The San Francisco Giants (70-64) and San Diego Padres (62-73) meet at Petco Park on Friday at 9:40 p.m. ET for the second game of a four-game series. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around this Giants vs Padres opportunities and meet our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Giants lead 4-3
San Francisco won the series opener 7-2 on Thursday and the Giants are 4-1 in their last five games. They were also 4-1 in the final five games of their season series with the Padres.
San Diego has lost 3 games in a row and 6 of its last 7. The Friars have a shaky 4.54 ERA over their last 12 games.
Giants at Padres scheduled starters
RHP Tristan Beck vs RHP Michael Wacha
Beck (3-2, 3.52 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 30th appearance. He has a WHIP of 1.14, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 71 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 4 1/3 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 5 K in Sunday’s 8-5 home win over Atlanta Braves
- 2023 road stats: 0-1, 2.25 ERA in 32 IP in 15 appearances
- Never played against the Padres as a starter
Wacha (10-2, 2.84 ERA) is making his 19th start. He has a WHIP of 1.11, 2.9 BB/9 and 8 K/9 through 101 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 5 1/3 IP, 4 H, 4 ER, 5 BB, 5 K in a 10-6 loss at Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday
- 2023 home stats: 7-2, 2.21 ERA in 57 IP in 10 starts
- Last 5 starts vs. Giants: 1-0, 2.52 ERA in 25 IP (2016-23)
- Started just three second-half games – all since August 15 – after missing July and August with a shoulder injury
- Played with Giants on June 19: No decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 0 K in 7-4 road loss
- Benefited from a .252 batting average on balls in play this season
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Giants at Padres odds
Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; For a complete list, visit the USA TODAY sports scores and sports betting odds hub. Lines were last updated at 1:06 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Giants +115 (Bet $100 to Win $115) | Padres -135 (Bet $134 to win $100)
- Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Off the board
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: -+100)
Giants at Padres tips and predictions
forecast
Padres 6, Giants 4
Money line
Wacha is definitely a bland. He’s lucky to have an ERA under 4.00, let alone under 3.00 when you consider the quality of contact he allows and his walk, jump and ground ball rates.
San Diego is the entire team without any pitching. Add Wacha, who pitches against a bullpen combo for San Francisco. It corresponds to a HAPPEN.
Running Line/Against the Spread
This piece is OTB But I have no interest in either side, even if this line is published. HAPPEN.
Over under
Beck was a long-time reliever this season, but his pitch count went up a few notches as he threw 70 pitches in his last start. How does he recover in this case?
Both starters – especially Wacha – are fly-ball throwers. The weather forecast for this year is for a breeze of 10 miles per hour.
The Friars’ offense was disappointing, with San Diego averaging just 4.47 runs per game. The Padres have been terrible in high-leverage situations, and in those clutch plate appearances, they have posted a very low BABIP of .247.
FanDuel Sportsbook has one OVER 8 (-114) on the board, and that’s a solid play in this game.
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