A delicate, unstable gearbox. What a detail, albeit not insignificant, might stand out in a maze of variables. A war that proves to be protracted and complex. An isolated country that is in danger of losing the support of even its most important ally. The Wagner Division’s uprising against Vladimir Putin has not gone unnoticed in China. On the contrary, the eastern giant has studied every possible scenario in detail with the help of its analysts, hawks and doves. Because it is important to know how to move diplomatically and strategically in this dynamic and fluid phase of the international context.
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The diagnoses presented to Xi Jinping expressed worrying scenarios. And they have proved particularly serious for the stability of post-Wagner Russia. First, Chinese experts are aware that the echoes of such an act of desertion (or heroism, depending on your perspective) will still linger. In Europe, on the other hand, the story is already over. A completely wrong assessment, according to orientalists. In fact, the Wagner affair poses an enormous threat, potentially explosive but plainly visible to all. Even ordinary citizens. However, it has so far been ignored on several occasions.
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A thought movement has emerged in China, albeit in a veiled manner, indirectly criticizing Xi Jimping’s positions and his unwavering friendship with Putin. The leaders of the Dragon Nation suspect that Russia has become an unreliable partner. Because it has effectively drawn China into a confrontation with the entire West, initially only on a diplomatic level. A dispute that certainly does not benefit the economy. But in Beijing, Corriere della Sera reports, it’s not even out of the question that Putin could be dethroned by a pro-American leader (or dictator) once he’s overthrown.
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