual happened in the Supreme Electoral Court considering the number of people who go to my events and how I’m received everywhere,” Bolsonaro said in one Statement 35-minute interview with air broadcaster SBT
Datafolha confirms that his pollsters have been increasingly harassed when you do your job in different regions of the country.
Last week, a woman was filmed and exposed on social media by a man who accused her of not wanting to interview him because she was a Bolsonaro supporter.
“When you say you support Bolsonaro, she runs… look how she ran, see the lie, the farce,” the man said as he chased the pollster down the street.
For its latest survey, Datafolha surveyed 5,926 people in 300 Brazilian cities between September 13 and 15.
another poll
Saturdaya survey by the Institute for Social, Political and Economic Research (Ipespe) from Brazil also supported Lula’s advantage over Bolsonaro.
According to the poll, Lula rose one percentage point from the previous poll, which was released on Sept. 10, and achieves 45 of the voting intentions for a first round.
Bolsonaro swung lower and shows 35 percent support among the surveyed sample. Last week it added 36 percent of voting intentions. In both cases, it is noted that the scenario of both candidates has been stable over the past three weeks.
With information from agencies
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