The political and personal character of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez means that his closest team, the executive and leadership of the PSOE, do not allow themselves to be carried away by the turbulence, because they always assume that there is support along the way. The Junts per Catalunya's criticism of the current wording of the amnesty law, which they fear does not 100% protect its leader Carles Puigdemont and others persecuted in the process, has triggered another dynamic in relations between the neoliberals. Convergents and the Socialists. The unpredictability of the party of the former Catalan president, who fled to Brussels and supports the government, is the only certainty the executive has. This approach also drives ERC to despair. “They already confused us shortly before the bill was registered in Congress,” they now recall in this formation. The many hours spent on the detailed letter that arrived in the plenary session of Congress on Tuesday were useless. Junts' shock from the last-minute court orders has hit the government with requests that it is not complying with for the time being.
In the socialist ranks they are waiting for the slight movements of unrest and civil unrest in the Junts waters to grow stronger, until they get Puigdemont to relax and spread the benefits of lifting the sentences to hundreds of people as quickly as possible make . In the ERC, voices are being raised against the actions of its rivals in the pro-independence camp. The government has stuck to its “you will see what they do” since the first investiture negotiations, but not without reservations.
With or without amnesty, the government will carry on; even if he doesn't approve the budgets. This is the statement made firmly by government sources. And it's not just argumentative. This will be the case at least until after the elections in Catalonia, i.e. until February 2025. Then nationalists and socialists will rethink their relationship.
Junts' new blow to the central government's chin came in the middle of the Galician election campaign, when weakness is the position least favorable to the Socialists. Pedro Sánchez has laid out the argument in Galicia: there will be an amnesty because “independence supporters are not terrorists” and the legislative period still has three and a half years to implement a strong social and economic agenda.
When the polls open in Galicia in 13 days, the discussion in the Judiciary Commission of Congress on the rejected amnesty law will be in full swing. The Left majority will regulate this Tuesday at the Congress table the debate opened by the PP on whether the law rejected in the plenary session of Congress returns to the Commission or whether we did it – without any regulatory meaning, according to legal sources with the highest parliamentary qualifications start again from the beginning. The PP will demand that it leaves Congress after it was rejected by an absolute majority. On the contrary, sources from the legal services of the House of Commons, although they know that some lawyers have expressed themselves in line with the PP, defend that Article 131.2 of the Chamber's Rules of Procedure does not discriminate against cases and that if the law has been rejected in plenary it goes back to the committee. This further element of confusion is added to the background discussion about amnesty, in which the PP will take the lead. But the law is likely to be returned to the commission, and that is where tensions between the government and the junts will play out. The government would like to assume that there will be an amnesty under the conditions already established. Plans, but no certainties.
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