A new poll suggests a tie for Cali mayor: Both Eder and “Chontico” Ortiz would receive 35% of the vote
This Friday evening, after several days of numbers and polls one after the other, one of the last polls before the elections this Sunday was published. The National Consulting Center presented the results of a measurement commissioned by the news program CM&. The results, which do not take into account the opinion of undecided people, show similar results to previous surveys in major capitals. Carlos Fernando Galán is in first place in Bogotá (41%) – meaning he could win in the first round; Federico Gutiérrez leads in Medellín (65%), Alejandro Char in Barranquilla (82%) and Jaime Andrés Beltrán in Bucaramanga (39%).
Of the big cities, Cali is the only one where there are still doubts. First place is shared equally between Alejandro Eder and Roberto “Chontico” Ortiz. Both represent 35% of voting intention, leaving an air of uncertainty for the elections. Even in the case of Galán in Bogotá, there is no absolute certainty, especially about who would accompany him in a possible second round. He is followed by Gustavo Bolívar with 22% and in third place Juan Daniel Oviedo with just one point difference: he has 21%.
To avoid the second round of voting in Bogotá, a candidate must simultaneously obtain 40% of the vote and have a lead of more than ten points over the second. In the latest measurements from GAD3, Invamer and now in the CNC, Galán meets the conditions to win in first place, while in Guarumo he is scratching that possibility. In the Atlas, Intel is a little further behind with 37.4% of the valid votes. However, the margin of error in all surveys prevents taking a clear photo, as we explain in detail in this article.
In other cities, the winners according to this survey would be: Dumek José Turbay Paz, with 45% in Cartagena, José Leonardo Jácome, with 30% in Cúcuta; Jorge Eduardo Rojas, with 59% in Manizales; Mauricio Salazar, with 36% in Pereira; James Padilla, with 36% in Armenia; Germán Casagua Bonilla, with 41% in Neiva; Nicolás Martín Toro, with 38% in Pasto; Juan Camilo Chávez, with 36% in Villavicencio; Hugo Fernando Kerguelen, with 44% in Montería; and Marco Tulio Ruiz, with 54% in Yopal.