Ukraine continues the “campaign of the villages” but is still far from the line fortified by the Russians, one of the many protecting the axis leading to Crimea.
the manoeuvres
We are in an expected phase of capturing some locations in the Zaporizhia region and conducting operations to search for gaps to be exploited. There are also advances in the Bakhmut region, but – as the Ukrainians themselves confirm – these are displacements of “250-700 meters”. The question concerns the next step, particularly in the southern region: the ability to convert tactical successes – which are there – into strategic results. This does not succeed in a few days, also because the invaders had time to prepare. Recent measures included the demolition of another dam on the Mokri Yaly River to flood the country. Several comments from observers:
1) Kiev in the future may try to bypass Putin’s Maginot and attack him with artillery.
2) Residents, on the other hand, focus on attrition and rely on the effectiveness of the stances. In fact, the resistance lost numerous demining vehicles, tanks and armored vehicles. He doesn’t have much choice, he has to move forward but also find solutions to create corridors. And that has consequences.
3) How many brigades are currently employed by Zelenskyy? According to reports on the ground, reserves are ready, as are those of the invaders. Nobody wants to risk them too soon. However, conflicting information is circulating on this aspect, versions saying the opposite.
The Russians
To follow the dynamics in Russia. After cheering the destruction of an enemy armored and armored formation, military bloggers now refocused on the offensive. Their analyzes betray concern, they send alarm signals. They are perspective messages, perhaps they also contain “masks”. In conflicts, one’s own intentions are hidden, others are attributed to the opponents, nothing is decided, nothing is clear. Today, as never before, it is justified with the “fog of war” that confuses the vision, is part of the propaganda and leads to misjudgments. In fact, even the most serious experts do not dare to make any predictions or even be convinced by a few videos.
There is always attention to the clashes in Moscow, almost a second front with the clash between the mercenaries and the defense. The ministry has instructed all private security companies to sign a contract with the state by July 1 to restore its authority. Wagner boss Evgeny Prigozhin took the opportunity to fuel his fight. He replied “No,” arguing that his “company” was already organically embedded in the system. He again criticized Minister Sergei Shoigu and said he was ready to take orders from General Sergei Surovikin. An opportunity to once again contrast him with the chief of staff Valery Gerasimov, two senior officers – the experts explain – bad relations between themselves. The fight goes on.