Americans traditionally love to hold off the incumbent president by voting for the opposition party in the middle of their first term. In the last 20 years, only George W. Bush has managed to win the midterm elections. But it was 2002, and the previous year it was 9/11 that made him the national leader of a country under attack.
Old Biden is the president with the best midterm election result in many years: his party retains a majority in the Senate, while in the House of Representatives the Republican advantage is only confirmed by a handful of seats amid forecasts that herald conservative waves that didn’t exist.
The deniers of Biden’s election victory in 2020, who had applied last Tuesday for the leadership and certification posts of the election in the states decisive for the next presidential elections with the declared aim of denying the coup information according to Trump, were inferior another eventual Democratic victory in 2024. Americans have preferred to choose candidates who respect vote counts, and democracy has once again asserted itself.
The reason for this unexpected Joe Biden result is certainly Biden, but also the bad influence that Trump, Trump’s candidates and Trump’s coup policies have had on Republican and Independence voters.
Biden’s democratic moderation is a political solution that continues to work against Trump’s coup nationalism. Contrary to what the radical socialist wing of the Democrats thinks, Biden’s democratic moderatism is not a departure from progressive liberal principles, but a serious, pragmatic and reformist way of affirming them with more force and precision.
On the other hand, a civil war is raging within the Republicans between Trump and the rest of the party, which is no less dangerous than Trump. Ron DeSantis, re-elected governor of Florida, is a smarter and less narcissistic Trump and may therefore be more effective in implementing the former president’s nationalist, undemocratic, and reactionary demands.
The most important consequence of the election result, at least for us Europeans and Ukrainians, is that we are now certain that American policy on the Russian war against Ukraine will not change one iota. Nothing would have changed anyway – not even with a Republican victory, let alone a perfect bifurcation of the chambers – although obviously it would have been better for the Ukrainians and the Europeans if the Democratic Party had also stayed in charge of the House , as well as for the Ukrainians and the Europeans, not to mention the Italians, it would have been better if Mario Draghi had stayed at Palazzo Chigi, but just like with Giorgia Meloni, Italian support for Ukraine is not going to change in essence, not once the American with the Republicans somewhat stronger than before. Also, a large segment of Republicans are not being held in check by the Russians like Trump and his cronies. So good.
Also very good if you read the words of Jake Sullivan, Biden’s national security adviser, who, on the eve of the G20 summit in Indonesia, clearly reiterated that the US position on the Russian war against Ukraine is always the same and changes at five well-defined rotates columns:
1) It is up to Ukraine alone to decide whether, when and what to negotiate;
2) America will not put any pressure on the Ukrainians to negotiate with the Russians;
3) without the territorial integrity of Ukraine there can be no peace;
4) Russia is not in good faith;
5) America will do everything to put Ukraine in the best possible position on the field so that if Ukraine decides to negotiate, it can do so from a position of strength.
These are the words of Biden’s national security adviser, reinforced by a new $400 million military aid package to Ukraine for other air defense systems to protect troops and civilians from Russian attacks using Iranian-made drones.
Since the beginning of the Russian invasion, the United States has deployed military defense systems worth over $18.5 billion, thanks to which the Kyiv government has protected Ukrainian civilians from Russian war crimes and allowed the Zsu, the Ukrainian army, to conduct the entire Recapture North -Eastern Front of the country and, as happened in Kherson, also advance on the Southeastern Front.